2024 U.S. Elections | Trump wins

Biden could not energize people like Harris is doing. I see it close to home too. It just wasn’t happening for him. Glad the change was made. Hopefully it’s enough.
 
The funniest election result, and in a good way, would be for Harris to win all the swing-states in the sun-belt, and getting uncomfortably close to flipping Texas too, while losing the rust-belt states.

Just so that these 3 states will be put on note, they aren't the only one's having to get pandered too, every single time, due to the EC.
 
Yes they are all over the place this year, that's for sure.

This one was just released a couple of days ago and paints a completely different picture than the NYT poll posted on the previous page.


I remember Trafalgar's polls being all over the place in 2020. They were pro Trump back then.
 
I'm waiting for Vivek to tweet "If Kamala is really half south asian, have her make a masala dosa video on your YouTube channel, and let people decide for. themselves".
I would love to watch that video. Masala is hard to make.
The obvious implication is ‘you wouldn’t think a mixed race woman like her would have an English sounding last name’.

Just assume the worst for the Donald and you’d rarely miss.
He says the quiet part out loud.
They’re fairly accurate but they can’t really predict whether people polled are actually going to bother to vote. The best we can do is use likely voter (LV) polls such as the one above. Harris looks in good shape for the time being, but that could quickly change now that the momentary euphoria of her coronation is slowly dissipating.
This and the following comment seem to be holding polls as equal across the board, when the polling methodology and firms conducting them vary wildly in reliability and scientific accuracy.
Yes they are all over the place this year, that's for sure.

This one was just released a couple of days ago and paints a completely different picture than the NYT poll posted on the previous page.


NY Times poll is at the top of the list, and the Trafalgar one is at #273. https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/pollster-ratings/
 
I'd assume it's from when they vetted him.
Correct.

One of the people described the dossier as a preliminary version of Vance’s vetting file.
The research dossier was a 271-page document based on publicly available information about Vance’s past record and statements, with some — such as his past criticisms of Trump — identified in the document as “POTENTIAL VULNERABILITIES.”
 
I'd have to assume that they found all his past statements on cat ladies, divorce, and all that too, but obviously it wasn't a disqualifier. Either because they misjudged how it would be perceived, or because they were just too arrogant at the time given the state of Biden.
 
I’m not sure what’s harder to believe, that they actually vetted JD Vance, the that someone still uses AOL.
 
The feck is going on? It’s starting to look like the Republicans are in the same position the dems were with Biden before he quit.


Like more and more Republicans turning on him and momentum is entirely with Kamala

Also has there been a worse VP pick than JD Vance? Atleast Palin had a pair of tits to win over the trailer trash despite the shit that came out her mouth.

I guess the internal research is showing that Trump is about to take a nosedive into irrelevance and taking the house with him? That would be lovely.
 
Why would Politico favour the Republican Party?
Dunno, but the mostly radio silence from the media regarding Trump's cognitive decline & his age smacks of them harkening back to 2016 & how the Trump campaign was treated with kid gloves at times.

Just a thought I had.