Even eternal optimist Bill Mitchell (big Trump supporter) is looking a bit shaken and nervous on his live feed.
US Politics
- Thread starter Nick 0208 Ldn
- Start date
Nate Silver is still by far the best out there and if he's right, Jones has won.
Yeah but Mobile votes are now reported and they seemed to have helped Moore.
Eh? I see 23% of that vote in with a huge lead for Jones.
Jones will need an epic performance in Jefferson, Montgomery, and Mobile to pull this off.
The needle has done the same as it did for Trump. Just slowly drifts Moore's way.
Previously it was 11 precincts reporting and now its 44 - during which Moore has gained a bit.
Shit, now I'm watching the needle and it just swung massively in Jones' favour.
Back to 70% for Jones.
Jones up to 70 on NYT...
Heading back to Jones. That fecking needle.
CNN and NY Times numbers are off. The Times web site says one thing, CNN's live feed says another.
Don't do it lads
As everywhere, smaller, more rural precincts reporting first. Jones Benchmark in Mobile was +12, remember. He's currenty at +25 in the second largest county of the state.
https://thinkprogress.org/alabamians-cry-voter-suppression-50ddc1b53b3a/
Something to think about when estimating black turnout.
Something to think about when estimating black turnout.
You can now see a swing in the absolute numbers as well. 47% to 51.6%, Jones gaining and gaining.
@Raoul this reminds me of your posts about Miami Dade etc
Big swing to Moore. This is like watching a United game on ceefax
Moore down to 50.5 in absolute numbers. No idea what reported, but it took 1.2% of Moore within a minute.
83 of 172 in Jefferson County precincts reporting and Jones is up by 54k votes. If we extrapolate that to 172 precincts then Jones should catch him imo.
(In before the Dade/Broward jokes)
(In before the Dade/Broward jokes)
Jones you mean.
538 model combining actual votes with exit polls has Jones winning by 2 to 3%, with a Moore win still within the margin of error, but unlikely.
Needle just went significant to Moore. About the same time Jones numbers votes improved. Must be a delay
Holy crap, Jones has closed the gap. Down to 2.6% Moore lead now.
For anyone interested, the only county completely missing any reports, Dallas, is heavily leaning Dem.
Jefferson County still only half counted.
Told you. Nate Silver is just a guru. His coverage of the 2016 election was also excellent and the reason I never was so confident with Clinton.
Nyt now at 1.8pt win for Jones. Squeeky bum time...
Montogmery not even close. And extremely leaning Dem.
Gonna be massive when you consider the populations of the states.
Rural with barely any people voting red, cities voting blue.
Rural with barely any people voting red, cities voting blue.
I’ve just woken up, it feels like when I turn Liverpool on and there’s a glimmer of hope and then Salah inevitably scores.
Don’t do it Salah.
Don’t do it Salah.
Jefferson votes coming in. Lead down to 1%This is like a fecking Rocky film.
I'm latching on to your use of emojis Raoul, please don't get my hopes up
This is incredible drama. Hope Star Wars is half as good.
Recount woulr be a claseic