2016 US Presidential Elections | Trump Wins

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In fairness, he's made it clear one is his prediction and the other is just a possibility to fear.

Don't think so. It is a classic example of hedging your bets. If Trump do end up winning, you point to it and say I knew it could happen. Put up or shut up means vouch for one result and that's it, no ifs and buts.
 
Don't think so. It is a classic example of hedging your bets. If Trump do end up winning, you point to it and say I knew it could happen. Put up or shut up means vouch for one result and that's it, no ifs and buts.

Stop moaning like an attention starved contrarian and offer up your map.
 
Knew I should have put some money on Clinton a few days ago. She was 1.44 on Thursday, down to 1.24 now. Hardly worth making a bet at all, for fecks sake. Meanwhile Trump has gone from 3.75 to 4.5 now. So anyone betting on Trump must be kicking themselves as the odds are lengthening all the time for him and they should have waited to get better odds.
 
Put up or shut up means vouch for one result and that's it, no ifs and buts.

No it doesn't. It means back up what you're saying/do something about it, or stop talking about it.

He's said all along 'should be Hillary, might be Trump.' So there's a map of what he predicts (the clue is 'my prediction') the 289-249 win for Clinton, and then a 'if Trump IS to win', here's how it will happen.
 
Trump getting absolutely hammered on Twitter as in his last speech he just said when talking about the military and civilian Commanders that just handled the Mosul campaign, and I quote....

"What a group of losers we have"

The man just never learns does he?
 
What makes them think they can get Michigan ?

They must have some internal polling suggesting a bit of weakness in Hillary's numbers. Also, among the 3 northern states (WI, MI, MN), Michigan has the most EVs and a good share of blue collar voters who Trump probably thinks are ripe for the taking given his populist anti-Trade messages. That said, he has never led there, and in fairness, Hillary has about the same chance of nicking GA and AZ as Trump has of taking the likes of MI and PA.


http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/michigan/
 
The RCP Average has Hillary + 2.3% with Trump never having eclipsed 45%. If he wins, he would have to basically finish with an amazing surge where the final numbers eclipse 45%

Ronald Reagan gained 2-3 in last 24 hours of his election win. Went into Sunday level on polls, put in a live statesman like bit of acting and his polling jumped.

Can be done
 
This is one courageous man.



Neither Clinton nor any of her surrogates is going to Michigan these three last days. Are they that sure it's in the bag?!!

here are the scheduled events for Clinton, Obama and the rest https://hillaryspeeches.com/scheduled-events/

She went there the day before yesterday IIRC. Mostly to gin up enthusiasm since there's minimal early voting.
 
Nate's model is screwing us up I assume. He still has NV going to Trump!!
 
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