Russian invasion of Ukraine | Fewer tweets, more discussion

You have to think laterally and think that it may be on purpose that this is being said so that Putin cannot say that the West is in cahoots with Ukraine.
Good point.

Fight in front of Russia, send 'volunteers' through the backdoor.
 
They will encounter the same sentiments in all ex-soviet regions.
Absolutely! Why does he think they want NATO and EU membership and to move away from his influence? Nobody wants to be ruled by thugs who have stolen billions from the people and who are happy to oppress and even kill those who disagree with them. It's not rocket science. Yet he blames the West:rolleyes:
 
Putin is not mad.
He has made a calculated gamble.

He knows in a conventional war Russia will lose with heavy losses on both sides.
His one trump card is Nukes.

His hope is among all the slaves of the Military Industrial Complex on the West are some level headed politicians who will make the needed concessions that would mean Russia will still have a huge say on the future of Ukraine.

Hoping the sanctions will remove Putin is wishful thinking.

This is the most serious situation the world has been in since 1962.

But look at the players on the international stage we have now.
I think he realized nukes are not working because to use them and justify this in front of his group there would need to be direct military threat from anyone to Russia and the way NATO countries have played it so far has been largely brilliant. They’ve pushed him into the corner without using a single soldier. At this point nukes are gone and he seems to have realized that in his last two speeches.
 
Mayor of Mariupol in CNN now basically confirming the Russians used the ceasefire to lure citizens into the open, then attacked them.

He claims Putin's goal is to destroy Ukraine as a nation.
 
Well considering they now control all media in Russia and arrest people over saying basically anything that isn’t propaganda, I don’t think he would find it very difficult to sell it to whoever he needs to sell it to. For others with access to worldwide media there’s no outcome where he can win anyway.
If he captures Mariupol he can claim he neutralized azov batallion. They are neo nazis. Mission accomplished.
If that tweet was true about them forcing out Ukrainians in that Eastern province and replacing them with Russians then by ‘liberating’ those two ‘Russian’ provinces to add to Crimea. Sham elections to follow.

Not having a puppet government in Kyiv would be a hard sell though.

But how would he be selling the west sanctioning Russia so harshly? I mean, even if Putin retreats immediately, I don't think there's a chance the west will lift the sanctions anytime soon.
He'd lose a lot of credibility in front of his people if he doesn't get Kiev, imo. He'll surely keep trying and eventually succeed, I fear. He knows he crossed too many lines already to simply pull out of this conflict at this stage.
 
They wouldn’t even know what’s going on Kyiv mate.

Actually some theories here that he doesn’t actually know what is going on there, that he’s bunkered up and only fed whatever his generals may want him to hear. Weird as feck but nothing about this whole thing is any different.

True but in the eyes of the rest of the world if he doesn’t come out of this controlling Ukraine in some way he’s going to look like a right balloon.
 
I think he realized nukes are not working because to use them and justify this in front of his group there would need to be direct military threat from anyone to Russia and the way NATO countries have played it so far has been largely brilliant. They’ve pushed him into the corner without using a single soldier. At this point nukes are gone and he seems to have realized that in his last two speeches.

Its simply a waiting game now.

One thing you can be sure about.
He will still be there.
And Ukraine is in the shits even when the Russians leave.

Going to take a long time to recover.
 
Well of course NATO is involved. The sanctions for one are a form of economic warfare.
Indeed, but they won't have a no fly zone for fear of shooting down Russian planes, yet are happy that NATO weapons are doing just that but in different hands.

I'm confused by the NATO stance if I'm honest!!
 
China are allies with Putin and Russia, China also has the worlds biggest army and to no surprise Putin is now threatening the rest of the EU.
 
But how would he be selling the west sanctioning Russia so harshly? I mean, even if Putin retreats immediately, I don't think there's a chance the west will lift the sanctions anytime soon.
He'd lose a lot of credibility in front of his people if he doesn't get Kiev, imo. He'll surely keep trying and eventually succeed, I fear. He knows he crossed too many lines already to simply pull out of this conflict at this stage.
I really can’t see how he succeeds now. Even if he somehow gets the better of Ukraine hasn’t got the ability to hold it. Russia are failing before our eyes
 
I think Putin will eventually give up on trying to capture Kiev, but settle instead for:

* Capturing Odessa and cutting Ukraine off entirely from any sea access. Then he will "control" the entire southern coastline
* Capturing the entire Donbas and Luhansk regions and declare them "independent" republics.

Then he will withdraw troops from other parts of Ukraine and attempt to sell the gains of land as a victory .

A period of stand-off lasting years along the new "borders" will then follow, with intermittent shelling (etc) of the kind that has been happening for years along the previous eastern "border".

The economic sanctions will remain in place for a long time and the Ukrainian forces will be armed and trained big-time by NATO troops.
 
Indeed, but they won't have a no fly zone for fear of shooting down Russian planes, yet are happy that NATO weapons are doing just that but in different hands.

I'm confused by the NATO stance if I'm honest!!

The NATO stance is to try whatever they can to stop Putin without giving him reason to escalate.
 
Indeed, but they won't have a no fly zone for fear of shooting down Russian planes, yet are happy that NATO weapons are doing just that but in different hands.

I'm confused by the NATO stance if I'm honest!!

It's not confusing at all. It's the cold war coming back. People have pointed out the stance a million times.
 
He already considers NATO countries to be in the war, so what is there to stop them? (And don’t say nukes ffs)
This is utterly naive. He says he considers NATO to be 'in the war' but his actions say otherwise.

If he thought NATO was party to the war (even if it's 'special operation'), he'd be attacking NATO member states and we all know how that'd go short of him using nukes.
 
I think Putin will eventually give up on trying to capture Kiev, but settle instead for:

* Capturing Odessa and cutting Ukraine off entirely from any sea access. Then he will "control" the entire southern coastline
* Capturing the entire Donbas and Luhansk regions and declare them "independent" republics.

Then he will withdraw troops from other parts of Ukraine and attempt to sell the gains of land as a victory .

A period of stand-off lasting years along the new "borders" will then follow, with intermittent shelling (etc) of the kind that has been happening for years along the previous eastern "border".

The economic sanctions will remain in place for a long time and the Ukrainian forces will be armed and trained big-time by NATO troops.
That’s what I fear and what would still be a complete disaster for Ukraine, even though many would think Ukraine has “won”.
 
He already considers NATO countries to be in the war, so what is there to stop them? (And don’t say nukes ffs)

He's also a a highly accomplished liar who is full of bluster. As long as there is no actual fighting between both NATO and Russia, both sides are incentivized to keep it as such.
 
I feel like starting a nuclear war is probably worse for the financial markets than the sanctions tbf.

If someone is stupid enough to start a nuclear war, the financial markets will be the last of your worries.
 
Indeed, but they won't have a no fly zone for fear of shooting down Russian planes, yet are happy that NATO weapons are doing just that but in different hands.

I'm confused by the NATO stance if I'm honest!!

Its to arm Ukraine with weapons and intelligence but avoid at all costs, a shooting war with Russia, all the while eroding Putin's power from within by bringing down the Russian economy.
 
If someone is stupid enough to start a nuclear war, the financial markets will be the last of your worries.
You just know that if the entire planet had the shit bombed out of it there would still be some little fecker in an ill fitting suit, with a Young Conservative badge on it, walking around with his side parted Sunday school hairdo, holding a British flag, telling everyone that the economy is still doing reeeeeaaallllyy well.
 
Its to arm Ukraine with weapons and intelligence but avoid at all costs, a shooting war with Russia, all the while eroding Putin's power from within by bringing down the Russian economy.

This invasion is about spheres of influence.
Putin/Russia is not going to just withdraw without NATO recognizing Russia's voice in the region going forward.
Sanctions alone wont cut it.
 
You just know that if the entire planet had the shit bombed out of it there would still be some little fecker in an ill fitting suit, with a Young Conservative badge on it, walking around with his side parted Sunday school hairdo, holding a British flag, telling everyone that the economy is still doing reeeeeaaallllyy well.

Yep. For those who lack imagination / a soul, putting things in financial terms is basically the only way they understand until the bomb lands on their head.
 
I think Putin will eventually give up on trying to capture Kiev, but settle instead for:

* Capturing Odessa and cutting Ukraine off entirely from any sea access. Then he will "control" the entire southern coastline
* Capturing the entire Donbas and Luhansk regions and declare them "independent" republics.

Then he will withdraw troops from other parts of Ukraine and attempt to sell the gains of land as a victory .

A period of stand-off lasting years along the new "borders" will then follow, with intermittent shelling (etc) of the kind that has been happening for years along the previous eastern "border".

The economic sanctions will remain in place for a long time and the Ukrainian forces will be armed and trained big-time by NATO troops.
How is he going to spin this one? He keeps on telling Russians that they are there to help the people in East Ukraine and that he wants to "denazify" the government.

The only thing Putin will settle for - at the very least - is international recognition of the new republics and a pro-Russian government, but ideally deweaponization of newer NATO countries as well.
 
How is he going to spin this one? He keeps on telling Russians that they are there to help the people in East Ukraine and that he wants to "denazify" the government.

The only thing Putin will settle for - at the very least - is international recognition of the new republics and a pro-Russian government, but ideally deweaponization of newer NATO countries as well.
This is never going to happen. The opposite will be the case after his war.
 
I wouldn't be against NATO telling Russia that they will remove all sanctions as soon as the last Russian troop is out of Ukraine.

No. The World has him in a chokehold - it shouldn’t be eased until he’s removed.

He has wreaked havoc and suffering in the West and in Europe with his meddling in our politics and left our cultures divided and now this in Ukraine while simultaneously threatening Nuclear War ffs.

The World shouldn’t let go now until he’s removed.

We’ve waited years for this opportunity.
 
Well it took the US/UK 3 weeks to take Baghdad. It's the media that controls the narrative so they are playing it hard that Russia is struggling, the same media at that time weren't saying that the US/UK coalition were struggling (although I'm sure Iraqi state media was!).

You'd figure given how we're being told Russia is so shit at this war thing that the EU would be less fearful about attacking them. They might throw a nuclear bomb on themselves.

This is a massive fecking army, they'll take over eventually. The EU won't do anything, that's the sad reality, I just hope the Ukrainians don't let them sleep easy for the time they are there.

Truest post in here. Russia are struggling no more or no less than most invasions.
 
No. The World has him in a chokehold - it shouldn’t be eased until he’s removed.

He has wreaked havoc and suffering in the West and in Europe with his meddling in our politics and left our cultures divided and now this in Ukraine while simultaneously threatening Nuclear War ffs.

The World shouldn’t let go now until he’s removed.

We’ve waited years for this opportunity.

Fair enough I don't disagree with you however I still would love there to be peace sooner rather than later. The longer this conflict continues, everyone loses.
 
Truest post in here. Russia are struggling no more or no less than most invasions.
They are definitely struggling more than for example the US did in Iraq. Yes, they took longer to reach Bagdad, but that is simply a much longer distance, and they made sure that they had absolute control over everything, especially total dominance in the air. Russia seems to be incapable to establish anything similar.