Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

"The Anglo-Saxons". Fit right in in France!
I swear they invent new names for their enemies every few months. Anglo-Saxons is the trending one at the moment — sounds a bit different than NATO & is more inclusive than Europe & USA on their own... even though historically it doesn't make any sense.
 
I swear they invent new names for their enemies every few months. Anglo-Saxons is the trending one at the moment — sounds a bit different than NATO & is more inclusive than Europe & USA on their own... even though historically it doesn't make any sense.

Well he's been talking with Macron a lot, just saying...
 
Sounds like the Himars are in full use now. By the looks of it they are only being used in night time, this is probably to avoid detection from drones while moving into position.
 
I swear they invent new names for their enemies every few months. Anglo-Saxons is the trending one at the moment — sounds a bit different than NATO & is more inclusive than Europe & USA on their own... even though historically it doesn't make any sense.

Modern usage of the term, as in used to refer to contemporary people rather than a historical group, is actually fairly popular in some online white supremacist places. I can't remember seeing it used as an insult, though.

This isn't meant as apologism, just as a curiosity, if a certain 39 year old Messi is worried.
 
I don't get it. Barrel changes are a normal part of artillery life, and should be done before the inaccuracy starts. It's a non issue.
Maybe they don’t have replacement barrels in Ukraine? They did think this war would be over in a matter of days.
 
Just one of many of Putin's buddies whom the US and UK are not fully sanctioning because they profit off him. Like when the USA refused to sanction Abramovich because he's a big employer over there...

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/04/04/business/colorado-steel-plant-russia-military-invs/index.html

Or how America is continuing to do business with all the precious metals and rare gases oligarchs because they need them (while also calling on Europe to commit economic suicide by rejecting oil and gas, things which the US does not need from Russia). It's why in my very first post on here I said that a good question the EU needs to be asking themselves is this: what would the US do in our situation? And the answer is: absolutely not this.
But what do you think about Putin and his buddies pillaging all that should belong to the Russian people? About their gangster club? About their apparent double lives with other women? Aren't these just the worst kind of men, pissing on the rest of the world for their own gratification? Utter cnuts basically. I'm sure the US and the UK and the West generally have some (necessary) dodgy dealings with them, but these cnuts are really the lowest of the low..... comment on that please rather than answering the question by referring back to the west.
 
Generally I tend to appreciate your input (while disagreeing with you on most of the points) as a kind of a balancing act to an obviously one-sided coverage of the conflict (since Russia doesn't even try to compete with Ukraine in the actual information war, instead limiting itself to spatting out baseless and toxic propaganda) but this is an absolute car wreck of a post filled with conspiracies theories (like USA literally controlling every move that Zelenskiy makes) & far-fetched arguments (like Russia not giving any time scale of the operation being interpreted in a way that they predicted the way that this conflict was going to go and didn't intend to take Kiyv in the first weeks).

And no, I'm not naive enough to think that USA, like any major geopolitical player (and probably more than anyone bar, maybe, China), doesn't use its influence to support a regime/people in Ukraine that they see as more sympathetic to them, but there's a world of difference between this and you stripping Ukrainian people of any agency in the matter.

Given the US role in this war and Ukraines position, do we really think Zelensky is making his own independent decisions here? That would be extremely naive.

The only independent decision Zelensky probably made was not listening to U.S warning of an imminent Russian attack and playing it down in January when he shouldn't have
 
This post is backed by nothing. Why do you retweet every fringe theory I don't get it.

It's backed by facts and figures, including the fact that artillery barrels do wear out. If you think the figures given are wrong (and I don't know either way), then say why.

At the very least, the notion that artillery barrels do wear out, coupled with the fact that Russia forces are very artillery dependent and use artillery very heavily, is a pertinent factor in the war.
 
Given the US role in this war and Ukraines position, do we really think Zelensky is making his own independent decisions here? That would be extremely naive.

The only independent decision Zelensky probably made was not listening to U.S warning of an imminent Russian attack and playing it down in January when he shouldn't have
I'm not really sure why that's naive? I haven't seen any direct evidence of U.S. controlling Zelenskiy and Ukraine's politics. Zelenskiy had openly criticised U.S. and Biden personally.

U.S. is Ukraine's key ally in this conflict and it obviously has some influence over its politics. I also don't share @Raoul 's idealistic sentiment that U.S. helps out mainly to help out the struggling democracy against ruthless authoritarian regime — U.S. obviously has its own geopolitical interests as priority and at the moment they seem to coincide with Ukraine's. But the only claims of Ukraine acting as a proxy for U.S. imperialism without any agency of its own come from Putin and his propaganda and they don't look convincing at all.
 
Given the US role in this war and Ukraines position, do we really think Zelensky is making his own independent decisions here? That would be extremely naive.

The only independent decision Zelensky probably made was not listening to U.S warning of an imminent Russian attack and playing it down in January when he shouldn't have

Based on advice from his military advisors (and no doubt advice from foreign military advisers too) Zelensky is deciding which weapons to press most for. He is also deciding on which international political (and other) forums to appear and what he will say in each case. And no doubt he is approving or not approving (as the case may be) recommendations about military strategy within Ukraine, again based on advice received as balanced against political and other considerations.

Do you seriously imagine that he receives a daily phone call from Biden or the Pentagon telling him what he must do every day?
 
Given the US role in this war and Ukraines position, do we really think Zelensky is making his own independent decisions here? That would be extremely naive.

The only independent decision Zelensky probably made was not listening to U.S warning of an imminent Russian attack and playing it down in January when he shouldn't have
I think the "downplaying" needs a little bit of nuance because I think Ukraine was going to be fecked either way, and the downplaying was a strategy to minimize damage rather than avoid it.

First: the pre-invasion rhetoric and increasing panic was probably hurting the Ukrainian economy. I guess in that sense the Kyiv regime downplayed the threat to somewhat save their economy.

Second: if the Ukrainians had very publicly and openly started military preparations, the Russians would likely spin that and say that Ukraine started the fighting.

I remember reports coming out that Ukraine's military were disciplined in not returning fire as small-scale shelling already appeared in the days before the invasion.

And knowing how many people already sympathize with Russia (NATO expansion, defending pro-Russians, Ukrainian nazi's etc), the Russians would absolutely have loved to make Ukraine out as the aggressor.

I'm not saying Ukraine's downplaying was the smartest thing to do but I do think they were fecked either way and they tried to avoid PR damage as well as minimize economic damage.
 
I'm not really sure why that's naive? I haven't seen any direct evidence of U.S. controlling Zelenskiy and Ukraine's politics. Zelenskiy had openly criticised U.S. and Biden personally.

U.S. is Ukraine's key ally in this conflict and it obviously has some influence over its politics. I also don't share @Raoul 's idealistic sentiment that U.S. helps out mainly to help out the struggling democracy against ruthless authoritarian regime — U.S. obviously has its own geopolitical interests as priority and at the moment they seem to coincide with Ukraine's. But the only claims of Ukraine acting as a proxy for U.S. imperialism without any agency of its own come from Putin and his propaganda and they don't look convincing at all.

Based on advice from his military advisors (and no doubt advice from foreign military advisers too) Zelensky is deciding which weapons to press most for. He is also deciding on which international political (and other) forums to appear and what he will say in each case. And no doubt he is approving or not approving (as the case may be) recommendations about military strategy within Ukraine, again based on advice received as balanced against political and other considerations.

Do you seriously imagine that he receives a daily phone call from Biden or the Pentagon telling him what he must do every day?

Let's face the facts here, without American support Ukraine would have been and will be toast. Zelensky is not a fool and he knows this. The only independent thought he is granted is within what the U.S allows him. You can call it being a puppet or controlled but to me that's basic geopolitics.

What do you think is a factor in Zelensky's "decision" on what weapon to get? It's basically what he can ask for that will be reasonable.

Biden is not calling him daily but I have no doubt US forces are in contact with Ukraine on a daily basis (if not live). You really think US is pumping billions in Ukraine to just go "have at it kid, lemme know how it goes!".
 
I think the "downplaying" needs a little bit of nuance because I think Ukraine was going to be fecked either way, and the downplaying was a strategy to minimize damage rather than avoid it.

First: the pre-invasion rhetoric and increasing panic was probably hurting the Ukrainian economy. I guess in that sense the Kyiv regime downplayed the threat to somewhat save their economy.

Second: if the Ukrainians had very publicly and openly started military preparations, the Russians would likely spin that and say that Ukraine started the fighting.

I remember reports coming out that Ukraine's military were disciplined in not returning fire as small-scale shelling already appeared in the days before the invasion.

And knowing how many people already sympathize with Russia (NATO expansion, defending pro-Russians, Ukrainian nazi's etc), the Russians would absolutely have loved to make Ukraine out as the aggressor.

I'm not saying Ukraine's downplaying was the smartest thing to do but I do think they were fecked either way and they tried to avoid PR damage as well as minimize economic damage.

The second point makes no sense to me. Why would I not prepare for an imminent attack just because I'm not somehow deemed as the aggressor? So by not preparing, have they stopped any of the propaganda? Your first point is probably why Zelensky downplayed it to save the economy but it was a poor decision.

These quotes of his have aged like milk:

Speaking at a news conference in Kyiv, Zelenskyy accused Western media reporting of undermining Ukrianians’ faith in their government and stoking economic panic across the nation.


He also said that although Ukrainian officials “don’t have any misunderstandings” with President Joe Biden, “I just deeply understand what is going on in my country, just as [Biden] understands perfectly well what is going on in the United States.”

The blunt responses from the Ukrainian president come after Biden and Zelenskyy participated in a call on Thursday that media accounts have described as tense, with Zelenskyy reportedly challenging Biden’s characterizations of the Russian threat.
Officials in Kyiv and Washington have pushed back against some reports about the conversation.

U.S. officials have recently escalated their warnings about further Russian aggression toward Ukraine, and the State Department has ordered the relatives of U.S. embassy staffers in Ukraine to leave the country.
“We have said since last week that we have seen preparations and buildup at the border and that an invasion could come at any time. Our assessment has not changed since that point,” White House press secretary Jen Psaki said at a news briefing on Thursday.
Meanwhile, Ukrainian officials have urged calm. Zelenskyy said in a televised address to the nation on Tuesday that his government was “strong enough to keep everything under control.”
Ukrainian Defense Minister Oleksii Reznikov also sought to reassure Ukrainians in a speech to parliament: “Don’t worry, sleep well. No need to have your bags packed.”


But Zelenskyy’s news conference on Friday with members of the international media represented perhaps the Ukrainian government’s greatest distancing yet with the Biden administration and U.S. officials’ messaging.
“We do not see a bigger escalation that it has been before,” Zelenskyy said of Russia’s provocations, adding that he did not think the security situation “is more intense than it was… at the peak time in early 2021.”
In his talks with foreign leaders, Zelenskyy complained that “the image that mass media creates is that we have troops on the roads, we have mobilization, people are leaving for places. That’s not the case. We don’t need this panic.”
As for his conversation with Biden, Zelenskyy said he conveyed to his U.S. counterpart the “need to stabilize the economy” of Ukraine “because of those signals” which indicate a conflict is rapidly approaching.
“These signals were sent by even respected leaders of the respected countries. And sometimes, they’re not even using diplomatic language,” Zelenskyy said. “They’re saying, ‘Tomorrow is the war.’ This means panic in the market. Panic in the financial sector... How much does it cost to our country?”
The Ukrainian people, Zelenskyy continued, “have to be certain and sure in their army, in their president. The people should trust the government... This varied information from varied sources cannot mislead our country.”

Zelensky telling common folks to stay put when he kept getting warned does not reflect well at all. Common citizens are more at risk and who knows how many lives would have been lost because of this. Just because it was done in the interest of the economy, doesn't make it right.
 
Let's face the facts here, without American support Ukraine would have been and will be toast. Zelensky is not a fool and he knows this. The only independent thought he is granted is within what the U.S allows him. You can call it being a puppet or controlled but to me that's basic geopolitics.

What do you think is a factor in Zelensky's "decision" on what weapon to get? It's basically what he can ask for that will be reasonable.

Biden is not calling him daily but I have no doubt US forces are in contact with Ukraine on a daily basis (if not live). You really think US is pumping billions in Ukraine to just go "have at it kid, lemme know how it goes!".

I don't really know what your point is here. Listening to and working with your allies who are helping you protect yourself against an existential threat makes you a puppet?

All this "sovereignty" guff leads to such infantile discssions. Every single nation on earth makes compromises in order to be able to trade, ensure their security, or advance their regional or global policies and agendas. It's a bit like how reasonable people sometimes do nice things with and for their friends and family, and don't only act directly in their own interests. It's because collaboration leads to better outcomes than constant struggle. Clearly nations in a bad position might need to cede more "sovereignty" and make more concessions than ones in good positions. Just the nature of the game.
 


Fair play, seems pretty ambitious. 10k trained troops every 4 months - be interesting to know how that’ll work and what their training would consist of. (Are we talking training totally green recruits or updating the current Ukrainian army?).
 
The second point makes no sense to me. Why would I not prepare for an imminent attack just because I'm not somehow deemed as the aggressor? So by not preparing, have they stopped any of the propaganda? Your first point is probably why Zelensky downplayed it to save the economy but it was a poor decision.

These quotes of his have aged like milk:



Zelensky telling common folks to stay put when he kept getting warned does not reflect well at all. Common citizens are more at risk and who knows how many lives would have been lost because of this. Just because it was done in the interest of the economy, doesn't make it right.
I'm sure the Ukrainians were preparing for a fight, their military isn't stupid. They saw the Russian buildup too. However, I don't quite remember how much of those preparations were publicly reported. The Ukrainians kept that rather quiet, both for strategic reasons but possibly also to avoid the optics of being the potential aggressor.

As for the civilians, I tend to agree. I wonder whether the Ukrainian population will demand answers to that after the war is over.
 
Fair play, seems pretty ambitious. 10k trained troops every 4 months - be interesting to know how that’ll work and what their training would consist of. (Are we talking training totally green recruits or updating the current Ukrainian army?).

It’s gotta be the latter, surely, and with an eye on specific pieces of equipment. I can’t see the logic of just doing basic training, which an army like Ukraine could surely manage on its own.
 
Let's face the facts here, without American support Ukraine would have been and will be toast. Zelensky is not a fool and he knows this. The only independent thought he is granted is within what the U.S allows him. You can call it being a puppet or controlled but to me that's basic geopolitics.

What do you think is a factor in Zelensky's "decision" on what weapon to get? It's basically what he can ask for that will be reasonable.

Biden is not calling him daily but I have no doubt US forces are in contact with Ukraine on a daily basis (if not live). You really think US is pumping billions in Ukraine to just go "have at it kid, lemme know how it goes!".
By your description here, the UK was a puppet of the US from 1940 to December 6, 1941.
 
I don't really know what your point is here. Listening to and working with your allies who are helping you protect yourself against an existential threat makes you a puppet?

All this "sovereignty" guff leads to such infantile discssions. Every single nation on earth makes compromises in order to be able to trade, ensure their security, or advance their regional or global policies and agendas. It's a bit like how reasonable people sometimes do nice things with and for their friends and family, and don't only act directly in their own interests. It's because collaboration leads to better outcomes than constant struggle. Clearly nations in a bad position might need to cede more "sovereignty" and make more concessions than ones in good positions. Just the nature of the game.

My whole point was that it doesn't make you a puppet and so me saying it isn't some terrible thing
 
By your description here, the UK was a puppet of the US from 1940 to December 6, 1941.

Well I just said you (someone) can call it (perceive it) as being a puppet but to me thats basic geopolitics i.e not being a puppet meaning Zelensky is pretty much under U.S control here which isn't the worst thing given his decision of not raising alarm
 


Yet more meaningless nuclear threats from Putin. Shortening the flight-time-to-target of a nuclear missile makes no difference. There will still be more than enough undetectable submarines with nuclear missiles that can incinerate Russia from end to end if deterrence should fail.
 
My whole point was that it doesn't make you a puppet and so me saying it isn't some terrible thing
Well I just said you (someone) can call it (perceive it) as being a puppet but to me thats basic geopolitics i.e not being a puppet meaning Zelensky is pretty much under U.S control here which isn't the worst thing given his decision of not raising alarm
Well, you have a very odd way of arguing that someone isn’t a puppet.
 
Yet more meaningless nuclear threats from Putin. Shortening the flight-time-to-target of a nuclear missile makes no difference. There will still be more than enough undetectable submarines with nuclear missiles that can incinerate Russia from end to end if deterrence should fail.
They already have Iskander-M launchers in Königsberg so I don't think this makes any difference to response times and flight distances anyway. I also don't think Putin will trust Lukachenko with any nuclear warheads, they will probably just give them the launch platforms and missiles armed with conventional warheads.
 
The issue is that you offer the description of “a puppet” and then claim “I’m not calling him a puppet”

Well that's why I said it because to me that's not being a puppet. A puppet is usually following a higher powers orders against the will of their people or more deserving candidates. Something like the Afghan government up until a few years ago.