Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

Now you have to have balls to say basic facts in this thread?
Didn't you admit a couple of pages back you share stuff you know is not true?

Or your fact that 50% of russians are nazis just a few posts back?

Look, I'm sure most people in this thread, if not all, want ukraine to win, but the way you reduce everything to a black and white situation is a bit ridiculous.
 
Until west understands that Russian people are real nazis nothing will change, it’s not Putin. Did you not see Paxi’s posts in this thread? Well that’s how at least 50% of russian think.

This nazi spiel you've got going on is very interesting. The only, and I mean only, reason you're doing it is as a propagandic response to Putin's rhetoric about Ukraine and nazism; the 'no u' of IR. Russia has their nazis, like many others: you famously have the Wagner group with their inspirations, and there are other small groups spread aroud, several of them of the nazbol variety partly inspired by Dugin and his ilk. Russian ideology or society are, however, not driven by nazism, neither from top-down or from grassroots. You wouldn't call America or Americans nazis because of Atomwaffen and several other relatively small groups, and you wouldn't call Ukraine or Ukrainians nazis because of Azov, even back in 2014.

You don't have to be a nazi to be authoritarian, or fascist, or genocidal, or racist, or whatever. Nazism is a specific ideology with specific tenets, and this is not it. You're making it up because you think it's useful, and now you're evolving from calling Putin and/or the state apparatus nazis to even the Russian people. The only question is if this is yet another crazy take, where you're fooling yourself, or if it's part of your self-confessed "informational warfare campaign" where you're just lying.
 
Didn't you admit a couple of pages back you share stuff you know is not true?

Or your fact that 50% of russians are nazis just a few posts back?

Look, I'm sure most people in this thread, if not all, want ukraine to win, but the way you reduce everything to a black and white situation is a bit ridiculous.
It’s very close to being black and white though. What’s not clear for you in all this? Russians have been brainwashed into being imperialist nationalists to the core, I’m sorry you can’t see it. Many live in informational vacuum alright (don’t get the news from any other sources) but it doesn’t change that simple fact. After Putin reign we’ll still have to deal with the brainwashed nation, people should stop living under the illusion that it will become all rosy once he leaves.
 
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It’s very close to being black and white though. What’s not clear for you in all this?
You claimed 50% of russians are nazis. It's a pretty extraordinary claim to put forward without extraordinary evidence.
 
Are they being given that choice. I remember when we had conscription over here we didn't have the choice of going to jail in stead. You fought or were hung as a deserter
The quote suggests that he was already at the frontline. If they decide to desert there I wouldn’t be surprised if they were killed (there were many similar reports about killings, imprisonment and torture of those who refused to fight). If they decide not to abide by their conscription, they should just get in jail, but in the current Russia you can never be sure of how different laws are going to be implemented (or ignored).
 
You really are taking this too far in my opinion to Rajma. It's as if you have hatred towards Russian people in general.

As for mobilized people having choices, it's ridiculous. Russia would never allow itself to depend on choice only. I'm sure there are promises of treating family well if they go to fight, or not so well if they go to prison.

Yeah, they should let their kids die from hunger while rotting in prison.
 
You claimed 50% of russians are nazis. It's a pretty extraordinary claim to put forward without extraordinary evidence.
Well even the most liberal people (which make up like 10% of country give or take) celebrated the genocide of Ukrainians in Donbass and occupation of Crimea. Most supported genocidal war up until now, does that not qualify you as a nazi just on this basis alone? It does in my book. It’s also the most racist country in Europe by far, I think you can connect the dots. Just look how they treat their own ethnic minorities.
 
This was as of 11 July but take it with a pinch of salt. I don't know if there is a independently verified figure. Just added a sky source don't know which one is true.
It’s worth noting that the Russian force in Ukraine is usually estimated to be between 150-200k. That active military personnel number doesn’t seem to indicate the number of available manpower in reserve though.

Although it gets evermore confusing considering that Russia also uses Rosgvardia, “volunteer” forces made up from DNR & LNR conscripts and private military organizations and all of them aren’t technically part of the Russian army and don’t count towards that active military personnel number.
 
Well even the most liberal people (which make up like 10% of country give or take) celebrated the genocide of Ukrainians in Donbass and occupation of Crimea. Most supported genocidal war up until now, does that not qualify you as a nazi just on this basis alone? It does in my book.
You sound like those american trumpers who call everyone communists without knowing what it means.

And I'd like to know where you're pulling these random percentages from. It sounds like you're making them up as you post.
 
Well even the most liberal people (which make up like 10% of country give or take) celebrated the genocide of Ukrainians in Donbass and occupation of Crimea. Most supported genocidal war up until now, does that not qualify you as a nazi just on this basis alone? It does in my book. It’s also the most racist country in Europe by far, I think you can connect the dots.
I have no idea how you've come to this conclusion, the few local Russian posters we have (which I am assuming is probably your only actual contact with a Russian) are very clearly anti-Putin and anti-war.
 
I have no idea how you've come to this conclusion, the few local Russian posters we have (which I am assuming is probably your only actual contact with a Russian) are very clearly anti-Putin and anti-war.
These are massive outliers let me tell you that. I’m glad they exist meaning not all is lost but they’ll tell you themselves that there are handful people like them in the country. Massive respect though.
 
It’s worth noting that the Russian force in Ukraine is usually estimated to be between 150-200k. That active military personnel number doesn’t seem to indicate the number of available manpower in reserve though.

Although it gets evermore confusing considering that Russia also uses Rosgvardia, “volunteer” forces made up from DNR & LNR conscripts and private military organizations and all of them aren’t technically part of the Russian army and don’t count towards that active military personnel number.
Cheers. They were 2 sources I could find in the UK but basic numbers mean nothing, you need someone how has more accurate knowledge.
 
This was as of 11 July but take it with a pinch of salt. I don't know if there is a independently verified figure. Just added a sky source don't know which one is true.
Thanks for the links. I got to thinking about it when it became known about conscription and the Ukrainian defence ministry(?) said they assumed it and were prepared(or something similar)
But to what extent are they prepared. Even if they are not the best soldiers 15000/20000 men on each front can be a lot of pressure. I don't know if counter-attacks like Kharkiv/Izium would have been possible, unless I am underestimating Ukrainian logistics, organisation and weapons
 
Well even the most liberal people (which make up like 10% of country give or take) celebrated the genocide of Ukrainians in Donbass and occupation of Crimea. Most supported genocidal war up until now, does that not qualify you as a nazi just on this basis alone? It does in my book. It’s also the most racist country in Europe by far, I think you can connect the dots. Just look how they treat their own ethnic minorities.
Who were these guys then? In 2014.

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How many metres can you walk into Ukraine armed and still identify as a liberal/anti-war/anti-Putin?
 
These are massive outliers let me tell you that. I’m glad they exist meaning not all is lost but they’ll tell you themselves that there are handful people like them in the country. Massive respect though.
How do you know this? You’re just making it up.
 
Unfortunately, vast majority (90%, including many so called liberals) cheered on it.
I'll ask again, since you ignored my previous question, where are you getting all these figures you're citing from?
 
Putin adopting the "Hope the opposing forces guns overheat or they run out of bullets" defensive strategy last used by Stalin.

I think we civilians can be compassionate and acknowledge that many Russians are clearly fearing for their families when they go along with the mobilisation process.

However the best thing in the long run for Ukraine and the rest of the world would be to just steamroller through this first batch of cannon fodder and hope it finally fractures the Russian armed forces into cutting the head off the snake.

Big shout out to Harms...get well, stay safe and thanks for the inside info!
 
Why have we got a pro-Ukrainian bot account in an overwhelmingly pro-Ukrainian thread?
 
I have no idea how you've come to this conclusion, the few local Russian posters we have (which I am assuming is probably your only actual contact with a Russian) are very clearly anti-Putin and anti-war.

I’ve no idea about percentages but most of the people I was working with before I left were supportive of the 2014 annexations. And they were about as Westernised as you get over there. So, while @Rajma might use emotive language at times, he is making the important point that Russia is not some liberal European country being held hostage by a lunatic. Even if/when the current leadership falls, there would be a huge amount of work to do over there to acquaint much of the population with reality.
 
@Rajma

Let me try another angle. As you can see, the reaction you're getting in this thread is not what you want. As part of your informational warfare, what you're trying to is to do what you see as furthering the Ukranian cause in whatever way possible. What you're doing now is counterproductive, so the best thing you can do right now is to just stop. You won't get to demonize Russians, but at least you won't have people defending them. If you continue posting this way, then - in the famous words of Henning Wehn - you're effectively fighting for the other side.
 
I’ve no idea about percentages but most of the people I was working with before I left were supportive of the 2014 annexations. And they were about as Westernised as you get over there. So, while @Rajma might use emotive language at times, he is making the important point that Russia is not some liberal European country being held hostage by a lunatic. Even if/when the current leadership falls, there would be a huge amount of work to do over there to acquaint much of the population with reality.
Thanks I was just about to post the same and sorry for derailing this thread. While I go over the board but the main point is that people in the west should understand that it’s not Putin’s war only or this history will keep repeating itself. Many people (in leadership positions too) delude themselves thinking that problem will be solved by getting rid of Putin. I know russia has many beautiful and good people but I closely watch many russian bloggers etc. (being russian speaking myself) and opposition tv channels I can still see the imperialist mindset slipping through at times (unintentionally), you can only notice those things if you know what those things are and I’m not even talking about russians outside of main cities. Example: while working in London I had a coworker from Moscow, she was very sweet and really supportive to me personally but even she started waffling about rusophobia in Estonia people are segregated as Russian people, even those who were been born there don’t get the proper passport (without knowing the fact that those Russians have been brought to Estonia during soviet era as part of the ethnic displacement and that the requirement to obtain the proper Estonian passport is piss easy as long as you know how to count to 10 in Estonian but many refuse to learn the basic language in the country they want to live in (imperialist mindset) or enjoy having visa free regime with Russia that have been granted to such passport holders by Russia, while enjoying all the benefits of living in EU). This imperialist mindset even at the smallest of scales later turns into genocide of the neighboring countries.
 
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I’ve no idea about percentages but most of the people I was working with before I left were supportive of the 2014 annexations. And they were about as Westernised as you get over there. So, while @Rajma might use emotive language at times, he is making the important point that Russia is not some liberal European country being held hostage by a lunatic. Even if/when the current leadership falls, there would be a huge amount of work to do over there to acquaint much of the population with reality.
I'm under no illusions about how powerful their propaganda has been - I also don't think people should expect the country will meaningfully change in our lifetime but it can get onto a much better path. It doesn't matter if that path is EU friendly either as long as it's peaceful.
 
I have to apologize to our Russian posters on here though who are grand, and I know sometimes it’s easy for me to speak.
 
I'm under no illusions about how powerful their propaganda has been - I also don't think people should expect the country will meaningfully change in our lifetime but it can get onto a much better path. It doesn't matter if that path is EU friendly either as long as it's peaceful.
Ironically, until Russia goes through the real desovietization (similarly to what Germans had to go through) there won’t be any real changes, you can mark my words.
 
I’ve no idea about percentages but most of the people I was working with before I left were supportive of the 2014 annexations. And they were about as Westernised as you get over there. So, while @Rajma might use emotive language at times, he is making the important point that Russia is not some liberal European country being held hostage by a lunatic. Even if/when the current leadership falls, there would be a huge amount of work to do over there to acquaint much of the population with reality.

This. I lived in Russia in 2014 and the support of Crimea annexation was as genuine as it gets across all population except small liberal bubbles in biggest cities. Western media tend to emphasize liberal protest movement, but even the criticism of Putin historically came from extreme conservative/nationalistic/imperialistc or communist positions to arguably even greater degree than from liberal positions. The respectable (and liberal) experts in the field estimate that the elections of Putin have been falsified but the effect has been limited to 5-10 percentage points in his favor. For all the crackdown on independent media, in the grand scheme of things Putin era was a relatively minor setback from 1990s and alternative opinion is still one mouse click away from most Russians (vs Russian empire/Soviet times) - 85% of Russians have internet access.

I am not saying that Russians are uniquely bad, plenty of nations have been no better in their history, but they are in really really dark place now. Unless a miracle happens, it will take generations of slow, painful progress and many setbacks. I mean I come from a very close country (Belarus), Russian is one of my native languages, I have lived there for a happy 5 years, have many friends there and enjoyed many things about the country, and it pains me to see all of this. But the extent to which imperial, illiberal and chauvinistic mindset is ingrained into Russian society must not be underestimated.
 
Can we go back to the news from the front? Otherwise I could share with all of you my vision on russian society based on having a russian coworker and having visited a few blogs. Or better, we could hear it from people who are actually there right now.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/amp.th...kiy-lays-out-peace-formula-at-un-live-updates

It looks like Putin already achieved a minor goal with his speech: spin the focus away from his last losses in Kharkiv and Kherson. I hope the UA stay focused and keeps the pressure high.
 
This. I lived in Russia in 2014 and the support of Crimea annexation was as genuine as it gets across all population except small liberal bubbles in biggest cities. Western media tend to emphasize liberal protest movement, but even the criticism of Putin historically came from extreme conservative/nationalistic/imperialistc or communist positions to arguably even greater degree than from liberal positions. The respectable (and liberal) experts in the field estimate that the elections of Putin have been falsified but the effect has been limited to 5-10 percentage points in his favor. For all the crackdown on independent media, in the grand scheme of things Putin era was a relatively minor setback from 1990s and alternative opinion is still one mouse click away from most Russians (vs Russian empire/Soviet times) - 85% of Russians have internet access.

I am not saying that Russians are uniquely bad, plenty of nations have been no better in their history, but they are in really really dark place now. Unless a miracle happens, it will take generations of slow, painful progress and many setbacks. I mean I come from a very close country (Belarus), Russian is one of my native languages, I have lived there for a happy 5 years, have many friends there and enjoyed many things about the country, and it pains me to see all of this. But the extent to which imperial, illiberal and chauvinistic mindset is ingrained into Russian society must not be underestimated.
Zhyve Belarus! I’m so sad you guys did not manage to overthrow “chik chirika” but looking back you had no chance with Putin set on invading Ukraine through your territory. I was there though rooting for your free people:
https://www.euronews.com/amp/2020/0...chain-in-lithuania-in-solidarity-with-belarus