2024 U.S. Elections | Thread Closed

Status
Not open for further replies.
Surpsingly sensible speech. I hope these keep coming. Even white supremacists and nazis are starting to see the flaws.

Which is a bit odd, maybe they realised that actual nazisim is far scarier than for profit nazism?

He actually voted for Kerry over Bush as well before descending into his pre 2019 white nationalist career. Believe he also voted for Biden in 2020.
 
We will most likely know the winner by Wednesday night. The Blue Wall + NC will finish counting, or near enough.
With all the early voting, we should know the outcome much sooner. But Republicans in some states don’t want early voting to be counted early so that Trump can declare victory at 10 pm when millions of votes are still to be counted.

A banana republic.
 
Dems won the last day of in person voting in Clark.

The tiniest of doubt is starting to creep in for MAGA, they've been loud about how NV is in the bag for them, it's beautiful.
 
Do you have the mail from last night?

Also:


Not sure if I'm reading this correctly: Traditionally, Democrats voters are more likely to vote by mail while Republicans prefer to vote in person so a high amount of mail votes suggests a favorable outcome for Democrats, right? If so, am I correct in guessing this suggests a high voter turnout among and not that swing voters are leaning towards Democrats?

My logic was: Swing voters will not suddenly switch their preferred "voting channel" if they switch from red to blue so more mail ballots suggests a high turnout from their core voters. But it could also just be natural growth of a more comfortable way to elect.
 
Not reported yet, I'm actually also relying on him, all US SOS website blocked foreign access this year sadly. No more F5 every 30s on Fulton County board of election website for me.
Thank you. I couldn’t find it either.

Not sure if I'm reading this correctly: Traditionally, Democrats voters are more likely to vote by mail while Republicans prefer to vote in person so a high amount of mail votes suggests a favorable outcome for Democrats, right? If so, am I correct in guessing this suggests a high voter turnout among and not that swing voters are leaning towards Democrats?

My logic was: Swing voters will not suddenly switch their preferred "voting channel" if they switch from red to blue so more mail ballots suggests a high turnout from their core voters. But it could also just be natural growth of a more comfortable way to elect.
Yes. In NV, and other states, Republicans prefer in person early voting than mail, and the Dems prefer mail.

The Republicans are currently leading in NV, but there are few reasons for the Democrats to stay optimistic:
1. Mail will continue to come for days.
2. The “Others” tend to be young(er) and vote later. They’re expected to break for the Democrats.
3. This year, many republicans are voting early than on Election Day. Ralston says 82% of GOP early voters voted on Election Day in 2022 (he cites a “data guru”). They may not have enough votes left.

So, obviously you rather be ahead by 40k votes than behind, but it’s not over yet. Having said that, Harris might need Others to break her way something like 53-47 or more to win if the Democrats don’t close the gap substantially by Tuesday.
 
Not reported yet, I'm actually also relying on him, all US SOS website blocked foreign access this year sadly. No more F5 every 30s on Fulton County board of election website for me.
I am pretty sure there will be a fair few of us in this thread Tuesday night, with tabs open for each swing state, furiously clicking refresh all.
 
I am pretty sure there will be a fair few of us in this thread Tuesday night, with tabs open for each swing state, furiously clicking refresh all.

I did that in 2020, was a wreck the day after :lol: The worst part is that I sort of knew it was going to take longer due to the volume of mail votes...
 
I did that in 2020, was a wreck the day after :lol: The worst part is that I sort of knew it was going to take longer due to the volume of mail votes...
Florida reports quickly. If Harris is within 2-3 points there and the same day vote in other swing states is not strongly skewed in favor of Trump, we can get a good idea about where this is going.
 
Florida reports quickly. If Harris is within 2-3 points there and the same day vote in other swing states is not strongly skewed in favor of Trump, we can get a good idea about where this is going.

Hopefully! I'm planning to go to bed around 00 or 01 GMT and then get up at 5 AM.
 
I am pretty sure there will be a fair few of us in this thread Tuesday night, with tabs open for each swing state, furiously clicking refresh all.
Keep a tab open for Oconee Co., GA. It's a heavily red area but with high income, high education attainment suburban Rs, the sort of Republicans Harris is courting. If she overperforms Biden there (32.8%), it's a pretty good indicator for the same kind of voters elsewhere in the state. They are also at very high turnout atm, 102% of 2020 EV and 90.2% of 2020 total.
 
Hopefully! I'm planning to go to bed around 00 or 01 GMT and then get up at 5 AM.
I plan on not sleeping..... well unless things are going real bad in which case the removal of coffee from the bourbon/coffee ratio will take care of things.
 
Keep a tab open for Oconee Co., GA. It's a heavily red area but with high income, high education attainment suburban Rs, the sort of Republicans Harris is courting. If she overperforms Biden there (32.8%), it's a pretty good indicator for the same kind of voters elsewhere in the state. They are also at very high turnout atm, 102% of 2020 EV and 90.2% of 2020 total.
My in laws lived there for a good bit, so I know there area.
 
I plan on not sleeping..... well unless things are going real bad in which case the removal of coffee from the bourbon/coffee ratio will take care of things.
I'm finish work at 2:30 pm CST, gonna have a nap for a few hours, have coffee on standby and take it from there
 
Feeling a lot happier and more confident today of quite a big Harris win.
I doubt it will be a big win or the polls would be more off than they've ever been. I would guess she edges it in a narrow victory via the rust belt and NE02, 270-268.
 
So, after having looked up an endless amount of polls, I'm none the wiser. At all.

Who's looking to be the favourite at this point?
 
So, after having looked up an endless amount of polls, I'm none the wiser. At all.

Who's looking to be the favourite at this point?
Dark Brandon gonna declare the election null and void and set himself up as Dictator for Life under the umbrella of 'official acts', as declared by the Supreme Court.
 
I'm reading an article in my Dutch newspaper how the US population isn't actually as divided as their politicians and elections make them seem. The journalists has been talking to hundreds of people across the country and is bringing up various research projects as well - and as a whole, the country is much less radically polarized as things may seem. But politicians create polarizing situations where people believe lies and start thinking of the other half as crazy and dangerous. (All that notwithstanding small groups that are actually radically this or that of course.)

For example, in one project, they asked Democrats for their support for ideas that would making voting harder for Republicans and vice versa. Neither group supported those ideas, but both fully believed that the other group did - and were then first incredulous and subsequently happily surprised to find out they didn't.

I'm not sure where I'm taking this, as of course politicians currently thrive on those divisions, so saying that the solution is 'just' having different politicians is a pipe dream. It might also be the wrong thread. But it's nice to know that the insanity is actually largely fabricated and can be undone. (And the same applies to other countries, of course.)
 
Status
Not open for further replies.