Keep watching NC and GA. They’re still interesting.
2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress
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In the latest episode of the United Hour Podcast, Nik (@Rood) and Jamie (@Vault Dweller) are here to talk about United's dreadful home defeat at the hands of Big Ange's Tottenham Hotspur. Should this have been the end of Ten Hag? How long does he actually have left? And does Nik finally want ETH out?!
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Wisconsin Michigan Pennsylvania. Looks likes these 3 will decide it
I disagree. This was a referendum on last 4 yrs of Trump.
Fox called AZ for Biden
Pennsylvania is going to be huge, mail in ballots being counted last there.
Things looking up a little bit now.
Truth. Not counting on them but not over either.
If Biden can't win with that kind of lead this late in the game, he's a total fraud. Another hipster unmasked.
Even in the bluest of blues there are 30-40% republicans, You seems to think that all those mails are democrats. It's not.
Odd on Biden from 4 to 2.2 post AZ.
Democrats didnt move close enough to the centre. Kasich2024
From 538:
Anyone else noticing how much CNN is focusing on repeating a theme of “lots of ballots, all need to be counted”? So depressing they need to do it.
Mail in ballots in this election ARE heavily Dem. This is not a guarantee it's enough to win, but it's perfectly possible.
More questions for those in the know:
- are the Trump leads in WI and MI surmountable?
- if so how likely is it they will go blue?
- what is likely to happen in NV?
- are the Trump leads in WI and MI surmountable?
- if so how likely is it they will go blue?
- what is likely to happen in NV?
This may as well be Chinese to me
Good news, I’m assuming if Arizona is done it’s very big
You are joking? The Dems have not only ignored, but suppressed the progressive elements in their party in 2016, and again in 2020 both at State and Presidential levels.
I can only comment on WI. Pretty good chance we go blue here.
State of play
Biden wins if he wins AZ and PA, or AZ and WI and MI, or PA and WI and MI
Trump wins if he wins PA or one of WI and MI, or if he wins PA and AZ
We get a tie if Bidens wins AZ and WI and MI but loses one seat in either ME or NE
Trump wins in this scenario.
Senate will either end 48-52 or 49-51 for Dems.
Dems will win the House.
Biden wins if he wins AZ and PA, or AZ and WI and MI, or PA and WI and MI
Trump wins if he wins PA or one of WI and MI, or if he wins PA and AZ
We get a tie if Bidens wins AZ and WI and MI but loses one seat in either ME or NE
Trump wins in this scenario.
Senate will either end 48-52 or 49-51 for Dems.
Dems will win the House.
You do know that’s there are roughly 1m votes in the city of Philadelphia alone not counting its suburbs right? 70-30 there and Biden takes the lead.
Don’t think the votes remain in NC, GA would need a heavy lift.
500k votes left in NC. Trump only leads by 75k. If that somehow flips to Biden then he's certain to win with Wisconsin very close and Michigan closing with large Dem centres outstanding. Interesting one.
I still think Biden is going to win. Feck the odds.Yeah, Nathaniel, it’s pretty clear that we are a long way from knowing the result in in many states, including Pennsylvania, where just 42 percent of the expected vote is in, according to ABC News. At the moment, Trump leads there, but none of the five big counties in the Philadelphia area have reported more than 33 percent of their expected vote, and Allegheny County (Pittsburgh) has reported just 17 percent. So just as I wrote before the election, I think we can expect a big “blue shift” in the results thanks to as-yet-uncounted votes in these Democratic-leaning areas, which might be enough to put Biden in the lead — although the jury’s most definitely still out there.
He probably had the tweet fashioned ahead of time with the state name blank, just waiting for the proper time.
So is it likely that Trump will just need one of those 3?
Or at least, I assume you're kidding from the Kasich comment, cause the Dems have moved so far to the centre that they shot right past it into the centre-right...
He does not understand statistics. I have given up.
25% to about 45%
It’s tight in NC but not impossible. It would be a nice surprise, but not outside the realms of possibility.
How many more years before we can get AOC? 2040?
He probably is joking and I bit.
Or at least, I assume you're kidding from the Kasich comment, cause the Dems have moved so far to the centre that they shot right past it into the centre-right...
Wasn't expecting that from Arizona. Game on.
I’m a little calmer now. Likely big losses in NC somewhat offset by likely big wins in AZ. Still need Biden to win overall for those ETFs. NE2 looks promising though will shift. I don’t like it but it is what it is.
@sport2793 John McCain is a true American hero. Trump fecked with the wrong navy boy.
@Kentonio apologies, wasn’t in a great mood earlier for questions. i have bad financial exposure in NC, hence not amused.
@sport2793 John McCain is a true American hero. Trump fecked with the wrong navy boy.
@Kentonio apologies, wasn’t in a great mood earlier for questions. i have bad financial exposure in NC, hence not amused.
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Some of those are mail-in votes too I think. We don’t know how many. BBC talking like North Carolina and Georgia is finished and how well trump has done is doing my head in.
I think Fox is doing a caf and trying to jinx
Michigan senator runnning behind Biden, NC senator same margin.'
Collins cruising, a genuine shock.
Collins cruising, a genuine shock.
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