Personally, I saw the squad and thought that England might go out in the group stage if things went really badly.
That team isn't good enough to win anything, and the way Southgate has them playing means they won't implode like former teams, but they also won't beat a team that is more savvy than they are. The game against France was crying out for a bit of individual quality, a Lampard or Gerrard 30 yarder, a Beckham free kick, something only a player with freedom and confidence can do.
He played two wingers who were too scared or couldn't beat their man so they had to play the ball inside every time they got it, which is exactly what France wanted because that's where they aimed to win the ball and break. Saka tried a few times and every time he did the left back either fouled him or got skinned, they even doubled up on him in the second half to try and stop it from happening and yet for some reason he kept choosing to pass square to Henderson more often than not.
England reaching a quarter final and being knocked out by the first good team they face (current WC holders) is about where they're at with the players and coach they have available to them. No shame in it but people always over react when they see that the next game after France was an 'easy' one against Morocco and then potentially and 'easy' final against Croatia or really, anything goes in the final anyway, it's anyones on the day.