2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed

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Is NC called for Trump?Seeing that on social media
 
amolbhatia50k said:
Which is huge right given she’s sat on a paltry 99? Or have they been calling only typically red states? How are the swing states going so far - I read that he’s leading in all.
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It is typical at this stage of the night. Republicans run it up early in the night and Dems catch up later. Swing states like GA he is leading but the stronghold of dems in and around Atlanta haven’t been counted yet so it will be closer in a couple of hours.
 
Well, NC being gone is more surprising, i may have to tune out of news for 4 years straight.
 
So given only 7 states even matter in the US and they account for what? 95 EC votes, what's the split between each party minus those 7 States?
 
amolbhatia50k said:
That’s what my friend said - that it’ll be hilarious if it happens and that the US deserve it

Personally, while it will be entertaining, vile abhorrent people like Trump and his administration winning this is bad for the world at large and a huge win for the extemist right wing politics and values, everywhere. It’s more important than people (outside the US) think.
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And start thinking about a plan b. Pun intended.
I can't begin to imagine the chaos with elon pulling his strings.
 


I'm getting to the stage of 'what are the things to look forward to in four more years of Trump'? The moment him and Elon turn on each other is going to be phenomenal entertainment.
 
Trump potentially taking all seven swing states? Would be madness.
 
Quick one as it's not been mentioned of late so I think we are allowed.

Betting markets big swing towards Trump of late. Kamala available at 3/1+ now.

Far from terminal, but ineresting (for some of us).

Will now shut up for a while again.
 
amolbhatia50k said:
Which is huge right given she’s sat on a paltry 99? Or have they been calling only typically red states? How are the swing states going so far - I read that he’s leading in all.
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Middle is largely red. Polls close first on the east coast and moves west. Trump was expected to take the lead.
He is looking good in GA and NC which Harris wouldve liked to win.. but if she wins PA, she still has a great chance.
No upsets so far. A lot of the states are locked in before counting even starts..

Will go down to a few key states..
https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2024/11/05/us/elections/results-president-forecast-needle.html
check out the "Which states will decide the election?" section lower down the page.
 
So out of 50 states in the USA, 43 of them are all pretty much guaranteed to have the majority vote for the same candidate every election, so every election is dependent on what happens with these 7 swing states, barring any major upsets with the other 43? Is this correct?

Not a US citizen here, just trying to make sense of it all.
 
Gwinnett county in GA has 399k mail in ballots to be counted but apparently there is some problem/delay with the software so they are delayed. Thats a democratic stronghold.
 
InfiniteBoredom said:
Because Northern VA (NOVA) always come it last and that's where most of the Democratic margin come from. At the moment it looks like a +5 win, which is a 5 point shift rightward from 2020.
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Any chance of a bigger upset? 10 point shift is huge but looking at it its shouldn't have been really close at all.
 
Utd heap said:
Quick one as it's not been mentioned of late so I think we are allowed.

Betting markets big swing towards Trump of late. Kamala available at 3/1+ now.

Far from terminal, but ineresting (for some of us).

Will now shut up for a while again.
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Polymarket on 80% Trump now...
 
Utd heap said:
Quick one as it's not been mentioned of late so I think we are allowed.

Betting markets big swing towards Trump of late. Kamala available at 3/1+ now.

Far from terminal, but ineresting (for some of us).

Will now shut up for a while again.
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I remember in the last election that within an hour trump went from 3/1 to 1/5 then lost.
 
DarkLord1984 said:
So out of 50 states in the USA, 43 of them are all pretty much guaranteed to have the majority vote for the same candidate every election, so every election is dependent on what happens with these 7 swing states, barring any major upsets with the other 43? Is this correct?

Not a US citizen here, just trying to make sense of it all.
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Yeah pretty much that’s why citizens votes in these 43 states don’t really determine the Presidential race but they determine the congressional seats for both the House and the Senate.
 
Utd heap said:
Quick one as it's not been mentioned of late so I think we are allowed.

Betting markets big swing towards Trump of late. Kamala available at 3/1+ now.

Far from terminal, but ineresting (for some of us).

Will now shut up for a while again.
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Apparently that Trump media group shot up 30%
 
RDCR07 said:
It is typical at this stage of the night. Republicans run it up early in the night and Dems catch up later. Swing states like GA he is leading but the stronghold of dems in and around Atlanta haven’t been counted yet so it will be closer in a couple of hours.
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Out of the dem counties, only Gwinnett county has some votes left to count. Fulton, DeKalb are almost 80% reported.

GA is as good as gone.

Cannot believe this.
 
RDCR07 said:
Yeah pretty much that’s why citizens votes in these 43 states don’t really determine the Presidential race but they determine the congressional seats for both the House and the Senate.
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Fascinating. Thank you
 
JagUTD said:
Given he's on 177 already that would be it. No way he gets all 7 though.
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Would probably be surprising, but NYT projector has 6/7 leaning Trump with only WI at 50/50. Of course it's just a projector, but all signs are bad at the moment.
 
ThierryHenry said:


I'm getting to the stage of 'what are the things to look forward to in four more years of Trump'? The moment him and Elon turn on each other is going to be phenomenal entertainment.
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The website has different numbers than that?
 
Kaush949 said:
Out of the dem counties, only Gwinnett county has some votes left to count. Fulton, DeKalb are almost 80% reported.

GA is as good as gone.

Cannot believe this.
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Yeah but even if the dems get 2/3 of those mail in ballots that’s an extra 200k+ in their favor.
 
DarkLord1984 said:
So out of 50 states in the USA, 43 of them are all pretty much guaranteed to have the majority vote for the same candidate every election, so every election is dependent on what happens with these 7 swing states, barring any major upsets with the other 43? Is this correct?

Not a US citizen here, just trying to make sense of it all.
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That might the case this election but if you go through history you see massive changes. Nixon literally won 49 states in 1972.
 
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