The difference with the big red bus lie was that Cummings and Boris had a large BrExit seeking constituency hoping he’d be right as well as it being an amazing benefit if it were true.
This context of this recent set of lies is totally different: there is no pro Covid19 vote base, 99% of the population have suffered by taking opposite decisions to his, with a vocal minority seriously suffering from emotional or psychological trauma because of that. And IF Cummings did have the rights to trust his ‘instincts’, then that must mean the other 99% are worse parents for not having done the same.
Cummings decisions cannot garner empathy with a large enough constituency. Plus he also further antogonised the media in his excuses, and they won’t ever forget that.
Lies are a dangerous business because you have to tell increasingly bigger ones to defend to original lie. As those require others to lie for you. Tory Ministers, MP’s and media outriders already sound ridiculous trying to defend him. That is not sustainable under ferocious and sustained scrutiny.
As social distancing measures relax, I can see families and friends of those who died (including Tory and Leave voters) attending protests, sharing more tragic stories and becoming further entrenched in their outrage. Their shared experience will unify them. It actually the perfect project for a group like Momentum to organise and propagate.
Even if Cummings survives a few weeks, is he able to perform his role as belligerent enforcer amongst Tory Government and civil service any more? He becomes a lame duck. Which in turn makes Boris one too. Cummings position has become untenable.