With so many qualified people in those meetings, the question 'What is the current level of this squad? What's the baseline?' must have come up before the season started. I wonder how SJR, Brailsford, Ashworth, Berrada, Wilcox etc went about answering it. Do they answer it relative to the teams in the league? Do they answer it statistically - in terms of xG, xGA, xPoints? Do they answer it in terms of good old position in the table? Did they do they a complex modeling of expected results provided injuries weren't crippling us, and then come up with a hypothetical position in the league?
Whatever the answer to that question was in summer (even if it was a 'we don't really know'), it could not have been worse than the equivalent of '8th best team in the league'. Whatever that answer was, the expectation for the current season must have been higher given the investments we made, the lack of crippling injuries, and a fresh start. Whatever the baseline was, it had to be way higher than 14th in the league with 5 goals scored and woeful results in the xTables as well. There is no metric at all where we're doing any better at all.
Simply put, they know that ETH is massively underperforming. If there were any signs of improvement - unlucky results, more injuries, close games where we're just missing out on results, excellent passages of play, etc - they might consider that it's worth continuing to believe in him. But as of now, there simply are none.
The possible scenarios where he does not get sacked seem to be:
(a) senior management does not think 10-odd games is representative enough of a sample space to take a call,
(b) there is a lack of a contingency plan for results tanking this early - they haven't planned for viable alternatives who can be logistically employed at this stage who can do better,
(c) they believe alternatives are available, but they aren't sure what vision they have for the next manager and are frantically trying to figure that out before holding talks,
(d) Ten Hag is indeed Harry Potter and has managed to convince them that we are in fact, not as far off the baseline as 14th seems to indicate, and
(e) the decision making in senior management is still undecided, we dither because no one is taking accountability or responsibility for the big calls under SJR, yet
I don't believe (c) is a possibility, given that they've had these talks over the summer with potential hires - the profile of the summer signings indicates foresight, they must have some idea.
I don't think (b) takes too much time if (c) and some semblence of a vision is in place, because EtH has set the standards so very low. Anyone would be an improvement at this stage.
I don't think EtH has the charisma for (d).
Perhaps (a) and (e) are the only scenarios in which EtH survives. I can't think of anything else.