Donald Trump triumphed in 2016 by winning narrowly these three Rust Belt states, which he was expected to lose. Pennsylvania was the biggest surprise as well as the biggest prize among them. In theory, Trump can win without these three -- either by replacing them with three other large states -- or by picking up several smaller states that equal their combined 46 electoral votes.
But where will those replacement states come from? Presently, according to the New York Times, Trump is far behind in Pennsylvania (16 percentage points), Wisconsin (10 points) and Michigan (11 points). According to the Morning Consult, Trump’s current approval rating in Pennsylvania has plummeted 19 points since Inauguration Day.
Yeah, and according to those same polls 2 days before the election, Hillary was leading on all them states by 5-6 points and she had it in the bag. Polls are unreliable, especially in the form they're presently conducted.
Agreed on the polls. I still think these 3 plus Florida maybe are the key battleground states and whoever takes them wins.
Moore once predicted before the 2016 election that Trump would overcome long odds to defeat Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton, who was widely favored in polls.
"Donald J. Trump is going to win in November. This wretched, ignorant, dangerous part-time clown and full time sociopath is going to be our next president," the filmmaker wrote on his website at the time.
"President Trump. Go ahead and say the words, ‘cause you’ll be saying them for the next four years: 'PRESIDENT TRUMP.' "
The question are the Democrat voters going to learn their lesson and listen to people that really care and know whats up like George Lakoff and Michael Moore
Michael Moore who has his ear to the ground and interacts with thousands of regular people every week. Ignore him at your own peril.
He is going to win. I have no doubt in my mind.
George Lakoff said:"Progressives want to follow the polls … Conservatives don't follow the polls; they want to change them. Political ground is gained not when you successfully inhabit the middle ground, but when you successfully impose your framing as the 'common-sense' position."
Yeah its looking like Dems are poised to make the same mistakes they've been making.
As much as we like to mock the Republicans, the Republicans have managed to successfully paint the Dems as a radical left party with pie in the sky ideas. It is all about who can get their part to the ballot box.Yeah its looking like Dems are poised to make the same mistakes they've been making.
If the DNC pushes Biden or Harris, Trump will be president.
As much as we like to mock the Republicans, the Republicans have managed to successfully paint the Dems as a radical left party with pie in the sky ideas. It is all about who can get their part to the ballot box.
No doubt about that .But i might give Harris a fighting chanceIf the DNC pushes Biden or Harris, Trump will be president.
No doubt about that .But i might give Harris a fighting chance
Also it's telling there's not been a peep from Obama to defend Biden against some of the charges that Kamala leveled at him. Nothing. It doesn't bode well for Biden that neither Barack nor Michelle are voicing any type of support for him. I'm not talking a full endorsement - although they should - but at a bare minimum Biden is entitled to a "he's not racist" statement from the Obamas.
Biden's just not a good candidate, and not that smart.
In a sign of the shifting tides within the Democratic Party, all of the major presidential candidates skipped the most recent AIPAC summit (the annual D.C conference of the pro-Israel lobbying group). Haim blames Sanders for that phenomenon.
"I can't deny the impact that Bernie has had on the Democratic Party," he adds. "I love it when Bernie says, 'I recognize Israel's right to exist.' That's how he expresses his support of Israel. Well, thank you so very much. Are you out of your freaking mind? Oh, I'm allowed to live. Hallelujah, praise the lord."
Political watchers have taken Haim's inactivity on the primary front as a sign that he might flip to the Republicans. Not a chance, he says, though there are some Republicans he admires — "We loved McCain. We love Lindsey Graham." But he insists the Sabans will remain Democrats.
These guys are single issue donors
Just as important is what he’s voted against...e.g. the Iraq War
Just as important is what he’s voted against...e.g. the Iraq War
Yep, agreed. I think Warren or Sanders might defeat him - anyone else and it's Trump 2020.
Probably a shock to the economy then rebounds. Kinda like we saw with Trump.Not sure what your thoughts are about the economy and markets should Bernie become president.
But I honestly do not see any negative impact. I see steady market growth.
I can see those who do not like regulations putting up a fight though.
I think its "has a positive view of" "has a negative view of"What's a favorability rating?
45% are favourable to Warren being president and 41% are not?
It's surprising that a self proclaimed democratic socialist has a 50% unfavorability rating among all registered voters in the United States?Sanders tops the list of people having a negative view of? More than Biden. Surely there's some disconnect.
Sanders tops the list of people having a negative view of? More than Biden. Surely there's some disconnect.
It's surprising that a self proclaimed democratic socialist has a 50% unfavorability rating among all registered voters in the United States?
Could just be a one off poll. I’m pretty sure Sanders is viewed more favorably (although less so than his followers may like us to believe).
Literally her entire campaign is a bet that people wont bother to look at her record. It's just pure contempt for voters.
In what way?Isn't this somewhat similar to the Chinese Communist Party social credit ?
