I did like that Colombia/BTTS one yesterday!
Surely it's a bad idea to bet on something you are already expecting to lose though, just for fun? Gambling for the sake of it sounds like a slippery slope to me...
World Cup Betting Thread
- Thread starter Brinky
- Start date
I did like that Colombia/BTTS one yesterday!
Surely it's a bad idea to bet on something you are already expecting to lose though, just for fun? Gambling for the sake of it sounds like a slippery slope to me...
As I say, it adds excitement to the game. Having a 25/1 bet I obviously don't expect much, which is why I usually go with a fiver. I don't normally bet on football either, only World Cups and Euros these days, since I got a full-time good job I don't need betting money. 2-3 years ago I used to casually win money while betting $500 and more on single games, risking such amounts now is not an option.
Today I reckon France provide good odds. They are too good for Ecuador. Also, I expect Bosnia to win despite being out already, mainly because Iran will have to go for it and will leave gaps behind them. Two of them combined would give me around 3/1 by my reckoning.
When I'm betting large amounts I expect to win. Brazil, Uruguay and Netherlands (-1 against Australia) have let me down in this tournament.
I wouldn't recommend betting on Bosnia today. We are in messy situation for a while, and it all escalated after the Nigeria game, it seems like they they all are in fight with eachother. I am guessing we will play combined team with many shit players. It's Susic's last game too, and Iran aren't bad team either.
Thanks. I'm probably going to hold off for a while then. Argentina are tempting me but I'm not really sure about them. Trying to find good value in that game but struggle to. Argentina to win and over 3.5 is tempting at 3/1 - I guess both sides will have a go at it, Nigeria will leave spaces behind and Argentina will want to make up for poor performance against Bosnia. Then again 4 goals is a lot for a dead rubber game between two sides who are likely to go through anyway and I'm not even sure Argentina will play their strongest team. Over 12 corners in this game at 11/4 is also tempting as I reckon a lot of play will go down the wing which opens up possibility of teams crossing it very often.
A BTTS in the France-Ecuador game will be lovely, to continue my 5-match accumulator.
Reckon <2.5 goals in the Iran-Bosnia game today.
Think Argentina will follow Brazil and step up a few gears against Nigeria today.
Switzerland-Honduras - Over 2.5 goals and potentially a Swiss win.
France-Ecuador, hopefully BTTS and probably Benzema/Valencia to score.
Reckon <2.5 goals in the Iran-Bosnia game today.
Think Argentina will follow Brazil and step up a few gears against Nigeria today.
Switzerland-Honduras - Over 2.5 goals and potentially a Swiss win.
France-Ecuador, hopefully BTTS and probably Benzema/Valencia to score.
Randomly checked PaddyPower's cash out....and they offered me more than I placed back on Sanchez, despite the current odds on him being top goalscorer are identical....Ozil/Gotze cashed out too for 30p/40p...
Putting money on:
Argentina win, over 12 corners, under 4 cards
Iran v Bosnia under 2.5 goals, under 10 corners, 4-6 cards.
The odds of 50/1.
Argentina win, over 12 corners, under 4 cards
Iran v Bosnia under 2.5 goals, under 10 corners, 4-6 cards.
The odds of 50/1.
£2 free bet on Argies-2 + Bosnia to win.
Also stupidly put £2 on Bosnia to win by accident. Actually not sure which the free bet is and isn't. No other bets today I think, unless Messi scores a few giving me some freebies or 0-0 in the Bosnia game also gives a refund.
Also stupidly put £2 on Bosnia to win by accident. Actually not sure which the free bet is and isn't. No other bets today I think, unless Messi scores a few giving me some freebies or 0-0 in the Bosnia game also gives a refund.
Right registered with 888.
Like the look Pogba over 1.5 fouls at 8/11
Like the look Pogba over 1.5 fouls at 8/11
Got Bosnia as the final leg of an accumulator that I put on last week when they were @1.6.
They're now 2.3 to win today and pissing on my cashout amount. Are they likely to just give up or play for some pride?
They're now 2.3 to win today and pissing on my cashout amount. Are they likely to just give up or play for some pride?
I had a good day yesterday but today is tricky - fancy the Swiss, Argentina, Iran less than 2.5 but France might use the squad
Deposited as well at Marathonbet so I could play with fouls/attempts/possession.
Took two doubles;
Argies under 9.5 attempts on target (5 and 9 in previous two matches), and Iran over 6 (they have to attack and try to win if they want 1/8) - 1.90 and 2.15
Argies over 11.5 fouls and Bosnia over 12.5 fouls - 1.952 and 1.9
Took two doubles;
Argies under 9.5 attempts on target (5 and 9 in previous two matches), and Iran over 6 (they have to attack and try to win if they want 1/8) - 1.90 and 2.15
Argies over 11.5 fouls and Bosnia over 12.5 fouls - 1.952 and 1.9
Bosnia playing two out-and-out forwards may have screwed up the Bosnia bet! On the other hand they have 4 CM's...
I really want to stick a tenner on Zabaleta to get a booking because he's always left so exposed with Messi nominally on the right wing and Nigeria have a lot of pace out wide, but I've lost every yellow card bet except Gerrard this tournament. Ref's are annoyingly lenient this tournament!
Tempted by this as well but you have to think Nigeria will play a more open game and Argentina will finally turn on the style.
Took over 10 corners for the Argentina match. 
Luckily Iran set up the same way as the two previous games and tried to nick a goal. They've opened up a bit more now though and it could get a bit close towards the end, would definitely of been interesting had they started like this! Got some good technical players in midfield Bosnia so hopefully they'll continue to have the better of the possession.
FIFA have it as 66:34 at HT anyway.
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7 so far! Hope you skipped it.
Just 3 fouls though, Rizzoli gives nothing to Nigerians. Bosnians do foul a lot in the other match, 12 already.
Then I went and put money on Argentina -1 which is probably going to be a losing bet. Story of my World Cup.
Got over 2.5 in the Bosnia match doubled up with over 2.5 in the French one. Come on France!
Ridiculous. I can't get anything right!
Starting to become near on impossible to win a World Cup bet these days...
Think I'll go with the card markets in the Group E games tonight
Think I'll go with the card markets in the Group E games tonight
Over 2.5 goals in the France game surely? Ecuador need to win the guarantee qualifaction, will leave themselves exposed at the back for France to counter?
I had a perfectly good 3/1 bet which I decided not to go with in favour of an Evens bet that turned out to be losing bet. Great. Over 12 corners also right at 11/4 with no money put on it. I guess I have to quit now, I lost very small money on this game but it hurts far more than other losses.
That's what I was thinking. I have it in an accumulator already but will wait to see the French line up before going on again.
I'm looking at the France game a wee bit differently, I expect Ecuador to try and keep it tight to start with and go the first half hour without conceding.
Recent results say otherwise but I'd back BTTS quicker than I'd back to the over 2.5 goals myself. Though I do have this strange aversion to over 2.5 goals..
Nice! Wishing I stuck the £50 on that instead of the Argentina under 58.5% possession bet. It seems like I managed to pull that one off as well but when I left the office they had about 65% possession a third of the way in so Nigeria must've done themselves proud in that second half.
Sadly I didn't...though I stuck it in a double with over 8.5 shots for Bosnia which didn't come off either so it's strangely not that disappointing.
EDIT: Ah, damn. The Bosnia bet did come through in the end! Makes it much more annoying now. Fifa's stats change a ridiculous amount in the aftermath of the game.
Literally everything I called today was spot on - except the one I actually put money on.
If France have over 53.5% possession I make ~£200 profit, if not I lose my £100 leftover from last night...think I'm going to stick to my guns on this one though. I have this conundrum a lot and inevitably regret not taking the money but hey-ho.
Go with your gut instinct. When I think over bets too much is when I complicate things and end up losing money.
About bleeding time:
It got a bit "squeaky bum time" towards the end with both games having two players on yellow cards with 5mins left.
It got a bit "squeaky bum time" towards the end with both games having two players on yellow cards with 5mins left.
I got a good feeling about Switzerland -1 at 23/20. They are a far better team than Honduras and after France embarrassment they will want to make up for their fans. Honduras are terrible in defense and will start losing plot if they are losing so there will be cards. I'd say Switzerland to win, under 10 corners and 4-6 cards at 9/2 is good value here.
I have a lot of contrasting gut instincts! Inevitably the one that wins out in this scenario is the greedy one...
I'm pretty confident about Ecuador being a counter-attacking team and France keeping possession comfortably. Cabaye no longer at the base of their midfield is something I overlooked though - not sure who they have to replace him? Decided to stick with it anyway and put a bit of money on the fouls market in the France game.
£25 on Over 29.5 fouls @ 1.81
£20 on France Over 14 fouls @ evens
£20 on Ecuador Over 15.5 fouls @ 1.9
And a slightly more risky one of Switzerland under 57.5% possession @ 2.15.
Honduras have nothing to play for so won't mind getting suspended (if that makes sense) and the referee also seems to like handing out cards.
http://uk.soccerway.com/referees/nestor-pitana/115731/
Over 45 points (Yellow = 10, Red = 20) on William Hill is 8/5.
5 yellows is a big ask, I dunno...
http://uk.soccerway.com/referees/nestor-pitana/115731/
Over 45 points (Yellow = 10, Red = 20) on William Hill is 8/5.
5 yellows is a big ask, I dunno...
Just the one yellow in the last game (USA Portugal), but you can get over 3.5 cards @2.10 on betfair. Tempted to shot 20 quid on it.
I'm a bit worried that Ecuador might change their shape a bit as they need to go for the win, I think they might play it a bit safe to start with to perhaps see how the other game goes.
That being said, 54% isn't a huge ask for a team with some excellent technical players who can control the ball well and in their last game Ecuador looked quite direct. As for the base of the midfield, I'd guess at Matuidi but looking at the line up I think they'll probably rotate a bit.
I just don't really see Ecuador being capable of dominating possession even if they do decide to go for a more attacking approach. Looks like Schneiderlin's in there and he's one of the best in the league at ball retention. Alongside Pogba and Matuidi I'm feeling pretty good about it. Though Sissoko being in there means Deschamps definitely wants to counter the threat of Ecuador in some way so who knows
France win, over 12 corners and under 4 bookings.
Swiss win, 10-12 corners and 4-6 bookings.
Rodriguez and benzema to score first.
Swiss win, 10-12 corners and 4-6 bookings.
Rodriguez and benzema to score first.
France - Ecuador, card before substitution @ 1.39 + Switzerland - Honduras, goal before substitution @ 1.35 = 1.877, Marathonbet
Guess I'll have to be really unlucky this to fail.
Guess I'll have to be really unlucky this to fail.
France to win BTTS at 9/4 is good deal now. Ecuador will hit them on the counter but France look like they have two or three in them. Risky but possible, it'll open up in the second half.
Did a treble of France, Germany and over 2.5 in Switzerland game.
Swiss 2-0 up now which is good. £10 returns £48.
Swiss 2-0 up now which is good. £10 returns £48.
Won the Swiss - Honduras part at the start of the match already, but no yellows in other match, but there have been already FIVE scares with injuries ...
Good grief, I'm nervous. Refs are so damn reluctant to show cards at this WC.
Good grief, I'm nervous. Refs are so damn reluctant to show cards at this WC.