Selective stats, again.You mean 3 of your bowlers that have economies over 5? That's 100 runs in 20 overs just based on numbers and without even considering the strengths of my batsmen vs spin and the weakness of your spinners in spin conditions. Let's have a look at your spinners and Malinga:
Yuvraj
In India: 40 @ 5.3
In Pakistan 52 @ 5.5
In SL: 30 @ 4.7
Symonds
In India: 61 @ 5.1
In SL: 44 @ 4.3
Malinga
In India: 34 @ 5.3
In SL: 27 @ 5.1
In UAE: 44 @ 5.4
These are abysmal numbers and you will be bowling 22 overs from these 3 bowlers. That's 150 runs right there without much fuss.
Even then I think Samid's batting is a little less stronger. There are 6 batsmen and even there, Collingwood isn't that great. Bevan can chase well of course but too much responsibility will be on him though. In my opinion, you shoudnt have dropped Zak. He has been playing in pitches like this most of his career.
That's fine, but what about the fact that there's little assistance for pace and bounce and you have decided to bowl first with your bowler's main strength being his height and the bounce he can generate? What about the fact that batting first on a batting friendly pitch will play in the hands of my all time great top order? Or the fact that none of your players bar your openers can score quickly at the end?My team performs a lot better when under pressure chasing. They are match winners.
- Gilchrist averages 32 @ 93 batting first. Batting second he averages 40 @ 101.
- Greenidge averages 41 batting first. 49 chasing.
- Crowe averages 36 batting first. 42 chasing.
- The Bevan factor. Avg. 52 batting first, avg. 57 chasing. Mr. Reliable when chasing.
Larsen the Postman is Aldo's main spinner.Why do you think it won't be a high scoring game ? I think a score in excess of 280 is easily possible. And who are Ando's spinners ? He doesn't have a specialist spinner if I am not mistaken. Only Yuvraj is scheduled for 8 overs somewhere in the middle. So it's probably going to be against Greenidge/Abbas/Crowe, all three of whom I think will fancy their chances.
Qadir could be really crucial here, but unfortunately for Samid, many of Aldo's batsmen are very good at playing spin.
Selective stats, again.
Can you also post Ntini, Garner and Morkel's number using the exact same filter?
That's very harsh on Jadeja. Average of 30+ and ten 50s in his short career so far. He is no mug. His role will be supporting Bevan on a flat track which he is more than capable of handling.
I like Zak but Ntini is the superior bowler. Even in these conditions.
Zak took 21 wickets in the World Cup 2011 and quite often bowls in slower wickets like these. Ntini is good but Zak was a no brainer here.
I've agreed not to publish its results in these threads. It was felt that it was being too influential, when it was just meant to be a bit of fun.@Akshay what does the simulator says?
I've agreed not to publish its results in these threads. It was felt that it was being too influential, when it was just meant to be a bit of fun.
He used to bowl spin ? Thought he was just a medium pacer.Larsen the Postman is Aldo's main spinner.
You know, you are right. I think I have confused him with someone else. My bad.He used to bowl spin ? Thought he was just a medium pacer.
@Akshay what does the simulator says?
Simulator is one hell of a development but it can only show statistical advantage.cant read a lot into it. Won't take into account pitch conditions and stuff (unless we give him data for that). For instance The simulation would show Joel garner being the best bowler due to his stats even though it's not likely in pitches like these.
I don't think it's as extreme as the premadasa. More an Indian pitch. In any case these pitches are very good to bat in the first innings. It's the 2nd innings where batting gets tough.Larsen the Postman is Aldo's main spinner.
Hot, dry conditions which favors spin. Probably a slow outfield, too. I imagine something like the Premadasa. Always hard to score at a high rate on those wickets, if you take too many risks you will just get out to the spinners. It's mostly about rotating the strike and patiently finding the gaps.
He's not a hit and miss by any account. Less so in these conditions.You're the one bragging about good economies yet 22 of your 50 bowlers will be bowled by either part timers or a loose cannon (Malinga) who is a hit or miss bowler.
But i love to see those at end of every match, hope there wouldn't be much issue with that.I've agreed not to publish its results in these threads. It was felt that it was being too influential, when it was just meant to be a bit of fun.
Yeah, that's true. Definitely prefer to bat first on those pitches.I don't think it's as extreme as the premadasa. More an Indian pitch. In any case these pitches are very good to bat in the first innings. It's the 2nd innings where batting gets tough.
Also impacts the usefulness of bowlers like Qadir, larsen, yuvi, Symonds, jadeja etc. Each of them would be more effective in the 2nd innings with the pitch getting slower.Yeah, that's true. Definitely prefer to bat first on those pitches.
I don't think Larsen would provide much impact but certainly rest would.Ball not coming into the bat properly the timing gets missed etc.Also impacts the usefulness of bowlers like Qadir, larsen, yuvi, Symonds, jadeja etc. Each of them would be more effective in the 2nd innings with the pitch getting slower.
I don't see how the pitch would get slower in the 2nd innings tbh. It's just a 100 over game. It's likely to stay the same through the day.Also impacts the usefulness of bowlers like Qadir, larsen, yuvi, Symonds, jadeja etc. Each of them would be more effective in the 2nd innings with the pitch getting slower.
Larsen was an absolute miser and very tough to score off. These conditions play right into his hands. We don't require or expect him to pick 5 wkts here but the role he needs to execute, he's superb at.I don't think Larsen would provide much impact but certainly rest would.Ball not coming into the bat properly the timing gets missed etc.
Samid deciding to field first doesn't help him much here.
I don't see how the pitch would get slower in the 2nd innings tbh. It's just a 100 over game. It's likely to stay the same through the day.
Not slow as in tests, but it will tougher to score as the match progresses as the wicket is completely dry and has no grass to hold it together.I don't see how the pitch would get slower in the 2nd innings tbh. It's just a 100 over game. It's likely to stay the same through the day.
I don't see how the pitch would get slower in the 2nd innings tbh. It's just a 100 over game. It's likely to stay the same through the day.
So if we can see Garner off - which is easier to see off two bowlers bowling in tandem against one great bowler while the other let's you off - who can dislodge Sachin, Waugh or Sanga? Despite his opening pair being great, I still have the better one, without question. An addition, the second highest scorer of all time is coming in at number 3. I have one more world class strike bowler and one more world class top order batsman for him to compete with.Don't rate Larsen at all. Despite that Team Ando is better but the conditions are a great equalizer in this match up. Yuvraj did well in the WC as a pinner for India but I would still be uneasy relying on him as the main spinner. Both Gilly and Greenidge are likely to see off Malinga and Bond on such a wicket and after that it is hard to see a bowler in Ando's 11 who can dislodge either of them or stop at least one from building a big score.
On the other hand, Garner vs Sachin/Waugh ,..mmmmm ...
Yep especially in those seam assisted condition,but these sub continent condition never been great place to those medium pacers,since you are not expecting him to be the lead bowler and you are going to use him partially he can extend the support you are looking at.Larsen was an absolute miser and very tough to score off. These conditions play right into his hands. We don't require or expect him to pick 5 wkts here but the role he needs to execute, he's superb at.
I don't see how the pitch would get slower in the 2nd innings tbh. It's just a 100 over game. It's likely to stay the same through the day.
He wasn't a medium pacer that depended on swing or seam conditions mate. Lots of change of pace and off cutters was his forge. This sort of a pitch is perfect for him. And yes, we will use him in the middle overs to squeeze things.Yep especially in those seam assisted condition,but these sub continent condition never been great place to those medium pacers,since you are not expecting him to be the lead bowler and you are going to use him partially he can extend the support you are looking at.
Malinga's avg in Asia is slightly worse than his overall. His econ in India is 5.38 and in SL is 5.13. He concedes at rate of 5+ against almost every test country. I think overall you are rating him higher than how good he is. He can have one of his death over spells but if one of your top 2 bowler is having career economy above 5, it doesn't look good.Malinga is pretty much a local boy here.
So if we can see Garner off - which is easier to see off two bowlers bowling in tandem against one great bowler while the other let's you off - who can dislodge Sachin, Waugh or Sanga? Despite his opening pair being great, I still have the better one, without question. An addition, the second highest scorer of all time is coming in at number 3. I have one more world class strike bowler and one more world class top order batsman for him to compete with.
Now factor in the fact that Garner's strengths are possible to be reduced by the lack of assistance while someone like Malinga is pretty much a local boy here.
Now factor in that my lower order is much better in scoring quickly and in a run-fest that would matter.
Applying your logic, my side comes out with an upper hand in both departments.
My top order has 92 centuries between them, Sanga and Tendulkar alone have close to 200 50s between them, as good as his opening pair is, my top order is better, and is batting first.
What we need off him is wickets TMH, doesn't matter if he gives away a few at the start because of how dependant Samid is on his openers. When it comes to this, he's one the best. Always always takes wickets.Malinga's avg in Asia is slightly worse than his overall. His econ in India is 5.38 and in SL is 5.13. He concedes at rate of 5+ against almost every test country. I think overall you are rating him higher than how good he is. He can have one of his death over spells but if one of your top 2 bowler is having career economy above 5, it doesn't look good.
Ok, let's ask you something else. Who is going to finish the innings against a high req RR for you? I have Symonds coming in at 6, Collingwood is a far cry from the force Symonds was at his pomp, a true game changer in every field. I said this in the last game as well, I have world class finisher who will make a tremendous difference. They score consistently, and big. I love Bevan and he'll do his best here, but against an increasing run rate against miserly bowlers like Streak and Larsen and bowlers like Malinga who have a history of choking the score at the death with those unplayable yorkers delivered by that odd to track action, plenty of batsmen have failed against that. The man was a match winner at his peak, and he is in near home conditions here, I can easily make a claim that he's bound to end this game with the most impact out of all pacers, on his day he's seriously damaging to any batting line up, and SL's ODI success in reaching those WC finals was on the back of him being the strike bowler.Spot on. It's just an idiotic cliche commentators use when team batting second fecks up the chase. People are acting as if it is a fresh day 1 pitch in the first innings and a dry day 5 pitch in the second innings.
I believe they use heavy rollers between innings in ODIs as well which brings more moisture to the top and gets rid of any dryness.
How can both even be true?Best opener, finisher and bowler in Samid's team.
(2nd) Best ODI batsman of all time in Aldo's team.
What will be the impact of spinners to the teams?
Opener??Best opener, finisher and bowler in Samid's team.