Westminster Politics

There was a whole thread about it so the point has been made before, but inheritance tax is such an irrelevance. The cap and the various rules which increase it mean that only 4% of deaths lead to any IHT being paid - the overwhelming majority of people who inherit money won't pay a penny. A married couple leaving assets including a house to their kids can leave £1,000,000 tax-free before they even get into gifts or any of the various avoidance tactics.
 
The ULEZ rollout right now is understandably a contentious issue when you look at the details.

This is it, in a 'nutshell', it was a perfectly aligned situation for a bye-election.

However, Starmer will have to look at his London base, to see how much. if in any way it would harm Labour's GE chances... pretty remote, but still needs some analysis by the 'bean counters' in Labour.
 
This is it, in a 'nutshell', it was a perfectly aligned situation for a bye-election.

However, Starmer will have to look at his London base, to see how much. if in any way it would harm Labour's GE chances... pretty remote, but still needs some analysis by the 'bean counters' in Labour.

I doubt it will have too much of an impact to be honest, as it will almost certainly have been rolled out by then. It could have a more telling impact on the 2024 London mayoral election.

But I do think it may suggest that Labour are playing it right with their current messaging around not overly committing to public spending/green economy. This stuff will only be possible/likely of having long-term success once the economic situation stabilizes for households.
 
Polls are accurate. Whatever seat here or there that's a 20+ point demonstration in by-elections less than a year or just about a year out. As expected. Starmer has to lose because the Tories cannot win (if that makes sense). The kind of gains here are Blair majority type swings. Therefore, expect more of Starmer saying and doing much the same. Don't like him, don't trust him, or his version of Labour, but you can understand why (anyone, if you remove personality, would do the same).

Uxbridge, whether they won or lost, to be that close is insane. That's as Tory as it gets. It's a win basically for it to be within that margin.
 
Basically, he has to use the absolute hatred of the Tory government, socially, through unions, pay, cost of living, austerity, the shite that's been done to the country over ten years, and on and on, without actually being seen to be "pro-union". Don't interrupt your enemy when they're making mistakes. You have to hand it to him, despite the Tories being shit, he has done a hell of a job to put Labour into that position. It'll mean feck all if he cannot be a Labour leader with Labour policies but he's basically ripped the back out of the Tory vote. By going right wing unfortunately, but that's a comment upon the state of Britain. I don't know. Tories are finisished, question is if Labour can make a centrist government or just give you an establishment of more of the same.
 
Sunak is the ideal patsy who's going to take all the flak when the Tories (hopefully) get hammered in the GE. Bet you Penny Mordaunt is getting her ducks lined up as we speak.
I don't think he's a patsy. Seems to me one of the more competent Tories currently alive. You could be Christ incarnate and it would make little difference considering the scandals and 13 year stench that precede this Tory administration. Poisoned chalice. Ironically, before the market shat out Truss, the polls were still competitive. Been anywhere from 20-40% in gap ever since. Tories losing all market credibility (remember the mini-budget cost about 40bn or something) in the midst of the worst cost of living crisis since the war was the final straw.
 
I don't think he's a patsy. Seems to me one of the more competent Tories currently alive. You could be Christ incarnate and it would make little difference considering the scandals and 13 year stench that precede this Tory administration. Poisoned chalice. Ironically, before the market shat out Truss, the polls were still competitive. Been anywhere from 20-40% in gap ever since. Tories losing all market credibility (remember the mini-budget cost about 40bn or something) in the midst of the worst cost of living crisis since the war was the final straw.

I really wouldn’t call him competent as all, it’s maybe the impression he gives but he’s useless, pandering to the right wing, scared of scrutiny, scared of any difficult questions, he’s a weak leader relying on culture wars and attacks on migrants to assist him.
 
I really wouldn’t call him competent as all, it’s maybe the impression he gives but he’s useless, pandering to the right wing, scared of scrutiny, scared of any difficult questions, he’s a weak leader relying on culture wars and attacks on migrants to assist him.
I think it impossible to judge based on the post-Truss/Johnson/May/Cameron shite on a stick he came on top of. He's not an idiot, rather decent in public terms (PR), and his policies aren't insane (economic) in Tory terms. But the Tories are finally being shat out by the British public just like in 1997 after a similar period of a decade + which has ended in scandal after scandal minus all the things even a centrist or lefty would have to credit Major and Thatcher for having achieved. Worst government of all time. Cannot think of a worse one in British modern history. Gay Marriage. Ten years ago. Nothing else but UK standard of living having gone so far backward that you marvel at how such a thing is even possible.

I put it in the economics thread, but the UK and US, the prime architects of neoliberalism, have weirdly outlying deficits in trade and per person debt as a result. Each is struggling to overcome the financial crash, as the world is, but comparatively, other nations are coming out of it a lot better. The EU, generally, is ahead. Just in pure trade (export/import) terms of the US and UK on a per capita basis. US is moving to alter its economy, under Biden regime, but that'll take the rest of the decade. Certainly another four years. Neoliberalism died and the US and UK are the last two to receive the message. (Biden's campaign, if anyone here is into US politics, was explicitly about the failures of neoliberalism in policy whereas Trump's is about the same thing but in weird nationalist rhetoric).
 
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Just shows how thick Tory voters are in general, regardless of elevated education or wealth. They will literally cut their nose to spite their face. Maga-lite.
 
The thing with ULEZ is that 90% of cars are compliant. The opposition to it is very loud and I will admit the timing of it being rolled out over the period of the cost of living crisis at its peak wasn't ideal. That helped fuel the narrative that it was a tax on the people already struggling. But do you kick the can down the road over making the air cleaner and more breathable? I don't believe so and Khan's focus on making London a frontier of tackling climate change is something everyone knew when he was on the ballot. I don't think Khan is in any danger whatsoever of losing the next election.

Expanding it is a hot button issue because people in these hilly boroughs on the outer London boundary of which Uxbridge is a part of look at it as an encroachment on their turf which doesn't have the same level of emissions for which ULEZ was initially brought in to tackle in Inner London. So it's portrayed as a sort of slippery slope. I don't agree with it because ULEZ has been pretty successful in that area so why not want better air and a cleaner environment across the board. The response to that is in inner London you have the access to great public transport for people to get off the roads if they don't want to buy a new car. It's harder when your transport network is less accessible. However that is also a being worked on to be improved and part of the problem is the mayor's ability to do so is handicapped by how much support the government in Downing Street provides. One of the things the Tories have repeatedly argued is that funds should be more distributed to the rest of England and not just London but they don't actually do that either.
 
The ULEZ fiasco just shows there's no hope for this country. What would it cost people to do three-minute research?
 
Just shows how thick Tory voters are in general, regardless of elevated education or wealth. They will literally cut their nose to spite their face. Maga-lite.
Yes. Also, there are millions of closeted tories that will fall over themselves to openly vote for them at the slightest opportunity. In this case was the ULEZ, which I'm positive the vast majority of them don't really give a shit about or are affected by it whatsoever. Plus, the fact this is BoJo's initiative and was promoted by Shapps is being criminally underreported. The level of manipulation and disinformation in British media is very worrying.
 
Guardian:
"About 20% of people reading the blog today are from outside the UK. Here is question from one of them, which I’ll answer here for the sake of non-British readers.
I am writing from outside the UK. Following your coverage of the byelections I noticed that in the background of the two men who won against the Tories, there are strange things going on. There’s someone with a metal bucket over his head, a woman with what looks like one of those talking dolls and a man with a huge label “Loony Party”. As someone from Switzerland, I cannot quite understand if they wanted to place an ironic protest or if they actually participated in the elections? Maybe you could elaborate.

I’m afraid it’s not a protest. These are actual candidates, which is why they are allowed on stage when the result is declared.
Obviously, I can assure foreign readers that here in the UK that the cranks and weirdos never actually get elected to parliament …"


I can assure foreign readers that over there in the UK only cranks and weirdos ever get elected to parliament.....
 
The ULEZ fiasco just shows there's no hope for this country. What would it cost people to do three-minute research?
Why research when the Daily Mail can tell you everything you need to know. Doesn't matter that BoJo introduced it or that Shapps was behind them to roll it out further. The Mail blames it on Labour so there we go.
 
Guardian:
"About 20% of people reading the blog today are from outside the UK. Here is question from one of them, which I’ll answer here for the sake of non-British readers.
I am writing from outside the UK. Following your coverage of the byelections I noticed that in the background of the two men who won against the Tories, there are strange things going on. There’s someone with a metal bucket over his head, a woman with what looks like one of those talking dolls and a man with a huge label “Loony Party”. As someone from Switzerland, I cannot quite understand if they wanted to place an ironic protest or if they actually participated in the elections? Maybe you could elaborate.

I’m afraid it’s not a protest. These are actual candidates, which is why they are allowed on stage when the result is declared.
Obviously, I can assure foreign readers that here in the UK that the cranks and weirdos never actually get elected to parliament …"


I can assure foreign readers that over there in the UK only cranks and weirdos ever get elected to parliament.....
 
I have no idea if there is a super injunction, but something is amiss because the lack of coverage over this has been telling.


She's so obviously his daughter and I can't wait for it to come out :lol:
 
I was thinking the other day - the Lib Dem’s fecked their voters back in the day with student loans, and they got decimated. A generation grew up largely refusing to vote Lib Dem again for a long time, it meant LDs went from a consistent “third party” to being on the absolute fringes.

I imagine the Tories now. There are literal entire generations who will likely NEVER vote conservative, after everything in the last few years/decade. What possible way back is there now for the tories? This could very well be the last time we see a conservative government in this country.
 
Probably a bit harsh. The ULEZ rollout right now is understandably a contentious issue when you look at the details. It was announced at a time when cost of living was spiraling and hasn't come under control, constituents were only given a 9 month warning window when previously it had been a year, and far more people own and rely on cars in that part of Greater London. Given the relatively low-impact the policy has been forecasted to have in air quality there, I get why people stayed away from the polls at the very least (although don't personally agree).
The problem is with ULEZ in Uxbridge is because it's a really spread population, with a lot of it outside of greater London, Denham and the local villages, for example.

Those areas are almost green belt areas, where people live more like people outside of the south East than the even towns like slough and staines. But they commute into Uxbridge proper, and are employed by Uxbridge residents.

However, it's smack bang next Heathrow, so it has a lot of transitional transport, those going on holiday, and a lot of commercial transport.

The people of Uxbridge are caught between a rock and a hard place. A lot more of them aren't commuters compared to other parts of London and only commute locally. However, they live next to one of the biggest airports in the world.
 
I was thinking the other day - the Lib Dem’s fecked their voters back in the day with student loans, and they got decimated. A generation grew up largely refusing to vote Lib Dem again for a long time, it meant LDs went from a consistent “third party” to being on the absolute fringes.

I imagine the Tories now. There are literal entire generations who will likely NEVER vote conservative, after everything in the last few years/decade. What possible way back is there now for the tories? This could very well be the last time we see a conservative government in this country.

Tories only need just over a third of the popular vote to retain power because the system is rigged in their favour. They've been doing everything they can to rig it further through gerrymandering and voter suppression.

A few years out of power and a media pile on blaming Labour for the state the Tories left the country will see them returning squeaky clean with a new leader and brand.

Only way to be rid of them for sure is a move to a PR voting system where they can't game elections.
 
Twat. The people voted for him and Boris made 29 year old a Lord.



He is basically exposing the tories mentality that they think young people shouldn't be taken seriously..

Something people should be made more aware of but unfortunately the majority of the public are more concerned by life changing topics like bbc staff personal lives, the boats and where fargage banks.
 
Just shows how thick Tory voters are in general, regardless of elevated education or wealth. They will literally cut their nose to spite their face. Maga-lite.
It would be worse if Labour were in government! is the usual response from these fecking morons
 
Tories only need just over a third of the popular vote to retain power because the system is rigged in their favour. They've been doing everything they can to rig it further through gerrymandering and voter suppression.

A few years out of power and a media pile on blaming Labour for the state the Tories left the country will see them returning squeaky clean with a new leader and brand.

Only way to be rid of them for sure is a move to a PR voting system where they can't game elections.

There is gerrymandering in the UK?
 


How this guy gets regular mainstream media coverage without a single word mentioned about the accusations of anti semitism against him being mentioned is beyond me.
 
They are stupid to be taking shots at ULEZ especially if they've backed it. They just need to accept its a protest vote and move on from it instead of making a meal about it and causing internal divisions.

They can't risk having a policy though, a slippery slope into a manifesto before you know it!
 

This is the same old bullshit that Starmer has to deal with. It is right to say yhat ULEZ expansion had an impact on this seat. Starmer hasn't said it should be scrapped, he has asked Khan to reflect on the outcome and the reason. This is alway a sensible thing to do when you get a direct response from the populous, but the press and the ABL brigade are calling it a U-Turn. This is what Labour is up against.
 
This is the same old bullshit that Starmer has to deal with. It is right to say yhat ULEZ expansion had an impact on this seat. Starmer hasn't said it should be scrapped, he has asked Khan to reflect on the outcome and the reason. This is alway a sensible thing to do when you get a direct response from the populous, but the press and the ABL brigade are calling it a U-Turn. This is what Labour is up against.

Exactly. And it is pretty obvious that the right wing Tory press see this type of thing as a really easy way to discredit Starmer. And as we move closer to the next GE, we will see significantly more of this.
Increasingly they will portray him as weak, dithering and continually changing his mind (some of which is true by the way).