Libano
Full Member
It is a 5% swing in Trump's favor.
Same as TX, same as FL. (slightly lower)
Polling has been wrong by 3-4%.
Quinnipeg had Biden by 5 a few days ago. I saw a few even more optimistic ones.
It is a 5% swing in Trump's favor.
Same as TX, same as FL. (slightly lower)
Polling has been wrong by 3-4%.
The economy is tanking and unemployment is spiking though.
Iowa doesn't matter, I think. Biden still needs to win 3 out of AZ, WI, MI and PA (if my math is correct). In fact, it matters only if he wins IO but loses NE-2 which probably is not gonna happen.As it stands, 40% of votes have been counted and Joe Biden is leading 57% to 41%.
Polk County - which has a voter population almost double that of any other county in Iowa - has reported 94% of its vote. Biden is leading 57% to 41% there.
Hillary Clinton managed 52% and Obama 56%. In fact in 2012, Polk County made up 16% of Obama's total vote in Iowa.
Quinnipeg had Biden by 5 a few days ago. I saw a few even more optimistic ones.
Yeah.. but they'll be counting for a few days.CNN, currently have Trump ahead at Pennsylvania
Iowa doesn't matter, I think. Biden still needs to win 3 out of AZ, WI, MI and PA (if my math is correct). In fact, it matters only if he wins IO but loses NE-2 which probably is not gonna happen.
That's also what I get from the news looking at people's actual motivations. People are not nearly as far apart as hyper-partisan politics suggest. But those politics have managed to push fake narratives (the dems are socialists, nonsense about health care) and peripheral issues (gun control and abortion) to the centre, fostering a divide that doesn't exist in people's day-to-day lives. I see some of it in Canada now also; I just hope it won't become as prominent.I've started to ignore everything about the culture war over time. Many years ago I followed the latest scandals and would argue with people about it etc. But it has 0 bearing on my life 99% of the time. But when you listen to people, especially conservatives, you notice that they do care about that stuff and they care a lot.
Excuse me?Looks like GOP flipped the House
What?Looks like GOP flipped the House
The Democrats have already retained control of it.Looks like GOP flipped the House
Serious question why did you vote for Trump ?
Are you insinuating he was thread-banned? For saying he voted for Trump?
We rightly ban them all in the end anyway. It saves time if we just make it policy.
What?
His detailed knowledge of counties and their electoral is really quite something.That last section by John king was so good
Pretty much this but on a larger scale.
Seriously though the simple reason is the same as why anyone votes for their candidate - shared political views. Plus, Biden/Harris is a horrible ticket, dems would've been popping champagne at this hour with a half decent candidate.
It is very hard to see Trump winning Ohio by 7 points or so, winning PA, but losing MI and WI.How likely is this map where Trump loses even if he wins pensylvania?
Florida is probably the hardest state to predict in the entire USA. Dems had a blow out in 2018 mid terms. Florida voted in a rep Gov and a rep senator before the rest of the country had results come in and most of the same people in here lost their minds. Then woke up the next morning to realise it was actually a huge night for dems. There's a long way to go in this race.Polls also had Biden a slight favorite in Florida, and this seems to have been the biggest error in polls. But you are right, Ohio, Georgia, and North Carolina (especially the former two) were leaning-Trump based on polls. N Carolina was a tossup and well, it seems that it was (in the end Trump is gonna win it by 1-2 points).
From a more conservative analyst, just for some balance to the doom.
Apologies for reading the screen wrong.Pretty much this but on a larger scale.
Seriously though the simple reason is the same as why anyone votes for their candidate - shared political views. Plus, Biden/Harris is a horrible ticket, dems would've been popping champagne at this hour with a half decent candidate.
What channel is this Josh King guy on may I ask?
Quite possible.So are we saying Trump is on course to win a second term?
See, now this might be thread-ban worthy.Looks like GOP flipped the House
CNNWhat channel is this Josh King guy on may I ask?
It's not that unlikely though considering how close his wins were there in 2016. Plus PA was a bit closer than WI and MI in most pollsIt is very hard to see Trump winning Ohio by 7 points or so, winning PA, but losing MI and WI.
So far, he is winning more or less with the same margin as in 2016. Which means that if he wins PA, he likely wins WI and MI too.
sorry guys, just realized my mistake.The Democrats have already retained control of it.
He's jaw-droppingly good at his job.That last section by John king was so good
rookie mistake!See, now this might be thread-ban worthy.
Bankers. Polls just closed so they can say it.. Could have said that months ago.Joe Biden is projected to win California (55 Electoral College votes), Oregon (7) and Washington State (12)
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