@itso 7 Firstly, I dont agree with your statement about football being an equal opportunity industry. As
@Stack just said, there is a fair old element of luck and circumstance involved. Would Messi have been retained as a pro in other clubs when he had growth defects which hindered him as a teenager? Would Guardiola have had his big break at another club? Talented individuals of course - but it can be argued that both were lucky to even get a chance to kick start their careers as a player and manager respectively, and they got a chance that most other clubs would not give them.
Thousands, perhaps millions of very talented kids never get a chance to even sign a professional deal. For a player, if you arent scouted at a very early age and taken on by a club or academy, your chances of making it are going to slim dramatically. Talent is required, but so is luck.
Regarding the rest of your post, I agree with various parts of it, however your assertion and examples of other managers only really show that you can gain success in specific circumstances. I have gone into it in more detail previously in this thread, but there are question marks and criticisms that can be levelled at almost any manager - Guardiola got thrust immediately into an elite position, and has never had to manage anything but a world class team. If he had had 'the Giggs treatment' and gone out to earn his stripes at a lesser club, would it have worked? For all those calling him a footballing genius - was this
really evident before he got the Barca job, or is it a case of hindsight being 20/20? In my opinion it is the latter.
Mourinho? He has shown that if you give him a blank cheque book and only care about long term success, he can deliver it. I actually thought that based on that, he would have been a great choice to replace Ferguson when we needed someone to steady the ship and keep the trophy train rolling for a few years while we settled into a post-Fergie era and found a long term replacement. But Jose has a very questionable track record of getting on with his superiors, of any sort of youth development, and an absence of any long term planning or squad building. Even at Chelsea now after coasting to the league last year, questions are being asked about whether he will successfully integrate some of Chelsea's extremely talented crop of youngsters into the first team. Likewise Pellegrini at City. Wenger, until the fairly recent FA cup triumphs, hadnt won a trophy in nearly a decade at Arsenal - isnt that precisely the "trophy drought" situation that people have been dreading with a Giggs appointment?
The point I am making here is not that Giggs is a better or more proven manager than any of the above, but simply that there is no safe, risk-free option. If you hire a Mourinho then you are right, he doesnt really need to know the club inside out to deliver his particular brand of success. However if you want someone who is going to integrate youth into the first team, I dont think you can argue that having existing experience and relationships with the youth setup would not be a benefit to the manager. Similarly, working with the first team squad, understanding how they have been coached and trained, the system that the players have grown used to playing in - experiencing all of this
first hand has to be seen as a significant contributing factor. Giggs knows the drills, the set pieces - everything about the current coaching setup. He knows which elements of it the players probably dont like, and I would hope by now that he has started to develop his own ideas of how to improve things - I dont think that is unrealistic at all.
Another poster said it previously - but as fans we are blissfully ignorant of what goes on behind closed doors at the club, on the training field, in the gym etc, and yet this is regarded as such an integral part of the football club. This is an area where it must be said that Giggs' existing knowledge, experience within the club and relationships with the players and staff, is a benefit to him over any external candidate.
I went on a job interview the other day and there were 5 of us - two internal candidates and three externals. In my humble opinion I felt that the internal candidates were less qualified for the job, but one of them ended up getting it, primarily due to the fact that she had had existing exposure to the company and to the job in question, and that was a huge advantage, even over an arguably better qualified external candidate.