SinNombre
Full Member
- Joined
- Jan 26, 2019
- Messages
- 2,657
Anyone trying to call this race now is fecking mental. Trump has very few paths to victory, and shit like ‘OMG he won Florida!’ don’t move that needle in the slightest. He was expected to win Florida. He was expected to win Ohio. He was expected to win Georgia. So far he hasn’t done all those things, and even if he does he still needs to hold onto the old blue wall states that are extremely unlikely for him.
Don’t get me wrong, tonight could be a massive shock and Trump could win, but people are totally overlooking how narrow his path to victory actually is. He’s having a much better night than most of us expected, but he STILL needs everything from here on out to fall pretty much perfectly for him, and that is still very unlikely.
But hey, people are going to gnash their teeth and panic regardless, so have at it.
I am calling this based on actual data and have been right all evening.
People are panicking because Biden's path is shortened.
AZ has gotten really important for Biden.