Harris sweep and Florida? Why not throw in Texas too? Very unrealistic!
2024 U.S. Elections | Trump v Harris
- Thread starter Raoul
- Start date
Harris sweep and Florida? Why not throw in Texas too? Very unrealistic!
It's more that what you are linking to doesn't really show Trump leading - except +1 in PA (to clarify, Harris doesn't need GA, AZ or NC if she takes MI, WI and PA. Most of us hang our hopes on that scenario) which is well within the margin of error.
Also, keep in mind that these are all the polls aggregated. There will be some good and some bad.
He could've had a great career as a comedian/satirist but being a full time cnut was profitable.
She’s looking quite ok in both Wisconsin and Michigan, isn’t she? It’s really Pennsylvania where things aren’t perfect and if she doesn’t win there she pretty much has no other path to victory it seems.
That is my take as well. Of course, GA + AZ could compensate for losing PA but I wouldn't bet on it.
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GA+NV, NC+NV, GA+AZ, NC+AZ. The only losing combination is AZ + NV.
It’s Trump who actually has to run the gamut on the swing states, or near enough, to win it. In reality though, these whacky super tight scenarios rarely happened. Undecideds tend to break late in one direction and the winning candidate will get most of the swing states.
Yes, you're right.
As we're on the subject of what is and isn't appropriate to say, be it 'gaslighting' or 'disgusting':
I despise this mealy mouthed framing of the situation. It's borderline denialism.
The issue isn't that Joe Biden hasn't quite exerted the right amount of pressure. The issue is that Joe Biden (with Kamala Harris and the administration) has continued to allow the US to supply Israel with the funds and weaponry used to brutalise the Palestinians. He has routinely lied, has repeated dehumanising atrocity propoganda, has given blanket diplomatic support to Israel, has consistently reneged on 'red lines' and has continued to extended Israel's allowance everytime they have maxed it out, has smeared students protesting the attack on Gaza.
It is not just what Joe Biden hasn't done, it is what Joe Biden has done, that marks his absolute failure on the issue.
To use this vague, sugar-coated language provides an innacurate framing and seeks to absolve the Biden Harris administration of their complete moral and diplomatic failings on the issue.
I despise this mealy mouthed framing of the situation. It's borderline denialism.
The issue isn't that Joe Biden hasn't quite exerted the right amount of pressure. The issue is that Joe Biden (with Kamala Harris and the administration) has continued to allow the US to supply Israel with the funds and weaponry used to brutalise the Palestinians. He has routinely lied, has repeated dehumanising atrocity propoganda, has given blanket diplomatic support to Israel, has consistently reneged on 'red lines' and has continued to extended Israel's allowance everytime they have maxed it out, has smeared students protesting the attack on Gaza.
It is not just what Joe Biden hasn't done, it is what Joe Biden has done, that marks his absolute failure on the issue.
To use this vague, sugar-coated language provides an innacurate framing and seeks to absolve the Biden Harris administration of their complete moral and diplomatic failings on the issue.
Whilst I don’t disagree with what your saying…is the part highlighted above an issue.
I mean, a bit of self care…for personal mental well being. I don’t see too much wrong with people choosing what makes them feel better about themselves
It may be an issue when making this lot feel better involves promising to hurt other people from the same country.
And sometimes, it's not even other people, it's themselves! It's madness.
He got traction during the 2022 midterms if I recall correctly.
Shocked that there isn't a police officer stationed there.
I think he spent last election or mid-election as super pro-democrat fighting the narrative of the red wave and did it in a bit of a grifter click baity way. He was kinda proven right in his analysis but was a bit bombastic with it and it might have been more luck than judgement
Yeah but I think he's an online PR consultant so caveat emptor on accepting any representations from him
Trump has unleashed thugs against this country.
Also, what do these people eat? My GOD!
He’s a bit of a self promoter who got things fairly right in 22. Seems to have started his own Twitter alternative social network and uses his account to redirect people to his platform.
I did find this tweet encouraging. If R stooges like Cernovich and Kirk are concerned about PA, then that’s wonderful.
Yes.
Now, Harris winning Florida doesn’t seem realistic. But, what if she wins 6 or 7 of the swing states and ends up within 1-2 points in Florida? I would still consider his prediction reasonable.
He seems to get Dems excited by triumphantly broadcasting best case scenarios, so I would take what he's saying with a healthy pinch of salt.
Almost sounds too good to be true, but it's worth remembering that we are only a normal polling error away from a blowout! Now, that goes for both sides obviously, but let's hope...
Gay, but also accusing him of having an affair with the daughter of a Chinese Communist Party member.
The insults are not even consistent.
Their base don't need any proofs. Nobody asks. Many of them don't have any clue what woke or DEI or even a communist is. But they use it anyways.
Maybe the Chinese daughter was trans?
Communism turns you gay. Keep up.
So your counterargument is that they look just as gay? Doesn't that just continue the homophobic stereotyping?
Im struggling to understand all the early voting data. In some states the NV it looks positive for R's. In others like MI and PA, more positive for D's.
It seems like in some states Republicans have switches to voting early and in others less so. Not sure if that is due to state specific campaigning.
This is really good analysis, and better than any article i've read. Thank you!
It's all going to be PY, isn't it?
Harris takes Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada. Trump takes Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona.
Harris takes Wisconsin, Michigan, Nevada. Trump takes Georgia, North Carolina, Arizona.
Do you not see any irony behind a man, wafting his hand around with a face full of makeup, questioning other people's manhood? Jesse Watters has been questioning Tim Walz on this topic for months. Infact, he has a whole stick about what he defines as being a "manly man" yet he seems to fit non of his own criteria. He even takes personal offence when a man eats soup in public or use a straw...
No issue for deal leader though...
It is always projection with this Republicans.
I will give you another example. Mark Robinson. Openly anti Trans. There is a whole literny of transphobic comments...
https://southernequality.org/mark-robinsons-history-of-homophobic-comments/
Yet in his private life, he commented on porn message boards...
“I like watching ****** on girl porn! That’s f---ing hot! It takes the man out while leaving the man in!”
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/20...-carolina-governor-race-cnn-report-rcna171860
I wont even start on how Trump projects his crimes, belifs and traits onto others.
She was held in a US jail where Kamala gave her a free sex change.
As per Republicans, you go to a public school under Democrats and they give you a free sex change.
Even if he is gay what's the issue? People need to stop concerning themselves about the sexuality of others.
Are you American?
British with US citizenship living in NJ and NC.
You are not going to Stephen Miller me, are you? "America is for Americans" !
Honestly, it's just amazingly efficient healthcare. Same day sex change on request.
I don't know anything about that and gaslighting would fit that scenario but some posters definitely come off as anyone that holds a slightly different opinion than a few posters is despicable, disgusting, etc. It doesn't matter if someone agrees with 95% of what they're saying.
I am starting to think that the establishment in the democratic party actually wants Kamala to lose Michigan.
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