2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed

[Charlie Foley]

So out of 50 states in the USA, 43 of them are all pretty much guaranteed to have the majority vote for the same candidate every election, so every election is dependent on what happens with these 7 swing states, barring any major upsets with the other 43? Is this correct?

Not a US citizen here, just trying to make sense of it all.

Yeah

 

[JagUTD]

Would probably be surprising, but NYT projector has 6/7 leaning Trump with only WI at 50/50. Of course it's just a projector, but all signs are bad at the moment.

It's why I and no doubt others would be interested in seeing the breakdown of the 43 States and how they vote usually so we can get a sense of which of the swing states are most important to each candidate.

 

[RDCR07]

Fascinating. Thank you

Yeah I can read your mind. It’s a fecking stupid system haha and I agree with you.

 

[ThierryHenry]

The website has different numbers than that?

He's deleted the tweet.

 

[Shane88]

He's a 78 year old fat cnut, would he see out the full term?

 

[Eboue]

BBC is talking about the deficit.

 

[RDCR07]

Detroit metro + Ann Arbor and Grand Rapids with Lansing pulled Dems out of hole. Id be surprised if the same doesn't happen again. Last time that didn't come through until fairly late.

Yeah but John king on CNN was saying Detroit is showing a little participation this year plus those college students protested heavily against the Israel Hamas war.

 

[Tarrou]

could RFK really cost Trump Iowa?

if that happens Trump will be livid and probably disown him in terms of working in his staff

 

[simonhch]

So are people getting their panties in a twist or are we actually fecked? I remember Biden being down by tons and then just surging ahead as the major population centers came in. We aren’t expecting something similar?

 

[Ahmer Baig]

I will never understand the USA.

You are not the only one.

 

[oneniltothearsenal]

Republicans always run up early leads because it's faster to count rural places than urban. Nothing means anything yet.

 

[RDCR07]

could RFK really cost Trump Iowa?

if that happens Trump will be livid and probably disown him

It would be a sensational news but I don’t think he is going to get 3% of the vote to be factor.

 

[altodevil]

Republicans always run up early leads because it's faster to count rural places than urban. Nothing means anything yet.

Incorrect

 

[mariachi-19]

So are people getting their panties in a twist or are we actually fecked? I remember Biden being down by tons and then just surging ahead as the major population centers came in. We aren’t expecting something similar?

I’m starting to think the same. Last time was just as bad.

 

[Utd heap]

So are people getting their panties in a twist or are we actually fecked? I remember Biden being down by tons and then just surging ahead as the major population centers came in. We aren’t expecting something similar?

Very possible, but the pessimism if you're anti Trump is fair for now.

 

[Morty_]

He's a 78 year old fat cnut, would he see out the full term?

Good 40% of the electorate thinks he is the fittest person ever, he broke the brains of tens of millions of people.

 

[Florida Man]

Up to this past weekend I saw imports driven by Puerto Ricans destroy their domestics.

Puerto Ricans do love them some Japanese imports. Where I live, I have the pleasure of hearing those loud things all night long.

 

[Abizzz]

He's a 78 year old fat cnut, would he see out the full term?

As bad as we know Trump is I really don't fancy Vance as replacement.

 

[oneniltothearsenal]

It's why I and no doubt others would be interested in seeing the breakdown of the 43 States and how they vote usually so we can get a sense of which of the swing states are most important to each candidate.

Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia
Maybe Iowa

 

[simonhch]

Having lived in the USA for twenty years, I can say that they are amongst the stupidest people on the planet, so anything is possible tonight.

 

[oneniltothearsenal]

Incorrect

How so?

 

[Raoul]

So are people getting their panties in a twist or are we actually fecked?

Definitely the former, not the latter. She is still on course to win the blue wall, which is what she needs to win the Presidency. Lets see what happens in PA.

 

[InfiniteBoredom]

Any chance of a bigger upset? 10 point shift is huge but looking at it its shouldn't have been really close at all.

It's not a 10 point swing, Biden won by 10.1%.

The NC call by Decision Desk is kinda insane, btw, similar to the Arizona Fox call. They might well be right, but so many suburbs still outstanding and almost nothing from Charlotte.

 

[altodevil]

How so?

First part yeah fine. But suggesting nothing means anything yet is sadly just not the case.

 

[Reditus]

Definitely the former, not the latter. She is still on course to win the blue wall, which is what she needs to win the Presidency. Lets see what happens in PA.

Say more nice things

I need to be comforted

 

[oneniltothearsenal]

First part yeah fine. But suggesting nothing means anything yet is sadly just not the case.

So what results do you think are meaningful right now?

 

[DOTA]

He's a 78 year old fat cnut, would he see out the full term?

 

[RDCR07]

Say more nice things

I need to be comforted

 

[Red in STL]

Gwinnett county in GA has 399k mail in ballots to be counted but apparently there is some problem/delay with the software so they are delayed. Thats a democratic stronghold.

GA has 1.5 million to count yet, mostly in large suburban areas

 

[DarkLord1984]

Having lived in the USA for twenty years, I can say that they are amongst the stupidest people on the planet, so anything is possible tonight.

I was there for a few months, and met some wonderfully kind and generous people.

However, I also saw some pretty impressive stupidity at the same time, so yeah..... gonna be interesting, that's for sure.

 

[Reditus]

He would be a disaster, but he isn’t Trump.

 

[Redplane]

It's not a 10 point swing, Biden won by 10.1%.

The NC call by Decision Desk is kinda insane, btw, similar to the Arizona Fox call. They might well be right, but so many suburbs still outstanding and almost nothing from Charlotte.

It's easy to forget all these channels are competing for air time atm. Reason why I dont watch any of em bc then id truly go nuts.

 

[altodevil]

So what results do you think are meaningful right now?

Every single one of them.

 

[JagUTD]

Wisconsin, Michigan, Pennsylvania, Arizona, Nevada, North Carolina, Georgia
Maybe Iowa

I know who the States are, they're plastered everywhere and what they worth in terms of the EC, but what about the other 43 and how they lean?

Based on the results so far I get the picture the swing states are more important to the democrats than to the republicans.

 

[RDCR07]

GA has 1.5 million to count yet, mostly in large suburban areas

True but I was alluding to the fact that reporting could be delayed for democratic votes.

 

[Tarrou]

I just dumped my profit fom trading the market earlier on Kamala to win from here

odds look good now IMO (20%) considiering its looking kinda okay

bring on the blue wave!

 

[Lightbringer]

My black lesbian womens hockey fan friends in PA is voting for Trump today, so I know Trump would have a decent chance to compete in PA!

 

[Florida Man]

I know who the States are, they're plastered everywhere and what they worth in terms of the EC, but what about the other 43 and how they lean?

Based on the results so far I get the picture the swing states are more important to the democrats than to the republicans.

Important to both sides because it swings elections. The electoral count of the other 40+ states aren’t enough to win the election respectively.

 

[Bosnian_fan]

I know who the States are, they're plastered everywhere and what they worth in terms of the EC, but what about the other 43 and how they lean?

Based on the results so far I get the picture the swing states are more important to the democrats than to the republicans.

Democrats need 44 electoral votes from swing states, Republicans 51. This time at least. So they are more important to Republicans this time round.

 

[Florida Man]

I just dumped my profit fom trading the market earlier on Kamala to win from here

odds look good now IMO (20%) considiering its looking kinda okay

bring on the blue wave!

Throw a tenner on Trump as a Plan B