President Donald Trump has been getting a lot of bad polling news lately, but the latest survey is particularly devastating, revealing that even Trump’s loyal base is cracking under the weight of the
Trump shutdown, and that a crushing majority of Americans have already decided to vote him out in 2020.
Trump’s overall approval rating in the latest NPR/PBS NewsHour/Marist
poll dipped three points since
December, from 42 percent to 39. But that support has plummeted among a number of groups important to Trump’s success.
Among Republicans, Trump has lost seven points since December, when the government shutdown began, dropping from 90 percent to 83 percent. And among groups that strongly support Trump, the news is just as bad.
Since December, he’s lost 7 points with white evangelical Christians, 7 points with white male non-college graduates, and his support among white voters overall has dipped ten points, from 50 percent to just 40 percent.
And with the 2020 Democratic primary field
taking shape, the news is even more devastating for Trump. Respondents were asked “Thinking about the 2020 election, do you definitely plan to vote for Donald Trump for reelection as president or do you definitely plan to vote against him?”
A whopping 57 percent of Americans said they “definitely” plan to vote against Trump, including 60 percent of voters in the Midwest. Even among self-identified Trump supporters, 7 percent said they’d vote against him, and another 17 percent are “unsure.”
At a similar point in Barack Obama’s presidency, 44 percent of Americans said they would “definitely” vote against his reelection. Obama
won reelection with 51 percent of the popular vote, and 47.2 percent for his opponent.
This result follows a slew of other bad polls, including one
which showed that Trump’s Oval Office address on his border wall only changed the minds of 2 percent of Americans, and others showing that Americans
overwhelmingly oppose the wall and
blame Trump for the shutdown.
Trump is still popular among Republicans, but this significant slide during his shutdown could have an effect on how long he holds out, and how long Republican lawmakers stick with him.