Lukaku vs top teams (United, Pool, City, Arsenal, Spurs, Chelsea + European powerhouse eg. Bayern Juve, PSG, Barca, etc)
Chelsea 11/12
4 games (4 L)
0 goals/assist
West Brom 12/13
11 games (2W 2D 7L)
5 goals = 2 vs Liverpool, 3 vs United
Chelsea (one game) -> Everton 13/14
11 games (3W 3D 5L)
6 goals = 2 vs Arsenal, 2 vs City, 2 vs Liverpool
3 assists = 2 assist vs Arsenal, 1 assist vs United
Everton 14/15
12 games (1W 4D 7L)
0 goals
1 assist vs Arsenal
15/16
14 games (3W 4D 7L)
4 goals = 1 vs City, 2 vs Chelsea, 1 vs Pool
1 assist vs Spurs
16/17
11 games (2W 3D 6L)
4 goals = 1 vs Arsenal, 1 vs Spurs, 2 vs City
Manchester United 17/18
13 games (7W 1D 5L)
2 goals = 1 vs Real Madrid, 1 vs Chelsea
3 assists = 1 vs Spurs, 1 vs Pool, 1 vs Chelsea
18/19
16 games (4W 3D 9L)
2 goals vs PSG
2 assists vs Arsenal
Inter 19/20 (not sure who are the other top teams, other than Juve and Inter)
5 games (1W 4L)
1 goal vs Barca
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Season/Goals per games | Goals+Assists per game
11/12 - 0
12/13 - 5/11 = 0.45 (nice)
13/14 - 6/11 = 0.55 (wow!) | 9/11 = 0.82 (wow!)
14/15 - 0 | 1/12 = 0.08
15/16 - 4/14 = 0.29 | 5/14 = 0.36
16/17 - 4/11 = 0.36
17/18 - 2/13 = 0.15 | 5/13 = 0.38
18/19 - 2/16 = 0.13 | 4/16 = 0.25
19/20 - 1/5 = 0.2
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Conclusion?
1) He's really useless in big games now.
Joining top teams with better teammates helped improved his winning rate, but his losing rate is still ridiculously high.
Better to just bench him in big games - he just consistently won't help you win.
2) The stats supported my theory that Lukaku is so much better when he's younger in the big games.
This is when he's on loan at West Brom but more so on loan at Everton. At this stage, Lukaku is not being chosen at Chelsea and so he seek to impress so he's really motivated. But after the two impressive loans, he believed too much in his own hype, he thinks he's that good so he gets complacent. He still regularly score against the weaker teams because his ability to score is still that good, doesn't need much effort.