RedRover
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- Mar 19, 2007
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Thats an interesting thesis. Care to eloberate?
Maybe they will fall somewhat and won´t be able to challenge Bayern or for the CL title in the next years, but fall to mid table in the Bundesliga? For that to happen, something would need to go terrribly wrong.
Watzke, Zorc and Klopp have used the success in the last years to build an extremely stable fundament of the club. While they are still behind Bayern quite a bit in terms of finances, the gap between them and the rest of the league is even wider.
They are estimated to generate between 260 and 270 Mil € revenue for the last season without taking transfer income into account. That is around two times as much as the third biggest club Schalke will generate. They have a huge and modern stadium, which is filled to the brink at every occasion. Merchandise sales go through the roof due to bigger popularitiy and the fan numbers are steadily growing. Add to that several renewed sponsorship deals for better conditions.
They are also not dependent on the CL as income source, because they can still break even without it.
Losing one or two key players won´t make them fall out of the top 3. They lost with Götze their strongest individual player, but they were still able to push the currently strongest team in world to their limits in the CL final without him.
Surely how succesful they are depends on more factors than the money they generate?
Losing key players becomes a real problem if you dont replace them with players of similar ability. Losing the likes of Goetze and Lewandowski will clearly take a lot away from the team. All well and good if the players they bring in to repalce them are up to the job but what if they aren't? All well and good in theory being able to able to sell a player for £30 million and replace him for £15 million - but that's celarly easier said than done.
Dortmund have a lot of good players - who will attract top sides who are likely to offer them large pay rises and the chance to compete in other top leagues for succesful sides. Dortmund will either have to pay those players big money, or let them move and try to put together a new side.
Its difficult for teams to continue to be succesful if every summer thye lose one or two of their better players - its one of the main reason why football can by cylical in nature with teams moving up and down in terms of success. Other german sides have been succesful over the last couple of decades in winning titles and doing relaitvely well in europe - Dortmuind themselves had a good period in the 90's and then fell away.
The big problem I forsee for german football in general is that it could become a one horse race. Dortmund wont be competing for top talent then unless they pay huge money.