No 12/13 million is the going rate for shit strikers look at altidore 13 million to Sunderland now that's a striker worth 50p couldn't score in a whore house, what would a club like Sunderland, West brom, stoke pay for him no mind some of those Italian clubs.
It looks like I'm going to have to repeat this again, because you're clearly not understanding the situation.
Firstly, teams overpaying doesn't make it the going rate. Secondly, come the summer, Hernandez will be 27, in the last year of his contract, and won't have played a great deal of football for two seasons; teams won't be focusing too much on his form in 2012/13 and before, they'll be looking at how little he did for United under Moyes and his time at Madrid this season. Thirdly, United generally don't get as much as they could when moving players on that aren't in the plans for the team. I honestly wouldn't be surprised to see him head out on loan again and leaving on a free once his contract is up.
If he is moving this summer, he's got two options. He can accept he's going to be on the bench for a side challenging for the title in one of the top leagues, or make the step down to a lesser league, or to a club hoping for CL football.
If it's the former, he's going to be 3rd or 4th choice for them, and apart from City, top sides tend not to splash the cash on backup players. Looking at players being back-up strikers, we've recently seen Lambert move to Liverpool for £4 million, Remy move to Chelsea for £10.5 million, Balotelli to Liverpool for £16 million, and Welbeck to Arsenal for £16 million. Even then, it could be argued that the last two were signed to be in the starting XI.
If it's the latter, the sides generally can't afford to be spending much more than £10 million on a player, and when they do, they tend to want someone who's massively in form, not someone who they're gambling on regaining form from over 2 seasons ago. Ulloa moved to Leicester for £8 million, Bony to Swansea for £12 million, Cornelius to Cardiff for £7.5 million, Ba to Besiktas for £4.7 million, Cisse to Newcastle for £10 million, Adebayor to Spurs for £5 million, Michu to Swansea for £2 million, and Remy to QPR for £8 million. Hell, Tevez and Sturridge moved to Juventus and Liverpool respectively for just £12 million each, and the fee for Pelle to Southampton is believed to be somewhere around £8-9 million.
Just because a team occasionally overspends on a shit player doesn't mean that the going rate for strikers changes, particularly not strikers who are 27, haven't played for 2 years, and are in the last year of the contract.
He's not going to be happy staying at United, and he'll just be taking up a space in the 25 man squad. He'll be behind Rooney, van Persie and Wilson in the pecking order, Falcao if he stays, and probably Di Maria and Fellaini too. He's probably worth about £12-15 million, but we'll be lucky to get much more than £5 million for him, if we even get a fee at all. Anything close to or above £10 million would be a massive surprise to me. We haven't got a hope in hell of getting near £15 or £20 million for him though.