2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed
- Thread starter Raoul
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So who's winning and how the heck did these 2 become the only candidates 
I can see quiet a few social issues arising regardless of the outcome and it's all very devise from both sides of the political divide, it's all very much out of hand.
I can see quiet a few social issues arising regardless of the outcome and it's all very devise from both sides of the political divide, it's all very much out of hand.
Georgia won’t matter if we can get the three “northern” states.
He should be on a one-way ticket to Mars, after all, it's his dream to go there, let him have the honor.
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It matters a hell of a lot against whatever plot they are brewing up to try stealing it. A convincing EC win is much harder to overturn.
The share of black voters in GA so far is decent. We know that republicans will vote more early this time than 4 years ago.
But the question with regards to the tweet: what’s the benchmark? Overall vote in 2020 or only early vote in 2020?
If it’s relative to the EV, then that’s expected. A rural county with 10k early votes in 2020 posted 12k this year… a 20% increase. Looks great, but then these voters won’t vote on Election Day.
To be clear, I rather people cast their votes early, and republicans are doing better this year in that department. But context matters.
Blocked out this from orangey’s first term:
They represent americans pretty well. A bunch of racist nationalists on one side and a bunch of status quo liberals on the other.
Momentum seems to be going Harris' way. More endorsements from big names, the MSG fiasco from the Trump campaign etc.
Touchè
How is cruptocurrency and selling weed is a distiction for black people and help them in anywsy as positive discrimination to recover of centuries of negative discrimination?
Is gollowing up in creating industry for black owners through legalization. Not frlm a persective of smoking
Your example is dumb and certainly racist
I have no idea what your on about here.
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I think Harris at 6/4 might be good value here
do we know roughly which states will call early on? that would be useful info to have
do we know roughly which states will call early on? that would be useful info to have
I tiny part of me wants to see how disastrous Trump would do if he actually won. He's already extremely low energy now. Imagine him dealing with being POTUS for the next four years. It would be a disaster.
Trump's cooked.
Just tuned into his Virginia rally a couple of minutes now, the fecker is still ranting about Musk's rocket
It would be President Vance within 18 months, either via the 25th or his heart exploding.
No the firewall is apparently 500k but it's most likely bullshit anyway.
I'm expecting a Trump victory but I'm just glad I saw it coming this time. 2016 was just a horrible shock, I thought Hillary had it in the bag.
Yeah, that part I'd rather not see.
My understanding is that 500k includes indy votes, which they expect will break about 70/30 Harris
I do wonder if Trump Vs a woman tilts the race much more in his favour.
HUGE NEWS. If you know polling, you know Ann Selzer is one of the best in the country and her Iowa poll is seen as a bellwether for the rest of the country. She has Harris leading Trump in Iowa.....
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/s...ald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/
https://www.desmoinesregister.com/s...ald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/
I mean, no way is she actually winning Iowa, but it sure is very bad news for Trump regardless, which is good.
Holy shit. Did not see that coming.
I was gonna put £100 on Harris at the beginning of the week because from what I'd seen things seemed to be pointing towards her.
Chickened out in the end.
Chickened out in the end.
Oh feck, isn't Selzer super reliable in Iowa? That's not great for Trump. Really surprised by that one.
Could the polls be underestimating Harris this year then?
Could the polls be underestimating Harris this year then?
I would cool the breaks just a little, it had Trump up over Biden by 18 points in June, down to Trump 4 points over Harris couple of months ago, to now a Harris lead by 3.
Now, its certainly very bad for Trump either way, but these swings seem too huge to be believable for me, we will find out soon.
The betting markets are going crazy now.
Waking up to MAGA tears from that Selzer poll
They went very quickly from 'best in the business' to 'Des Moines Register is a liberal paper in a liberal city and she's a hack'
They went very quickly from 'best in the business' to 'Des Moines Register is a liberal paper in a liberal city and she's a hack'
Holy sh*t Ann Selzer.
It's hilarious. Her track record speaks for itself.Waking up to MAGA tears from that Selzer poll
They went very quickly from 'best in the business' to 'Des Moines Register is a liberal paper in a liberal city and she's a hack'
https://eu.desmoinesregister.com/st...ald-trump-2024-presidential-race/75354033007/
I was certain of a Trump victory but less so now. Even if Selzer is slightly off, a narrow Trump lead in Iowa isn't really good enough f he wants to take the rust belt is it?
Maybe Americans are not as fecking horrible as we feared.
I wouldn't worry about polling, ever since early voting started tbh.
Harris to make surprise SNL appearance.
Went very quickly from 16 to 08 after that one poll on libs twitter, it's kinda insane.
Went very quickly from 16 to 08 after that one poll on libs twitter, it's kinda insane.
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