All of it.
2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins
- Thread starter Raoul
- Start date
- Status
A rather surprising poll out of Iowa just now.
That's... interesting.
Boro score
Yes it's great, but here?Trash poll. Ann Selzer will have a poll out for Des Moines Register tomorrow, that's the gold standard. Same with Ohio. Columbus Dispatch poll out Sunday, amazing track record.
Ah.. I can understand why, to be fair. They've gone mental recently. Had a guy quote the definition of "decline" to me yesterday in there.I'm trying to stay away from the footie forums
Boro scoring = Brexit = Trump win.
I'm trying to stay away from the footie forums
Moysie won and City drew. I'm of a mind to head over there
Yeah Trump will get either NH or get Maine shared but to be different I gave him all of it.
Now I'm going to have to watch that episode again...Don't think so. It is a classic example of hedging your bets. If Trump do end up winning, you point to it and say I knew it could happen. Put up or shut up means vouch for one result and that's it, no ifs and buts.
Aaron Ramsey ready to face Spurs - http://www.ibtimes.co.uk/aaron-rams...dfielder-earns-immediate-wales-recall-1589559
Stop moaning like an attention starved contrarian and offer up your map.
Knew I should have put some money on Clinton a few days ago. She was 1.44 on Thursday, down to 1.24 now. Hardly worth making a bet at all, for fecks sake. Meanwhile Trump has gone from 3.75 to 4.5 now. So anyone betting on Trump must be kicking themselves as the odds are lengthening all the time for him and they should have waited to get better odds.
Note: This is the sort of thing that Silver's model would never pick up on, but if it could, Hillary's percentages would probably surge back into the 70s.
No it doesn't. It means back up what you're saying/do something about it, or stop talking about it.
He's said all along 'should be Hillary, might be Trump.' So there's a map of what he predicts (the clue is 'my prediction') the 289-249 win for Clinton, and then a 'if Trump IS to win', here's how it will happen.
Trump getting absolutely hammered on Twitter as in his last speech he just said when talking about the military and civilian Commanders that just handled the Mosul campaign, and I quote....
"What a group of losers we have"
The man just never learns does he?
"What a group of losers we have"
The man just never learns does he?
So even they conceded NV is gone.
What makes them think they can get Michigan ?
Winning each of FL, NC, OH, and MI seems like a tall order. He may win 2 or 3 though.
I'm also not entirely convinced he is running away with things in AZ and GA.
Hope and prayers.
They must have some internal polling suggesting a bit of weakness in Hillary's numbers. Also, among the 3 northern states (WI, MI, MN), Michigan has the most EVs and a good share of blue collar voters who Trump probably thinks are ripe for the taking given his populist anti-Trade messages. That said, he has never led there, and in fairness, Hillary has about the same chance of nicking GA and AZ as Trump has of taking the likes of MI and PA.
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/
Ronald Reagan gained 2-3 in last 24 hours of his election win. Went into Sunday level on polls, put in a live statesman like bit of acting and his polling jumped.
Can be done
Incorrect.
Wrong!
Neither Clinton nor any of her surrogates is going to Michigan these three last days. Are they that sure it's in the bag?!!
here are the scheduled events for Clinton, Obama and the rest https://hillaryspeeches.com/scheduled-events/
here are the scheduled events for Clinton, Obama and the rest https://hillaryspeeches.com/scheduled-events/
Michigan is polling somewhere around +7 at the moment so it's safe to say it's in the bag.
Here's a list of all the states and roughly where they stand at the moment.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=0
Here's a list of all the states and roughly where they stand at the moment.
http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/upshot/presidential-polls-forecast.html?_r=0
This is one courageous man.
She went there the day before yesterday IIRC. Mostly to gin up enthusiasm since there's minimal early voting.
She went there the day before yesterday IIRC. Mostly to gin up enthusiasm since there's minimal early voting.
Nate has it at just 3.8. Why are we not having enough late quality polls this year?!! Only one in the last week and had Clinton at +4
I'm concerned about the locations of Alaska and Hawaii
Nate's model is screwing us up I assume. He still has NV going to Trump!!
Christ almighty, what's that sitting behind him!?
Trump's campaign probably thinks they have a shot in MI due to no early voting, so if they can close the gap in the final days they may feel they have a chance of nicking it on the 8th.
- Status