US Presidential Election: Tuesday November 6th, 2012
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Jon Chait ridiculed this yesterday:
http://nymag.com/daily/intel/2012/11/there-is-no-such-thing-as-a-swing-county.html
It's inevitable. Florida should go to a recount I think
I'm not really sure of the numbers, but Florida may not actually be a decider anyway, is it?
Is the Missouri dream still alive?
Were they weeping?
One of panelists seemed genuinely shocked.
I dont understand LA and Florida. They're coastal, urban places that should be enlightened and liberal, but seem to have ended up being the havens of the really rich, blinkered, holiday homing type cnuts that hate foreigners despite being surrounded by them. They're like the Kensington of America.
Or the alastair of the Caf.
Wankers
Or the alastair of the Caf.
Wankers
If O wins Ohio then it looks like it doesn't matter Florida's result.
Yeah but surely they are full of retired old majors, ie DM heartland?
Only 11. So just old enough to recognise what was going on. At 15, at the time of his exit, I was certainly old enough to know what was happening, and I don't recall it being like that.
But we did have an American poster saying this was the first time they'd been genuinely worried by the outcome of an election, which shows I'm right in some respects. I'm not saying it's all, or even most, but some people obviously feel much worse about Romney than they did Bush.
If it's in 1% I think it automatic recount. So looking that way right now. Probably won't matter. I think Raoul had it right above.
Obama's camp doesn't think they will need FL to win.
Only 3% reported, so unknown. Exit poll favourable for Romney.
Kirsten Gillibrand looks to have won, good stuff
The polls are looking dead on currently. Now all that needs to happen is for that to be true in Ohio too.
Obama's my favourite 'cause he's got swag
What the feck was that about on the beeb? 'The league of women voters'? been some time since the Pankhursts surely...
Picking up Senate seats is big for SCOTUS confirmations.
racist
Umm NC, VA, and Florida had a few recent polls showing a big lead or Obama in Va, and a big lead in Florida too.
Obama now leading in Colorado with 22% in.
Florida might go back to Obama's favor as it is said the majority of the Miami area counties haven't tallied all their votes, and it tends to lean heavily democrat. That bodes very well for Obama.
Probably...but Miami-Dade has only reported 15%.
Wisconsin just called by Fox News for Obama.
Yes, just throw the kitchen sink at them.
I can't stand this!
It needs to be within .5% to trigger an automatic recall.
They were never getting Wisconsin.
So is this 'electoral college votes' thing broken down on pure population alone or is there more too it?
say Dems have 53 seats...can the repubs filibuster a progressive judge indefinitely?
Just Ohio left for Obama.
I'm talking about the aggregates. It's 2012 man, no-one pays any attention to individual polls.
538, Princeton, Votamatic all had FL about 50-50. Nate and Drew called it for O, Wang for R, but they were all just tossing a coin.
Yeah Florida is, certainly. But LA I don't quite get. I mean it's rich, but it should be quite liberal demographically.
Are you even old enough yet to recognise what's going on now Liam?
Contrary to popular opinion, yes, yes I am.
More too it, each State gets a number of electoral college votes equal to the amount of Senators (always 2) and Representatives (dependent on population) it has. Washington DC also gets 3.
I'm think this is all over. might go to bed in 30 mins.
How can they call WI with only 2% in?
Exit polls matching with early precincts, I believe.
Maths
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