2020 US Elections | Biden certified as President | Dems control Congress

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As it stands, 40% of votes have been counted and Joe Biden is leading 57% to 41%.

Polk County - which has a voter population almost double that of any other county in Iowa - has reported 94% of its vote. Biden is leading 57% to 41% there.

Hillary Clinton managed 52% and Obama 56%. In fact in 2012, Polk County made up 16% of Obama's total vote in Iowa.
Iowa doesn't matter, I think. Biden still needs to win 3 out of AZ, WI, MI and PA (if my math is correct). In fact, it matters only if he wins IO but loses NE-2 which probably is not gonna happen.
 
Iowa doesn't matter, I think. Biden still needs to win 3 out of AZ, WI, MI and PA (if my math is correct). In fact, it matters only if he wins IO but loses NE-2 which probably is not gonna happen.

AZ and PA and he wins.

or AZ, WI, MI

or PA, WI, MI
 
Is NC cooked? I thought there are some big counties left to vote. Wake County I think was pending and that was tipped as a big biden county?
 
I've started to ignore everything about the culture war over time. Many years ago I followed the latest scandals and would argue with people about it etc. But it has 0 bearing on my life 99% of the time. But when you listen to people, especially conservatives, you notice that they do care about that stuff and they care a lot.
That's also what I get from the news looking at people's actual motivations. People are not nearly as far apart as hyper-partisan politics suggest. But those politics have managed to push fake narratives (the dems are socialists, nonsense about health care) and peripheral issues (gun control and abortion) to the centre, fostering a divide that doesn't exist in people's day-to-day lives. I see some of it in Canada now also; I just hope it won't become as prominent.
 
Ohio is a bloodbath. Trump is 7 points ahead. This is very very bad, hard to see PA going for Biden if Trump wins OH by this margin.

I think it is time for me to go to sleep. Thanks US, you are an idiot!
 
How likely is this map where Trump loses even if he wins pensylvania?
wUQlek8.jpg
 
Serious question why did you vote for Trump ?

Are you insinuating he was thread-banned? For saying he voted for Trump?
We rightly ban them all in the end anyway. It saves time if we just make it policy.

Pretty much this but on a larger scale.

Seriously though the simple reason is the same as why anyone votes for their candidate - shared political views. Plus, Biden/Harris is a horrible ticket, dems would've been popping champagne at this hour with a half decent candidate.
 


From a more conservative analyst, just for some balance to the doom.
 
Pretty much this but on a larger scale.

Seriously though the simple reason is the same as why anyone votes for their candidate - shared political views. Plus, Biden/Harris is a horrible ticket, dems would've been popping champagne at this hour with a half decent candidate.

I have to agree with this
 
How likely is this map where Trump loses even if he wins pensylvania?
wUQlek8.jpg
It is very hard to see Trump winning Ohio by 7 points or so, winning PA, but losing MI and WI.

So far, he is winning more or less with the same margin as in 2016. Which means that if he wins PA, he likely wins WI and MI too.
 
Polls also had Biden a slight favorite in Florida, and this seems to have been the biggest error in polls. But you are right, Ohio, Georgia, and North Carolina (especially the former two) were leaning-Trump based on polls. N Carolina was a tossup and well, it seems that it was (in the end Trump is gonna win it by 1-2 points).
Florida is probably the hardest state to predict in the entire USA. Dems had a blow out in 2018 mid terms. Florida voted in a rep Gov and a rep senator before the rest of the country had results come in and most of the same people in here lost their minds. Then woke up the next morning to realise it was actually a huge night for dems. There's a long way to go in this race.
 
Pretty much this but on a larger scale.

Seriously though the simple reason is the same as why anyone votes for their candidate - shared political views. Plus, Biden/Harris is a horrible ticket, dems would've been popping champagne at this hour with a half decent candidate.
Apologies for reading the screen wrong.

What shared political views are most important to you? Did you vote for him in 2016?
 
So are we saying Trump is on course to win a second term?
Quite possible.
This is what America wants I guess. All this nonsense about how Trump is embarrassing US or how his ratings are on a historical low must stop. It's a pointless exercise which has nothing to do with things on the ground.
 
I'm finding it hard to get as worked up as others, this tight race is exactly what i expected to play out. Momentum is pointless when you're just waiting for data, just ignore it.

It's still a coin toss at this point.
 
It is very hard to see Trump winning Ohio by 7 points or so, winning PA, but losing MI and WI.

So far, he is winning more or less with the same margin as in 2016. Which means that if he wins PA, he likely wins WI and MI too.
It's not that unlikely though considering how close his wins were there in 2016. Plus PA was a bit closer than WI and MI in most polls
 
Joe Biden is projected to win California (55 Electoral College votes), Oregon (7) and Washington State (12)

[sky]
 
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