As things stand he has to be the favorite as well. Djokovic and Murray seem injured and not in their best form, Cilic would probably be right up there and of course Nadal and Wawrinka. Maybe Raonic but very outside chance.There is a real possibility he could win the US Open as well. Just imagine he wins 3 grand slams this year at his age it would be unheard of
I think that Nadal and Cilic are Federer's biggest threats at the USO, even though Wawrinka is the reigning champion. Federer's record versus Wawrinka is very good; I think Fed's only loss to him in a GS was at the FO in 2015. Most people might be in danger of under-rating Cilic after today's performance although he can still take the racket out of Federer's hands à la the USO SF in 2014. . Nadal though may not actually be as difficult an opponent as Federer would fear, mainly due to the sizable improvement in Federer's backhand. Anyway, it's hard for me to envisage anyone outside of those four winning the USO (Raonic's record at the USO hitherto has been very poor).As things stand he has to be the favorite as well. Djokovic and Murray seem injured and not in their best form, Cilic would probably be right up there and of course Nadal and Wawrinka. Maybe Raonic but very outside chance.
Think Cilic has a very good chance of taking Federer out at the USO tbh. Higher bounce, Cilic also is better on HC's and generally feels the court better. He's the one player I'd rather see at the other half of the draw.I think that Nadal and Cilic are Federer's biggest threats at the USO, even though Wawrinka is the reigning champion. Federer's record versus Wawrinka is very good; I think Fed's only loss to him in a GS was at the FO in 2015. Most people might be in danger of under-rating Cilic after today's performance although he can still take the racket out of Federer's hands à la the USO SF in 2014. . Nadal though may not actually be as difficult an opponent as Federer would fear, mainly due to the sizable improvement in Federer's backhand. Anyway, it's hard for me to envisage anyone outside of those four winning the USO (Raonic's record at the USO hitherto has been very poor).
If Federer had've improved his backhand earlier on in his career, the Federer-Nadal W/L record would look a lot better in Federer's favour. Federer's performances against Nadal at Indian Wells and Miami illustrated this better than the AO Final IMO.Think Cilic has a very good chance of taking Federer out at the USO tbh. Higher bounce, Cilic also is better on HC's and generally feels the court better. He's the one player I'd rather see at the other half of the draw.
Fed should be able to take Nadal and Wawrinka out on current form. Nadal is actually easier opponent perhaps - I agree, despite his record against Wawrinka.
I'll be surprised if Cilic is anywhere near the SF at USO tbh. Nadal almost won at a much faster than usual Australian Open against Fed. I think he'd be competitive, more so than Stan who just can't seem to play vs Federer.Think Cilic has a very good chance of taking Federer out at the USO tbh. Higher bounce, Cilic also is better on HC's and generally feels the court better. He's the one player I'd rather see at the other half of the draw.
Fed should be able to take Nadal and Wawrinka out on current form. Nadal is actually easier opponent perhaps - I agree, despite his record against Wawrinka.
I think Fedal at USO is never going to happen. Long given up on it and on this years form I'm glad if it doesn't happen anywayHistory suggests Cilic will likely get to the QF's, only the Sock loss last year as prevent him doing the Wimby-US QF double for the past 4 years. And he's lost to Novak 4 times in that span, Fed the other two and last one well he won.
Not sure where I go after, I think it's time Fedal happened at the US though....and they should be 1-2 unless Novak seriously finds it out of nowhere and a shoulder injury....
If Federer had've improved his backhand earlier on in his career, the Federer-Nadal W/L record would look a lot better in Federer's favour. Federer's performances against Nadal at Indian Wells and Miami illustrated this better than the AO Final IMO.
I think Fedal at USO is never going to happen. Long given up on it and on this years form I'm glad if it doesn't happen anyway
If Federer had've improved his backhand earlier on in his career, the Federer-Nadal W/L record would look a lot better in Federer's favour. Federer's performances against Nadal at Indian Wells and Miami illustrated this better than the AO Final IMO.
Nah Cilic is very dangerous at the USO.Wouldn't count against him winning there again.I'll be surprised if Cilic is anywhere near the SF at USO tbh. Nadal almost won at a much faster than usual Australian Open against Fed. I think he'd be competitive, more so than Stan who just can't seem to play vs Federer.
Well he revamped his game. I don't think his backhand actually is better than his peak level, but it's more solid with less shanks thanks to the larger frame.
Nadal just can't run and get all those balls he could 10 years ago tho, which helps Federer to take control in the rallies as well as obviously being more experienced and better in tactical POV.
But for backhand in 2006 it was definitely better as a shot - for example against Blake in the TMC.
for one his slice is definitely worse - floats a lot more than before.
That day Blake was playing against a wall.
Indeed it was.Watching games like this makes it mind-boggling that people would think Federer is playing better now than he did back then. His footwork and court coverage were absolutely phenomenal back then and the the power and precision behind the forehand as well.
94-5 in 2006 was a phenomenal record. Playing that much tennis and be that dominant is no walk in the park.
Indeed it was.
Playing against Blake at the time was no walk in the park either for that brief period of 06/07.
You can see his court coverage against Nadal as well in the RR game and how strong he was on both wings:
People love to shit on players like Blake when it comes to opponents Fed played against, but that lad got a game on HC's.
I remember Blake destroying Nadal a few times on HC during that period. Ofc, back in 06 Nadal was yet to enter his peak across all surfaces, he was still known as a clay prodigy largely.
Well he wouldnt win his first HC Grand Slam until 3 years later (and what a match that was too ), so was still a notch below his absolute best on the surface.He was quite good, not so gassed out in the tail end of the season as he was still young. He won Canada and Madrid(indoors) in 2005 so whilst not at his HC peak, his post USO season was pretty good the year before.
Yeah it's amazing what he's doing, but this Federer was just on a different plane to everyone else:Watching games like this makes it mind-boggling that people would think Federer is playing better now than he did back then. His footwork and court coverage were absolutely phenomenal back then and the the power and precision behind the forehand as well.
94-5 in 2006 was a phenomenal record. Playing that much tennis and be that dominant is no walk in the park.
Regarding Djokovic's decline - has anyone heard these rumours:
The banal theory is that Djokovic is serial womanizer which his wife recently discovered wrecking their marriage and his game. The more interesting plausible explanation is that both Djokovic and Nadal (along with significant portion of the tour) have been taking some sort of drug to boost recovery time which the ATP have recently banned. Given their high-profiles, this was brushed under the carpet but since then Djokovic has struggled and, while Nadal has adjusted, he also struggles once matches go the distance.
I could listen to Federer talk all day.
Regarding Djokovic's decline - has anyone heard these rumours:
The banal theory is that Djokovic is serial womanizer which his wife recently discovered wrecking their marriage and his game. The more interesting plausible explanation is that both Djokovic and Nadal (along with significant portion of the tour) have been taking some sort of drug to boost recovery time which the ATP have recently banned. Given their high-profiles, this was brushed under the carpet but since then Djokovic has struggled and, while Nadal has adjusted, he also struggles once matches go the distance.
Oh I know Fed would be a huge favorite against Nadal but if the latter can get a read on Fed's serve and plays close to the level he's shown most of the season, he should challenge for the title.Nah Cilic is very dangerous at the USO.Wouldn't count against him winning there again.
Fed against Nadal at the AO had also huge psychological pressure on his shoulder. He didn't play for half an year and was just getting back into shape. He had couple of five setters along the way.
In even slower conditions at Miami and IW he literally destroyed Nadal in a way I've never seen him doing it before.
Flushing is his bread and butter. I'd love if he meets Nadal there and both are healthy and in optimal form. Don't think Nadal will beat him there tho. Probably the worst surface he could meet Fed along with Cincy and WTF.
Regarding Djokovic's decline - has anyone heard these rumours:
The banal theory is that Djokovic is serial womanizer which his wife recently discovered wrecking their marriage and his game. The more interesting plausible explanation is that both Djokovic and Nadal (along with significant portion of the tour) have been taking some sort of drug to boost recovery time which the ATP have recently banned. Given their high-profiles, this was brushed under the carpet but since then Djokovic has struggled and, while Nadal has adjusted, he also struggles once matches go the distance.
Because he is Roger Federer so he gets a free pass and so much lee-way. Stop making excuses for him. If Djokovic did the same thing, I'd criticize him and this is coming from someone who knows him personally. Federer did not just miss Roland Garros, he missed the entire clay season to prioritize for his grass season. This is what I meant by him nit-picking. So he probably discussed with his team - "Guys, forget about clay, I have months to prepare for grass and hard-court.". Considering how tennis at the highest level is such a physically demanding sport with a hectic schedule, with players having little to no time to adjust from clay to grass, what Federer did is borderline cheating.
Yes let's buy into these shitty theories.
Maybe just maybe they adapting to turning 30. Even Federer had that problem.
Djokovic won 11 slams in a 5 year period. It was always going to be tough to maintain that.
And yes the old Nadal is on drugs. Despite him saying he is willing to show his blood records and results in public. He also sued a french minister for spouting bullshit against him. And the Spanish football team declined because guess what their key players like Villa, Xavi, Iniesta, Alonso and Puyol got old. Not because they ran out of drugs.
The rift with his wife for whatever reason is true, and the very public mess with his brother and the guru. Beyond that. it's pure conjectures and we shouldn't impugn his or any other player's integrity with unfounded rumours.Never said I believed them but I'm not refusing to rule them out either. I think there's more than just age that explains Djokovic's slump.
I never believed the Nadal nonsense but you're right in a way. If people are accusing Novak and Rafa (after his absence) of taking drugs, you'd think Fed would suffer from the same conspiracy theories considering he went from not winning a Slam in years to coming back after a huge break and suddenly playing back to back to back 5 setters and winning Slams.Seems a bit odd Nadal got massive doping allegations after a half year "absense" and then came back out of nowhere to be at a phenomenal level....yet Federers not getting much attention over it, man Federer even skipped the Olympics. He's also about 8 years older than Nadal was.
I most certainly wouldn't be surprised if it stuff started to roll out once they retire. The game has too much tied into the "Big 4" for them to truly care now though, Sharapova just got too sloppy. But either way, just gotta roll with it, as with cycling or baseball in the 90's, shits too much fun regardless.
Oh I know Fed would be a huge favorite against Nadal but if the latter can get a read on Fed's serve and plays close to the level he's shown most of the season, he should challenge for the title.
Well he wouldnt win his first HC Grand Slam until 3 years later (and what a match that was too ), so was still a notch below his absolute best on the surface.
Also quite funny how the best year of the Top 3 carrer all came at practically the same age (Roger 06, Nadal '10 and Novak '11). Of course, you can make a case for Nadal's 08 being his best year, winning two Slams and the Olympic Gold, as well as beating Fed on grass.
Think the issue is off season, Federer called for more intensive testing during then. Still Sharapova was banned recently and caught and she's pretty high profile name in the WTA.Tennis players aren't tested as much as cyclists or athletes actually, no way near.....and they've generally hid it well in the past, and despite my love of cycling, most likely still are in a lot of cases, just not as systematic and rigorous US Postal were, though maybe...Sky clearly have the money.