DeWine
2022 US Elections
- Thread starter calodo2003
- Start date
Is that a reflection of models moving towards likely voters or an actual change in the same data sets?
538 still showing pretty much 70/30 Repubicans for the house
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/house/?cid=rrpromo
and 70/30 Dems for the senate
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2022-election-forecast/senate/?cid=rrpromo
I know they mentioned they were expecting the polls to tighten when the pollsters switched to likley voters
It can't be a reflection of models moving towards likely voters, since that would increase the GOP lead instead of decreasing it, I'm pretty sure.
538 implied it would see it leveling out on the basis that the dem base is pretty strong and motivated but there a number of people who perhaps dont like the gas prices or something who on a generic ballot will say republican but re not likley to turn out
was on their last 538 politics podcast where they talked through their models and some polling anomalies
That's where I got it from as well, I thought they said the opposite.
Gavin must've had good fun with her.
They'll eat up that rhetoric. He's as dumb as a stick of glue but pandering to this mentality is more important than substance.
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They decided that god endowed them with unalienable rights.. At least that part checks out.
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This has to motivate independents & sane Republicans…
Independents and what?
Point taken.
Well, that settles that…
It’s really worrying how little discussion on U.S presidential candidates is focussed around actual, solid policies…
It just seems to be superfluous populism appealing to either the (increasingly far-) right or the left.
Trump isn’t someone who I really even consider an actual politician, which is really odd. More a ‘personality’, a symbolic celebrity.
I simply don’t believe he could hang in a deep discussion about serious politics with even, say, Boris Johnson.
There’s a toxicity that flows through all of American politics right now, a real, tangible toxicity.
It’s like it’s been infiltrated by something… or broken in some way and the cause can’t be readily defined and fixed.
It just seems to be superfluous populism appealing to either the (increasingly far-) right or the left.
Trump isn’t someone who I really even consider an actual politician, which is really odd. More a ‘personality’, a symbolic celebrity.
I simply don’t believe he could hang in a deep discussion about serious politics with even, say, Boris Johnson.
There’s a toxicity that flows through all of American politics right now, a real, tangible toxicity.
It’s like it’s been infiltrated by something… or broken in some way and the cause can’t be readily defined and fixed.
Trumpist populism has always been out there, it’s different now due to it being normalized.
Room for a thousand spectators, but Abbott would not agree to it...
This is happening somewhat under the radar.
Her face at the end sums it up well...
In my town there is literally a slot in a wall where people can place unwanted babies like making a bank deposit. It closes to the inside so it's heat controlled and I imagine someone is alerted if it's used. Gonna be a lot more popular.
I adopted a dog that went through a similar process.
Never heard of it, which town do you live in?
Piece of trash. This doubly angers me as a dog person and also as a scientist. Lab animals are absolutely crucial for studies (and anyone, no mater their "credentials" who tells you otherwise is full of shit), but shit like this, rightly, inflames anger against animal models. How Columbia's IACUC (Institutional Animal Care and Use Committee) board didn't flag this is bullshit.
Hopefully Fetterman proper goes after him on this, as his campaign has started to look a little lacklustre in recent weeks and this has allowed Oz to get closer in the polls recently.
Genius.
brutal. Mortal Kombat level finishing.Was waiting for this.
It was inevitable and 100% guaranteed to have happened.