Scottish Politics

Interesting would also be the financial settlement ... presumably the UK would want some funds (as did the EU) to settle their share of national debt... futire pemsions etc

I am not sure these would be negotiated pre -referendum - I agree that in an ideal world they would be but given how difficult these negotiations were with the Eu and how long they took im just not sure how practical it would be to engage with that before the referendum - equally access to nuclear bases etc - trade and border rules - and probably something to do with fish would also no doubt be big stumbling blocks to a negotiation that for people to make the best informed decision should be agreed beforehand but that would probably require several years of negotiations which does not fit with the SNp proposed timeline of introducing legistlation in early 2022 with a vote in 2023 and the westminister line of no authority for a referendum

As such its hard to imagine such negotiations (given their complexity) happening within a timeframe that works - and thats even without the whole scotland will (probaby) want to rejoin the EU but will that involve using the Euro or not and scotland technically not being able to discuss these terms with the EU because they are part of the UK and the UK wont give permission for them to have these talks (imagine Spains reaction if the UK government started direct negotations with catalonia on a trade deal to be ratified once they becoe independent)

Basically this will result in a lot of bluster and unprovable claims (probably plastered on the side of a bus) from both sides - and thats if there is even a referendum which I suspect at the moment the Government would simply de-legitamise by telling remain supporters not to vote as its not authorised (basically what spain did in catelonia)

I actually think the SNP's best chance of a binding referendum comes with the next election and a hung parliament where it could be their price for propping up a labour government (along with voting through massive boundry changes should scotland leave)

Unfortuantly there is very little chance of an informed vote though
I agree with much of this.
 
There is every chance they renege on debt repayments though. They will have to sort out their own currency to borrow to pay it off and the value of that currency would be volatile. Studies suggest tax rises and spending cuts would both be needed to underpin the value of Scotland's new currency and there is no appetite for either. If they go under and fail to repay their debt that is the rest of the UK having to pay for Scottish independence. Which wouldn't be fair and I don't agree to run that risk just because some people held a referendum I didn't get a vote in and decided to leave.

Its for the SNP to lay out how they resolve their problems not the UK. They want to leave its on them.
I assume the SNP would expect their currency medium to long term to be the Euro and that leads to all manner of ramifications. It'll be a shit storm of course.

Your point about a referendum is a good and I guess the counter response would be that when you're country's vote is outweighed 10 to 1 by another country then that's what every referendum and general election is akin to.
 
Even before you get to the issues of debt, and either being beholden to the Bank of England or to the Eurozone, Scotland's current deficit is almost 10% of GDP. One of the conditions of joining the EU is a deficit of less than 3% of GDP. How the hell does Scotland get close to that without enforcing austerity?

And why would you want to enforce austerity to get into the EU, where 15% of Scottish exports currently go, when over 60% of its exports go to the rest of the UK? Scotland's economy is heavily service-based, and there's no market in the EU for those services.

Nationalism? Why would Kosovo or any others like Uyghurs want to be independent?
 
I suppose this is where the third option was always more attractive to me; Devo Max. The complete devolution of powers with the except of foreign affairs, from what I remember. The West Lothian question was obviously a problem though because Devo Max meant that Scottish politicians could still vote on decisions that no longer affected them, but you'd hope that rules could be put in place to block Scottish MPs from being able to cast votes on subjects related to purely just England, Wales and/or NI.

Keeps the union going, moves the UK into more of a federal system. Filled with a million different issues like the alternatives but still viable in my small minded opinion.
 
I assume the SNP would expect their currency medium to long term to be the Euro and that leads to all manner of ramifications. It'll be a shit storm of course.

Your point about a referendum is a good and I guess the counter response would be that when you're country's vote is outweighed 10 to 1 by another country then that's what every referendum and general election is akin to.

If you elect to join a country with a population bigger than yours then you risk being a minority within it, yes. If that is a major problem for you then electing to join an organization a 100 times bigger could lead to problems further down the road too.

For the euro issues I'd read hobbers post, which sums it up.

Scotland voted SNP knowing they would push for independence, all the problems with that process rest with the SNP to resolve and the Scottish people to pay for it. Its not my, the rest of the UK's or England's problem.
 
Hasn't every country basically been fecked for ages after leaving the UK/British Empire, America aside?

Thing is, how many would prefer it didn't happen?
 
Just out of interest, how far is Scotland from "Devo Max" now?
From the Independent because I'm lazy

Currently, Scotland create its own laws regarding: agriculture, forestry and fisheries, education and training, environment, health and social services, housing, law and order (including the licensing of air weapons), local government, sport and the arts, tourism and economic development, and many aspects of transport.

Meanwhile, Westminster retained the powers to decide upon: benefits and social security, immigration, defence, foreign policy, employment, broadcasting, trade and industry, nuclear energy, oil, coal, gas and electricity, consumer rights, data protection, and the Constitution.
 
Just out of interest, how far is Scotland from "Devo Max" now?
would be interesting to see how this would poll
suspect a in / out type question is more likey than a 3 way question on a referendum
Also suspect the SNP talks of rejoining the EU wouldnt be an optuion under such a scenario
gut feel it might carry enough votes to pass if it was on the ballot but the SNP wont want it on the ballott and the uk Government does not even want a ballott - but if they have to have one i suspect they would want a clear in / out as in the brexit referedum (because as we all know brexit means brexit ... why confuse people with things like customs unions and single markets )
 
I suppose this is where the third option was always more attractive to me; Devo Max. The complete devolution of powers with the except of foreign affairs, from what I remember. The West Lothian question was obviously a problem though because Devo Max meant that Scottish politicians could still vote on decisions that no longer affected them, but you'd hope that rules could be put in place to block Scottish MPs from being able to cast votes on subjects related to purely just England, Wales and/or NI.

Keeps the union going, moves the UK into more of a federal system. Filled with a million different issues like the alternatives but still viable in my small minded opinion.

That was already addressed, I believe...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/English_votes_for_English_laws
 
If you elect to join a country with a population bigger than yours then you risk being a minority within it, yes. If that is a major problem for you then electing to join an organization a 100 times bigger could lead to problems further down the road too.

For the euro issues I'd read hobbers post, which sums it up.
The EU does not control the Government or policies of its member states in a reasonably comparable way to UK government and Scotland but, of course, joining large federalised political blocks comes with issues. As for electing to join, the Union of the crowns is a complicated matter and one that very much was not considering voting blocks in a representative parliament. It was, and is, however a Union not a surrogacy.

There are clearly complicated challenges regarding the EU and other aspects of independence.Only a fool would deny it.
 
would be interesting to see how this would poll
suspect a in / out type question is more likey than a 3 way question on a referendum
Also suspect the SNP talks of rejoining the EU wouldnt be an optuion under such a scenario
gut feel it might carry enough votes to pass if it was on the ballot but the SNP wont want it on the ballott and the uk Government does not even want a ballott - but if they have to have one i suspect they would want a clear in / out as in the brexit referedum (because as we all know brexit means brexit ... why confuse people with things like customs unions and single markets )

It's a strange world where the most reasonable solutions to complex problems get ignored.
 
Assets would remain with the nations remaining in the UK, they are UK assets. Scotland having decided to leave them behind, what was it the EU said, you can leave but you don't get to take the furniture with you. Agree them pre referendum, so everyone knows what is at stake before they vote.

If thats the case, then the debt is also the sole property of the remaining nations. Something that sticks in the craw of many a unionist.
 
would be interesting to see how this would poll
suspect a in / out type question is more likey than a 3 way question on a referendum
Also suspect the SNP talks of rejoining the EU wouldnt be an optuion under such a scenario
gut feel it might carry enough votes to pass if it was on the ballot but the SNP wont want it on the ballott and the uk Government does not even want a ballott - but if they have to have one i suspect they would want a clear in / out as in the brexit referedum (because as we all know brexit means brexit ... why confuse people with things like customs unions and single markets )
I think it'd likely win but a three way vote would split the non Unionist vote and therefore it'll never happen. Oh for a World where such nuance actually worked.
 
Do boreworms have a face?
Secretly, everyone is reading the D&D thread and just waiting for an opportunity to slot a reference in. :lol:

(I know I am)

(can't think of a reference for this post)

(but I can add a third line with parentheses)
 
If thats the case, then the debt is also the sole property of the remaining nations. Something that sticks in the craw of many a unionist.
Rightly so. A compromise would need to be reached and I fear it would not be an amicable negotiation.
Edit: Also much hostility would be stoked by our political Thunderdome
 
Secretly, everyone is reading the D&D thread and just waiting for an opportunity to slot a reference in. :lol:

(I know I am)

(can't think of a reference for this post)

(but I can add a third line with parentheses)
Take an INT check then.
 
I think it'd likely win but a three way vote would split the non Unionist vote and therefore it'll never happen. Oh for a World where such nuance actually worked.
I think it depends how you constructed the ballott (is it 3 options winner takes all, or single transferable vote... how many options are on the ballot? - one round of voting or seperate final round for the top two options) - but as I say i think the UK government and the SNP both probably favour a clear in / out full independence binary vote if there is going to be a vote.
 
Secretly, everyone is reading the D&D thread and just waiting for an opportunity to slot a reference in. :lol:

(I know I am)

(can't think of a reference for this post)

(but I can add a third line with parentheses)
Caf forget that deep down tooktook loudmouth Scotsman who knows bugger all.

I think @Reiver and @Cheimoon mentioned the federal system. That's something I could genuinely see working well across the UK. Not just Scotland but in the North of England, Midlands, Wales, Northern Ireland etc. People like me aren't against the union, far from it. It's something to be proud of but only if it suits everyone, and it clearly doesn't. Too many in the country (UK) feel ignored by a centralised government that moves further and further away from the cultural and social identities that make up the nation.

For example, we're stuck with whatever immigration laws Westminster pass and it looks like we're becoming more and more isolationist. I think polling shows that Scotland supports more immigration, and it makes sense. There's obviously patches where you get racist loons waving their saltires about but for the most part, at least in my area, communities aren't sectioned off by nationality. You're either a gid cnut or a plain old cnut, regardless of where your family is from.
 
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If thats the case, then the debt is also the sole property of the remaining nations. Something that sticks in the craw of many a unionist.

If Scotland went the UDI route then it could, but they would still need their own currency and Spain is never letting Scotland into the EU after that move. Even Sturgeon ruled it out as an option because its a terrible idea.

Like I say Scotland has voted for this, its their problem they hold no cards at all that I can see.
 
I think it depends how you constructed the ballott (is it 3 options winner takes all, or single transferable vote... how many options are on the ballot? - one round of voting or seperate final round for the top two options) - but as I say i think the UK government and the SNP both probably favour a clear in / out full independence binary vote if there is going to be a vote.
I'm sure you're quite right.
 
If Scotland went the UDI route then it could, but they would still need their own currency and Spain is never letting Scotland into the EU after that move. Even Sturgeon ruled it out as an option because its a terrible idea.

Like I say Scotland has voted for this, its their problem they hold no cards at all that I can see.
We hold very few cards indeed which is why, despite Scotland not voting for it, we're left lumbered with feudal lordship and an oligarchy , Satan incarnate as a home secretary, a PG Wodehouse character as PM, a media that is slowly morphing into your Neighbourhood watch member racist Aunt and fecking Brexit. But, hey, we are, as you point out, close to powerless so perhaps eventually we'll learn our lesson and shut the feck up lest like a torrent rush we are crushed once more.
 
would be interesting to see how this would poll
suspect a in / out type question is more likey than a 3 way question on a referendum
Also suspect the SNP talks of rejoining the EU wouldnt be an optuion under such a scenario
gut feel it might carry enough votes to pass if it was on the ballot but the SNP wont want it on the ballott and the uk Government does not even want a ballott - but if they have to have one i suspect they would want a clear in / out as in the brexit referedum (because as we all know brexit means brexit ... why confuse people with things like customs unions and single markets )

Better together offered a 'handshake and a wink' kind of DEVOMAX back before the referendum. "The Vow" was born in order to get yes voters to go the other way. After they got their no vote, "The Vow" died very quickly when the unionist parties butchered the Smith commission. Theres a big list of things that we were promised, but most of them turned to shit by the end of 2015. So I think, if they really were to offer something that would keep the no votes no, it would have to be put on paper and written into law first. ie "look what you will be walking away from" rather than "if you stay, you can have this...".
 
If Scotland went the UDI route then it could, but they would still need their own currency and Spain is never letting Scotland into the EU after that move. Even Sturgeon ruled it out as an option because its a terrible idea.

Like I say Scotland has voted for this, its their problem they hold no cards at all that I can see.

Not sure how thats a reply to what I said. It could...what? Its fairly simple, if the assertion is that everything belongs to the UK. Then EVERYTHING belongs to the UK. Which includes the debt. But if Scotland is to take on its share of the debt, then its only right that it takes its share of the assets that we built up together as well.
 
I still think the SNP are going about this all wrong... they should start engaging with the rest of the Uk electorate and try to get a UK wide vote on "do you want the money grabbing scots kicked out of the union"... they would walk the independence vote
 
I still think the SNP are going about this all wrong... they should start engaging with the rest of the Uk electorate and try to get a UK wide vote on "do you want the money grabbing scots kicked out of the union"... they would walk the independence vote
I like your thinking. Put SNP candidates in English constituencies with the promise that they can have a vote like the one you suggest. Smash the elections and have an SNP majority across the entire UK. And then wee Nicky starts pulling out the copper wire in Westminster and runs away whilst everyone gets sold into slavery to work at Trump's golf course. It's a brilliant plan and I'm glad you suggested it.
 
I still think the SNP are going about this all wrong... they should start engaging with the rest of the Uk electorate and try to get a UK wide vote on "do you want the money grabbing scots kicked out of the union"... they would walk the independence vote
It's a deal as long as England keeps Nicky Campbell and Jim White.
 
As much as there is clear and vocal support for this, I just don't see how the SNP will be able to give proper guidance and answers to the Scottish public on what's going to happen with their economy, the potential lengthy period of austerity, and other critical infrastructure and services - let alone national security - that's tide up with being a part of the UK.

Yes, you could argue that the UK did something similar with Brexit, but - even as a remainer - I can see that the self-determination of key infrastructure, services and currency was already in place here. Brexit is like opting out of a club that was giving you the best membership deal possible. Scottish independence would be like opting out of the club in order to start a new one that has absolutely zero accreditation.

What also bemuses me is that the SNP are arguing for even more progressive climate policies and stances than what's coming out of Westminster - which is actually v ambitious/being acted upon in contrast to most similar countries. You'd think that utilising their massive oil reserves would be a good temporary means of smoothing out the process, but they're wanting to dissolve that industry even faster! Again, super glad that these industries are changing and progressing, but how can Scotland potentially start their own currency - and have it valued as being competitive with both the pound and euro - whilst not relying on their most essential export (... after whisky)??

I just think, bar those who are so ideologically driven as to enter the abyss in order to break away from Westminster, there are unavoidable short-term negative impacts that will sway people into backing a united Britain. Especially if the UK experiences the economic bounce that has been forecast, and we don't enter another serious Covid wave.
 
Caf forget that deep down tooktook loudmouth Scotsman who knows bugger all.

I think @Reiver and @Cheimoon mentioned the federal system. That's something I could genuinely see working well across the UK. Not just Scotland but in the North of England, Midlands, Wales, Northern Ireland etc. People like me aren't against the union, far from it. It's something to be proud of but only if it suits everyone, and it clearly doesn't. Too many in the country (UK) feel ignored by a centralised government that moves further and further away from the cultural and social identities that make up the nation.

For example, we're stuck with whatever immigration laws Westminster pass and it looks like we're becoming more and more isolationist. I think polling shows that Scotland supports more immigration, and it makes sense. There's obviously patches where you get racist loons waving their saltires about but for the most part, at least in my area, communities aren't sectioned off by nationality. You're either a gid cnut or a plain old cnut, regardless of where your family is from.
I don't think that was me, but it's an interesting avenue, basically your Devo Max. Because of devolution, though, you actually already have a federal system for all intents and purposes. So the question is just how power is divided between the federal and regional governments - basically just asking if devolution should be developed further.

As you say though, you would likely need to split up England into several regions for this to serve its purpose - which might be even harder than anything else proposed so far in here. If that doesn't happen, though, it won't be fair to those regions that Scotland, NI, and Wales are getting more power while they are similarly being underserved by Westminster; plus England would be such a dominant factor in the confederation, that it would ultimately continue to be frustrating in similar ways as now.
I like your thinking. Put SNP candidates in English constituencies with the promise that they can have a vote like the one you suggest. Smash the elections and have an SNP majority across the entire UK. And then wee Nicky starts pulling out the copper wire in Westminster and runs away whilst everyone gets sold into slavery to work at Trump's golf course. It's a brilliant plan and I'm glad you suggested it.
Now I see - you shouldn't call talk about Scotland leaving England, you should talk about England finally dumping those impoverished, whiny haggis-eaters from the north! It's not Scoxit, it's Sco-feck-off! (Admittedly, Scoxit sounds better.)
Take an INT check then.
INT = 0.

Now what!
 
I don't think that was me, but it's an interesting avenue, basically your Devo Max. Because of devolution, though, you actually already have a federal system for all intents and purposes. So the question is just how power is divided between the federal and regional governments - basically just asking if devolution should be developed further.

As you say though, you would likely need to split up England into several regions for this to serve its purpose - which might be even harder than anything else proposed so far in here. If that doesn't happen, though, it won't be fair to those regions that Scotland, NI, and Wales are getting more power while they are similarly being underserved by Westminster; plus England would be such a dominant factor in the confederation, that it would ultimately continue to be frustrating in similar ways as now.

Now I see - you shouldn't call talk about Scotland leaving England, you should talk about England finally dumping those impoverished, whiny haggis-eaters from the north! It's not Scoxit, it's Sco-feck-off! (Admittedly, Scoxit sounds better.)

INT = 0.

Now what!
:lol: I've never seen someone slowly descend from an educated response into complete madness as they added more quotes. Impressive!
 
Not sure how thats a reply to what I said. It could...what? Its fairly simple, if the assertion is that everything belongs to the UK. Then EVERYTHING belongs to the UK. Which includes the debt. But if Scotland is to take on its share of the debt, then its only right that it takes its share of the assets that we built up together as well.

Your view or Scotland's view of what is fair isn't the only view though is it? Your fairly simple stance for example was not one the EU took during Brexit negotiations.

Scotland's view would only be the final say under a UDI.

If Sturgeon rules out UDI which she has then its Westminster's view of what is and isn't fair that is going to count. I'm not saying they are going to take down every school brick by brick and transport them to England but this quaint idea that you leave and decide your share of the furniture, which you take with you, won't happen. Assets the rest of the UK would need to pay to replace falls in the we are not paying for Scottish independence category.

How much is it to build a new nuclear submarine base for example?

All I am outlining is the horrendous mess of unspecified details the SNP are now responsible for clearing up and the eye watering potential costs they have exposed Scotland to and it will be Scotland that pays for it.

The rest of the UK didn't vote for this we will not be left in anyway holding the bag for it.
 
:lol: I've never seen someone slowly descend from an educated response into complete madness as they added more quotes. Impressive!
I did think writing a few fairly coherent (hopefully) paragraphs and then concluding with INT = 0 is a little contradictory. :D
 
How much is it to build a new nuclear submarine base for example?
This is a really good point. It's all well and good for us to say "get them out of Scotland" but they've also resulted in a lot of local jobs for the surrounding areas that have also benefitted from the base on top of the costs to build that you mention.
 
As Scotland would own most of the UK's current fishing waters at least they could start selling their fish again.
Interesting would be the customs border between Berwick and Gretna. Even more customs officers to recruit!

Smuggling immigrants through the Kielder Forest. Priti Patel on patrol.