Actually, the fireball likely won't hit me. So I guess there is some chance of surviving.
I guess I am going buying some cans and some water, and if the worst happens, go in the basement for a couple of weeks.
politicians really need to shut this idea down. No fly zone doesnt just mean shooting down planes, it also entails shooting down anti aircraft weapons, including those inside of russia. No fly zone is not a middle ground, Its going to war with Russia. Simple as that.
So I have been trying to get people from border/any other place where they arrive for the last few days, and I was just in touch with someone who was looking for a drive for two Americans who have just arrived here and wanted a lift near the border so they can go to Lviv and join Ukrainian Forces. I didn't mind that as I would be going that direction anyway today or tomorrow but I just asked what their military experience is and it turned out they don't have any.
Do these people not realize they will be more burden than help? It's one thing to fight as a civilian in your own country, knowing the language, maybe knowing people around you. It's not Call of Duty, you won't be able to do anything there if you don't have any military training and you are just sentencing yourself to either death or lifelong PTSD.
Not taking them anywhere.
Could be wrong (often am) but don’t agree with some of this especially bold paragraphThe narrative of the Russia military as bumbling could simply be that Russia doesn’t want to kill civilians where possible and instead wants to hold Ukraine as peacefully as possible by using its least important and capable military assets - a bit like playing the youth players in a League Cup match, if you will.
I’m starting to feel like a lot of the immediate media from this invasion has essentially just been propaganda, albeit brilliantly coordinated propaganda. Much of it in unverifiable and also aimed at getting an emotional response, but there isn’t really much substance when you take a step back.
I think it’s been designed to try and force an uprising or coup in Russia while there’s a chance to spin such narrative, but it hasn’t (and won’t) worked - that’s why Putin is sat with that insufferable smirk across his face - they’ve planned EXACTLY for these sanctions, they’ll already know their response around it - it’s just that we don’t. They’re multiple steps ahead…
This is a well thought out, long game tactical move from Russia rather than the desperate actions of a weakened dictator imo.
Putin has infiltrated U.S elections, Brexit, funded up much of the far-right brain-washing across Europe and is now invading neighbouring countries while staring down the World.
The reality is that the developed World has been weakened by his meddling and actions over the last 10 years and he will emerge from this more powerful, not less.
The depressing truth is that for all our supposed sophistication, a little Orwellian thug and glorified hitman is probably the single most powerful individual person on Earth.
We should take a look at ourselves in the mirror as a species. If it wasn’t so depressing it’d be comical.
You are fine, as long as you are not near the airport or some military basis.I used to be 2kms from Marienplatz. Now 25 kms away so will live 10 seconds or so longer than you. Woo hoo.
Just spoke to a Ukrainian colleague again. Really interesting to hear it directly from someone involved. She is in Kyiv, where it is now relatively quiet and safe after a few rough days.
An interesting thing she mentioned, which may be forgotten, is that so many Ukrainians have Russian relatives. She was, for example, no longer speaking to her aunt because she supported Putin and didn't believe any of the reports coming out of Ukraine about the war. It's fully messed up.
Judging by the military equipment used and the age of the majority of the captured forces I'd have to agree with that.The narrative of the Russia military as bumbling could simply be that Russia doesn’t want to kill civilians where possible and instead wants to hold Ukraine as peacefully as possible by using its least important and capable military assets - a bit like playing the youth players in a League Cup match, if you will.
I’m starting to feel like a lot of the immediate media from this invasion has essentially just been propaganda, albeit brilliantly coordinated propaganda. Much of it in unverifiable and also aimed at getting an emotional response, but there isn’t really much substance when you take a step back.
I think it’s been designed to try and force an uprising or coup in Russia while there’s a chance to spin such narrative, but it hasn’t (and won’t) worked - that’s why Putin is sat with that insufferable smirk across his face - they’ve planned EXACTLY for these sanctions, they’ll already know their response around it - it’s just that we don’t. They’re multiple steps ahead…
This is a well thought out, long game tactical move from Russia rather than the desperate actions of a weakened dictator imo.
Putin has infiltrated U.S elections, Brexit, funded up much of the far-right brain-washing across Europe and is now invading neighbouring countries while staring down the World.
The reality is that the developed World has been weakened by his meddling and actions over the last 10 years and he will emerge from this more powerful, not less.
The depressing truth is that for all our supposed sophistication, a little Orwellian thug and glorified hitman is probably the single most powerful individual person on Earth.
We should take a look at ourselves in the mirror as a species. If it wasn’t so depressing it’d be comical.
I agree. It would almost be pointless for them to even have nukes if they "couldn't reach" their #1 adversary, which would negate MAD and make them entirely vulnerable.
So I have been trying to get people from border/any other place where they arrive for the last few days, and I was just in touch with someone who was looking for a drive for two Americans who have just arrived here and wanted a lift near the border so they can go to Lviv and join Ukrainian Forces. I didn't mind that as I would be going that direction anyway today or tomorrow but I just asked what their military experience is and it turned out they don't have any.
Do these people not realize they will be more burden than help? It's one thing to fight as a civilian in your own country, knowing the language, maybe knowing people around you. It's not Call of Duty, you won't be able to do anything there if you don't have any military training and you are just sentencing yourself to either death or lifelong PTSD.
Not taking them anywhere.
Please don't nail me down on that I've only read that on here and some dodgy articles and doing some more research it seems they might have nukes able to reach the US for quite some time actually. Hard to imagine they wouldn't be shot down before getting close to the US though. But anyway: Nuke or not a WW would mostly be fought out on on European terrain, which is why I think we should be careful with the call for "doing" more. I hope the sanctions will lead to the Russian population to properly turn against Putin which could end this without escalating even more.
someone needs to sit down with her and explain what that shit actually entails. Why a NFZ, why not just mobilize the entire europe and get it over with . why stop there. Its a half measure that gives you the same outcome as a full blown war. You dont just say well this is a NFZ and automatically planes stop flying . To enforce it requires force, it requires blowing up russian planes and anti aircraft weapons, especially the ones inside of russia.I follow Daria on twitter and basically all her tweets and re-tweets are about the NFZ.
To carry the bulk of the military burden isn't close to what Europe would have to endure if it came to an escalation and if reports are true that Russia doesn't even have nuclear weapons able to reach US mainland I'm not sure how the affect a full blown war would have on Europe are in any way comparable to what the US would have to fear.
I agree with you second point though.
Sending troops wouldn't be wise for the reasons I've stated. Weapons I agree. Germany was pretty late on that.
Nuclear winter is apparently not something that is 100% certain. They’ve been testing loads of nukes over the years.You are fine, as long as you are not near the airport or some military basis.
You will die from radiation though. If you survive it, be prepared on dying from the nuclear winter.
You are fine, as long as you are not near the airport or some military basis.
You will die from radiation though. If you survive it, be prepared on dying from the nuclear winter.
Been thinking the last few days that there is a huge open door China can run through to save the day - they can then spin that as showing everyone who has the real power now. Could be a huge win for them.
I used to be 2kms from Marienplatz. Now 25 kms away so will live 10 seconds or so longer than you. Woo hoo.
I don't disagree with any of that, my post was saying it's a little tiresome when every war in the Middle East is claimed to somehow be the fault of the West. It's a tribal region that doesn't suit national boundaries and never has from long before the US started getting involved.
It is not hard to imagine, it is virtually certain that Russia can hit the US with thousands of nukes. And vice versa.Please don't nail me down on that I've only read that on here and some dodgy articles and doing some more research it seems they might have nukes able to reach the US for quite some time actually. Hard to imagine they wouldn't be shot down before getting close to the US though. But anyway: Nuke or not a WW would mostly be fought out on on European terrain, which is why I think we should be careful with the call for "doing" more. I hope the sanctions will lead to the Russian population to properly turn against Putin which could end this without escalating even more.
Not necessarily evil, but they are taking over the world already, economically.This is hyperbolic nonsense, do you see China as some sort of evil empire that is waiting in the aisles to take over the world?
The narrative of the Russia military as bumbling could simply be that Russia doesn’t want to kill civilians where possible and instead wants to hold Ukraine as peacefully as possible by using its least important and capable military assets - a bit like playing the youth players in a League Cup match, if you will.
I’m starting to feel like a lot of the immediate media from this invasion has essentially just been propaganda, albeit brilliantly coordinated propaganda. Much of it in unverifiable and also aimed at getting an emotional response, but there isn’t really much substance when you take a step back.
I think it’s been designed to try and force an uprising or coup in Russia while there’s a chance to spin such narrative, but it hasn’t (and won’t) worked - that’s why Putin is sat with that insufferable smirk across his face - they’ve planned EXACTLY for these sanctions, they’ll already know their response around it - it’s just that we don’t. They’re multiple steps ahead…
This is a well thought out, long game tactical move from Russia rather than the desperate actions of a weakened dictator imo.
Putin has infiltrated U.S elections, Brexit, funded up much of the far-right brain-washing across Europe and is now invading neighbouring countries while staring down the World.
The reality is that the developed World has been weakened by his meddling and actions over the last 10 years and he will emerge from this more powerful, not less.
The depressing truth is that for all our supposed sophistication, a little Orwellian thug and glorified hitman is probably the single most powerful individual person on Earth.
We should take a look at ourselves in the mirror as a species. If it wasn’t so depressing it’d be comical.
Probably a really stupid question (I was definitely much more in my wheelhouse discussing the pandemic than geopolitics) but is Putin kind of a one man band? If there was a way to somehow take him out is there some other head the ball ready and waiting to take over? Or will the whole house of cards immediately collapse? You’d have to wonder if the quickest way to end this shit show is to assassinate the horrible toad behind it all.
someone needs to sit down with her and explain what that shit actually entails. Why a NFZ, why not just mobilize the entire europe and get it over with . why stop there. Its a half measure that gives you the same outcome as a full blown war. You dont just say well this is a NFZ and automatically planes stop flying . To enforce it requires force, it requires blowing up russian planes and anti aircraft weapons, especially the ones inside of russia.
That's what we did. Was almost affordable back then.My wife and I have been considering moving for around 3 months, currently in Schwabing. Maybe a house on the country side?
Russia have missile call Satan which has range of 7000 miles and can't be hit by any counter weapon. Usa has similiar nukes. In one word; Russia can hit every big city in USA and vice versa.To carry the bulk of the military burden isn't close to what Europe would have to endure if it came to an escalation and if reports are true that Russia doesn't even have nuclear weapons able to reach US mainland I'm not sure how the affect a full blown war would have on Europe are in any way comparable to what the US would have to fear.
I agree with you second point though.
Kyiv live cameras on youtube out.
Putin has certainly been centralising power with him - so there would be a vacuum... hard to know who would fill it though (Oligarch, Military, Putin loyalist)Probably a really stupid question (I was definitely much more in my wheelhouse discussing the pandemic than geopolitics) but is Putin kind of a one man band? If there was a way to somehow take him out is there some other head the ball ready and waiting to take over? Or will the whole house of cards immediately collapse? You’d have to wonder if the quickest way to end this shit show is to assassinate the horrible toad behind it all.
Just spoke to a Ukrainian colleague again. Really interesting to hear it directly from someone involved. She is in Kyiv, where it is now relatively quiet and safe after a few rough days.
An interesting thing she mentioned, which may be forgotten, is that so many Ukrainians have Russian relatives. She was, for example, no longer speaking to her aunt because she supported Putin and didn't believe any of the reports coming out of Ukraine about the war. It's fully messed up.
