2024 U.S. Elections | Trump wins

Considering how much money her campaign was able to generate after her nomination, the excuse that was used before that she was the only option because only she could access his funds, really doesn't fly. And that money clearly wasn't well spent anyway.
This is a good point. I suppose one could say we don’t know exactly what the fundraising for another candidate would be, but it’s unlikely she was uniquely able to generate the fundraising she did
 
I mean presidential candidates and campaigns cost too much run for too long that's in general. So she raised a billion dollars? I mean the amounts picked out here are technically tiny. So what if she spent money on a set? Or influencer engagement. I could see the point if there was "nothing" spent on ground game. Offices in battlegrounds, ads etc. She did all that too. AND gave money to down Ballot campaigns in other states. Any campaign that loses you could argue the money was wasted because well they lost. To me real waste is proving that heres a huge thing you neglected with the money that could have changed something. Just to spend it on *this* whatever it is that was meaningless.
Building a set for a podcast appearance should not cost 100k.
 
This was from October:
Democratic grassroots groups say they have a funding shortfall of more than $100 million for their work to get out the vote, which could be the difference between Kamala Harris' victory and former President Donald Trump's defeat.
Maybe they were just fishing for more money, though. Wouldn't surprise me.
 
Building a set for a podcast appearance should not cost 100k.
Ok. I gave maybe a thousand or more in total for the campigns in general. Bidens and then hers. Some Congressional. I don't feel like my money was "wasted".
Other people might feel like that I wont argue with them. I would need to see places where money was not spent well or neglected to feel aggrieved.
 
Sorry if this has already been mentioned, but where is he? Why is he not posting? He is the most narcissistic POTUS of all time and has just pulled off one of the best comebacks in political history with a win bigger than he ever imagined. He has only retweeted one Elon Musk post since?
 
Sorry if this has already been mentioned, but where is he? Why is he not posting? He is the most narcissistic POTUS of all time and has just pulled off one of the best comebacks in political history with a win bigger than he ever imagined. He has only retweeted one Elon Musk post since?
Dog caught car.
 
Sorry if this has already been mentioned, but where is he? Why is he not posting? He is the most narcissistic POTUS of all time and has just pulled off one of the best comebacks in political history with a win bigger than he ever imagined. He has only retweeted one Elon Musk post since?

Fear not, he’s back and Twitter and just won the election, so you can expect plenty of tweets and truths in the coming years.
 
Sat on the fence is in reference to her micro targeting Jews and Arabs with difference messages. It was discussed on the elections thread. Once she does that, all other arguments about her policies end.

the relevant voters didn't seem to think so...
 
Everyone in this forum? I’ve never voted in an American election. But I can tell you for an absolute fact that I would my bit to keep Trump out of power if I did. It’s not difficult. Just vote for the Democrat candidate. That’s all you need to do. And if you don’t then you share the blame for his evil policies.

And yes, we can all feel partially responsible for bad shit that’s done by someone we vote for (or, by not voting against, facilitate) The idea is to vote for the person who will do the least bad shit. And it’s rare enough to have such a barn door obvious decision as there was in this election.

For the first line, sure, "everybody" was clumsy shorthand, every eligible American voter on redcafe in 2020, who nearly all went blue.

Why the "partial responsibility"? Why not "sowing what they reap"?
Why the "feel bad"? Why isn't it "on their conscience"?

If a 3rd party voter, who didn't vote Trump, is directly responsible, why are the actual voters, the ones who gave the President Biden the mandate to do the war crimes, any less responsible? This is backwards logic. One is primarily responsible for one's owns actions.

The only reason this disparity in responsibility, which is inversely proportional to the directness of the connection between their votes and the final outcome, seems to exist, is to soothe the consciences of the majority of people who do the "lesser evil" vote.

Finally, I will again note that this is an academic debate. Transferring every single Green vote to Kamala doesn't reverse a single state, and she needed to reverse at least three to win. It is even more academic when this forum's one American third party voter did what you asked for, and voted for Kamala.
 
For the first line, sure, "everybody" was clumsy shorthand, every eligible American voter on redcafe in 2020, who nearly all went blue.

Why the "partial responsibility"? Why not "sowing what they reap"?
Why the "feel bad"? Why isn't it "on their conscience"?

If a 3rd party voter, who didn't vote Trump, is directly responsible, why are the actual voters, the ones who gave the President Biden the mandate to do the war crimes, any less responsible? This is backwards logic. One is primarily responsible for one's owns actions.

The only reason this disparity in responsibility, which is inversely proportional to the directness of the connection between their votes and the final outcome, seems to exist, is to soothe the consciences of the majority of people who do the "lesser evil" vote.

Finally, I will again note that this is an academic debate. Transferring every single Green vote to Kamala doesn't reverse a single state, and she needed to reverse at least three to win. It is even more academic when this forum's one American third party voter did what you asked for, and voted for Kamala.

I am - obviously - referring to people who didn’t vote at all, as well as those who voted Green (or whatever) And I’m referring to the American electorate as a whole, not just the great and good of redcafe.

And I already agreed that if you vote for Biden then you’re supporting his policies, whatever they are. Hence the bit about how you should “vote for the person who does the least bad shit” And it’s absolutely cast iron guaranteed that Harris/Biden do less bad shit than Trump. As per the transphobic rant you posted in this very thread.
 
She is weak. Maybe not her fault but she was and still weak all things considered.

I get it that the Democrats left it far too late and that's certainly not helping. But she wasnt a good candidate to start with. Being minorities and woman which made it double minority. Again maybe not her fault but you can't claim She's a great candidate.

Many have seen this coming from miles away, some people and especially the caf just dont want to accept the reality. You can't hardly argue with such a landslide defeat even losing the popular vote.

Trump didnt need a 2nd debate because he or his team felt it was enough. Credit to them. Kamala dodged Rogan wasnt she?

All side issue. If people thought the economy was working for them, she would have won.
 
With or without Liz Cheney, Harris still didn't have the right message to win.
That might be correct, however I still can't wrap my head around this decision. The neocons got well and truly beaten three primaries in a row. Who exactly they would've pandered to in this case? All it does is annoy your core base.
 
Ok. I gave maybe a thousand or more in total for the campigns in general. Bidens and then hers. Some Congressional. I don't feel like my money was "wasted".
Other people might feel like that I wont argue with them. I would need to see places where money was not spent well or neglected to feel aggrieved.

Send me a thousand, I'll message you how. I'll spend 500, and I'll spend it well, so you'll be happy. No need to worry about the other 500.
 
Unlikely but not impossible imo
It is done. Caraveo + Peltola losing gives the GOP 218. And the remaing votes are either insufficient or unfriendly enough for them.

However, if Dems run a near-royal flush they can get to 216 or 217, and frankly that's even better than getting the majority. It makes Trump a lame duck effectively while getting none of the blame. I would love to see how Republicans even get a speaker elected with a 1 or 3 votes majority.
 
This was no more evident when she attempted to play both sides on Israel/Gaza. A completely manufactured, focus grouped candidate who left the public confused as to what she actually believes.


The problem without her having a key message and really pushing it, was that other people spoke for what the Dems represent.

I’ve tried to engage with both sides of the political spectrum on social media, to see what videos are pushed by the algorithms, and on the right leaning side of things, it’s what you’d expect, videos on how bad immigrants are and a lot of videos on trans/gay community.

But what I found interesting was how all the left wing extremists also aligned themselves with Kamala. And I think it worked against her, which is unfair because that’s not what the Dems want.

In particular a lot of anti-men videos, basically women yelling at the camera about men being horrible, and then those same women would endorse Harris on their page. I think this is where things went wrong. Whilst these people have always existed, without a strong and simple message, she allowed this people to write her message for her.

You’ve got a generation of young (18-25) white, black, Latino and Arab men who have grown up in the social media era, and have been exposed to all this, if the Dems can showcase how they will improve their quality of life, and really change the narrative, then I think they could take the 2028 election comfortably. People will vote for the Republicans only when they feel they don’t have another choice.
 


Go and read the comments. A democrat winning an election is fraudulent to these people. There is so much work to do to unwind this.

Trump wins AZ - fair election. The same voters likely also voted for Gallego - FRAUD, AUDIT, CORRUPTION.

There is very likely to be Trump-Gallego voters simply because Lake is a fecking moron. But there can't even be rational discourse on this now because everything is a goddamn fecking conspiracy.
 
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Go and read the comments. A democrat winning an election is fraudulent to these people. There is so much work to do to unwind this.

Trump wins AZ - fair election. The same voters likely also voted for Gallego - FRAUD, AUDIT, CORRUPTION.

There is very likely to be Trump-Gallego voters simply because Lake is a fecking moron. But there can't even be rational discourse on this now because everything is a goddamn fecking conspiracy.

It’s always like that on social media these days which is very RW exteme (on various topics). I don’t know if it’s mostly X which is positioned clearly as such, or the general RW wave across the board.
 


Go and read the comments. A democrat winning an election is fraudulent to these people. There is so much work to do to unwind this.

Trump wins AZ - fair election. The same voters likely also voted for Gallego - FRAUD, AUDIT, CORRUPTION.

There is very likely to be Trump-Gallego voters simply because Lake is a fecking moron. But there can't even be rational discourse on this now because everything is a goddamn fecking conspiracy.


They’re sad that grifting fraud Kari Lake lost yet again.
 
They’re sad that grifting fraud Kari Lake lost yet again.
No more than Trump does, just without a cock.

This is why all the ‘realignment’ discourse is kinda overblown. Trumpism without Trump isn’t exactly a winning electoral strategy, and even with Trump it has been defeated under the right conditions.

If there’s something Americans have consistently demonstrated, it’s that they don’t trust government and are open to change for the sake of change. Give them 2 years of Trump and they will be sick to their teeth again.
 
No more than Trump does, just without a cock.

This is why all the ‘realignment’ discourse is kinda overblown. Trumpism without Trump isn’t exactly a winning electoral strategy, and even with Trump it has been defeated under the right conditions.

If there’s something Americans have consistently demonstrated, it’s that they don’t trust government and are open to change for the sake of change. Give them 2 years of Trump and they will be sick to their teeth again.

She’s weak in AZ because even local Maga voters know she’s just a clout chaser. Just like Kelli Ward and Joe Arpaio before her, even Trump’s pull isn’t enough to push her across the finish line. Fortunately AZ is starting to trend blue, so this may be the last we see of her.
 
She’s weak in AZ because even local Maga voters know she’s just a clout chaser. Just like Kelli Ward and Joe Arpaio before her, even Trump’s pull isn’t enough to push her across the finish line. Fortunately AZ is starting to trend blue, so this may be the last we see of her.
AZ and TX went 7 points to the right this election, ‘trending blue’ doesn’t quite holding up if Latinos are voting this much like their white counterpart. Had they nominated a male Kari Lake, Gallego would have lost.

NC and GA are the states that prove their ‘trending blue’ status this cycle. Dems in blue states better figure out how to build housing because they are on track to lose like 10 EVs between CA, NY, NJ and IL in the 2030 census.
 
Can’t see any specific thread but can someone share a few recommended articles on the immigration debate and position of various parties in the US / Europe? And since the caf mostly left leaning what is your take on the situation given certainly the US and also now much of Europe is voting in favour of tighter borders?

Where I am from, immigration isn’t the same sort of hot election topic as it is in the West. My exposure to it is in watching news and debates related to other countries. Or the typical RW propaganda of “these immigrants are ruining our country, to back home etc” shared on family groups to promote bigotry and Islamophobia which I cringe at, given I am personally progressive in my leanings and values.
 
Can’t see any specific thread but can someone share a few recommended articles on the immigration debate and position of various parties in the US / Europe? And since the caf mostly left leaning what is your take on the situation given certainly the US and also now much of Europe is voting in favour of tighter borders?

Where I am from, immigration isn’t the same sort of hot election topic as it is in the West. My exposure to it is in watching news and debates related to other countries. Or the typical RW propaganda of “these immigrants are ruining our country, to back home etc” shared on family groups to promote bigotry and Islamophobia which I cringe at, given I am personally progressive in my leanings and values.
Its been a debate in ireland, just not really for the kind of people who write articles. Or make coherent arguments. I'd say the Indian RW propoganda is far more sophisticated than ours, we've shortened it to 'bloody foreigners'.
Its 30 second tik tok videos of people being anti social mostly.
 
The unelectability of so many MAGA politicians like Lake gives me a bit of hope that MAGA can't survive for long beyond Trump. But then I remember that MTG keeps getting re-elected and I scratch my head.
 
So trump has a clean sweep of all swing states and won the popular vote by a fair margin.

In hindsight, this thread has mostly been a waste of time, analyzing cloud castle polls with little to no connection to reality. The predictive power of US polling looks so weak now that it's really more like a self contained game to generate talking points than an empirical tool.