SinNombre
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KD is so insecure about his Warriors' stint
KD is so insecure about his Warriors' stint
KD is so insecureabout his Warriors' stint
Really.KD is so insecure about his Warriors' stint
I get that you're SUPPORTING the Dubs, but who is your pick to win?I am obviously supporting the Warriors, as long as they play Steph/Kerr-ball. Got me back into watching the NBA after the iso era.
Big next few days for my sporting teams/players legacies with Rafa having beaten Novak and now needs to win FO and every championship run counts for Steph here.
Think there is something to this, personally. The Celtics will be by far the best defense Golden State has played in the playoffs - and the closest archetype in Memphis gave them genuine problems.
There might be something to it if the Celtics core remained somewhat unchanged during that time period. However, back in 2014, Jason Tatum, Robert Williams, Jaylen Brown and even Grant Williams, their first guy off the bench, were all still in high school.
Think there is something to this, personally. The Celtics will be by far the best defense Golden State has played in the playoffs - and the closest archetype in Memphis gave them genuine problems.
Memphis had Ja, but also Bane and arguably, better perimeter shooting, yet still won in 6. This is an interesting, interesting matchup because both teams can defend to a very high level, but one team has extreme shooters/scorers, and an experience advantage.
I think whoever wins, it'll be in 6 or 7. Warriors haven't been in this position for a few years, and Curry mentioned how it took them at least a game or two for them to really feel the intensity, pressure, and urgency for game situations they missed for a couple of years. Boston's core group of Smart, Brown, Tatum, Horford have not been here before at all. Still think Warriors will squeak this out, but Boston is going to be prepared and battle and win at least one or two games. Their issue is going to be how well they shoot the ball and who can step up for them in the clutch when they don't have a lead to protect. The way Boston played in Game 7 with Tatum dribbling with less than 10 to shoot, getting doubled, and passing for an open shot probably isn't going to work against the other best defense in the league.
Great post and a lot to think about! I'll just give some scattershot responses as I think of them - hope you don't mind as this might be a bit incoherent!
Disagree with Memphis' shooting being better - both teams were more or less the same this year (Boston 12th in 3P% at 35.7%; Memphis 17th at 35.4%).
I agree that this'll likely be a long series. Also you're completely correct that the Celtics' crunchtime offense has been terrible generally - when they try to play isoball it's generally a disaster. Think you're onto something with the general level of inexperience - some of their clutch decision-making has been god-awful (thinking specifically of the Jaylen offensive foul with like 18-20 seconds on the shot clock vs Miami in game 7).
I guess I just think Boston has a potentially historically great half-court defense (obviously era-adjusted). Thus far in the playoffs they've held their opponents to something like 7 points per 100 possessions fewer than they averaged in the regular season in half-court sets, which is pretty stark. Boston also has the best perimeter defense in the NBA in terms of opponent 3P% - 33.5%. Golden State's defense has also been great as you say, but they have struggled at rebounding and personally I'd argue that the Celtics' guards defensively against the Warriors' stand a better chance of stopping them than the Warriors' wings do against those of Boston (and I think Boston could potentially have a huge edge in terms of offensive rebounding which could go some ways towards negating the potential difference in offensive efficiency).
Your point that the Warriors can grow into the series is a great one. I totally agree that adjustments will be key, as I don't think there's an overwhelming talent gap either way. Obviously I'm biased but I personally think that of the 4 basic units, Boston's defense is the best and deepest as a whole, so on that (probably flimsy) basis - Boston in 6!!
All good! Celtics defense is very good and just depends on how they scheme...do they switch, which they can, or do they fight through screens. And it goes for the Warriors too, because if you switch, there's going to be a mismatch or advantage, just if you can create off that more times than not.
The rebounding is a good point and Warriors might address it more. The more Draymond plays, the better for the Warriors because he's so important defensively and helping to move the ball on offense. If Boston can hunker down on defense and make the Warriors go too fast and put the ball movement off rhythm, then Boston can get transition moments and give themselves a better chance. Warriors have the tendency to be turnover prone and with good defense comes less offensive attempts.
One or two non-core/star players have to make themselves present. For Warriors, it will continue to be Poole and Wiggins. For Boston, it's Williams and White...but for Boston, this is the first chance for Tatum to elevate his game on the biggest stage. However he takes it to the next level, defense, shooting, passing, whatever, he has to take charge and will his team to compete and then win in this series.
Curry versus Smart is going to be an awesome matchup...or Brown versus Curry. The defensive trio, of what you pointed out, in the half court in Brown, Tatum, and Smart are very comfortable guarding 1 through 4, inside and out. Fun thing is that both teams enjoy the physical, defensive play, but can get out and run on transition.
Just a general thought as far as the Dubs rebounding is concerned. The Grizzlies were the number one ranked team in the NBA in the regular season in rebounds. The Dubs out rebounded them in 5 of the 6 games. In fact the Warriors have an almost 50 rebound edge over their opponents in these playoffs, out rebounding them in 11 out of the 16 games.
Adams played in 4 of the 6 games and started in 3 of them, playing over 20 minutes per game.Yep fair point - but at the same time Adams barely played that series and JJJ is a terrible rebounder for his size all things considered. Memphis doesn't have the same size as Boston does - especially when you consider crunch time lineups.
Adams played in 4 of the 6 games and started in 3 of them, playing over 20 minutes per game.
Looney has been exceptional for the Dubs on the boards in these playoffs.
Alright let's say he only played in 3 out of the 6 games but he played pretty good minutes in those 3 and they still got out rebounded by the Dubs in 2 of them.I mean, let's be real here - he played 5 and a half minutes in one of those games and 27, 21, and 28 minutes in the last 3 games. I don't think "barely" is too far off the mark - he played ~28% of the available minutes in the series. His impact on team rebounding has been pretty well documented - I think my point stands that the Grizzlies rebounding rate during the season was artificially high compared to the playoffs.
I agree that Looney has been excellent but he's also been rebounding against the likes of Kleber and Powell. Horford and Timelord are both far far better rebounders.
Count me in as a Boston bandwagoner I was rooting for Dallas even though they had no chance vs the Warriors, does that make me a Golden State hater then ?Update
Warriors: @edcunited1878 @ZDwyr @charlton66 @SirAnderson @Beans @frostbite @Lay @HTG @Andy_Cole @Moby @elmo @RobinLFC
Celtics: @Jim Beam @Skåre Willoch @De Selby @P-Nut @WeePat @Bepi @TheMagicFoolBus
If you're rooting for one team but have not made a pick, I'm classifying you as on the fence.
Fence: @kouroux @Desert Eagle @Šjor Bepo @SinNombre
There's plenty of snubs, but T-Mac isn't one of them.
If you pulled for Cleveland in any of the finals vs Dubs I'd have to say yes. If not I'll give you a pass.Count me in as a Boston bandwagoner I was rooting for Dallas even though they had no chance vs the Warriors, does that make me a Golden State hater then ?
Another one for the dark side.I believe in Boston as well
No matter what accolades Steph gets between now and the end of his career, Magic will always be a better PG than he is.I think this is a big one for Curry - if he wins this (and hopefully gets Finals MVP), he establishes himself as the second best PG ever and imo a top 10 player all-time.
Boston is the only team in the league with a winning record against Golden State since Kerr took over - the Warriors have struggled against Boston's elite wing depth and size advantage at pretty much every position.
Feels like a very even series on paper, but the Warriors having a big rest advantage and home court might tip it in their favor. Still think this is going at least 6 games.
Yeah agreed. Dude won the Lakers a ring at center, forward and guard in his rookie season, and had 9 Finals appearances in 12 seasons in the league.No matter what accolades Steph gets between now and the end of his career, Magic will always be a better PG than he is.
Would have loved to see Steve Nash in this era, he likely would have scored a lot more as PGs are no longer passers first. Both among the best shooters ever, both shot .428 from 3 for their career (so far), 90.4 (Nash) and 90.8 from the line, that's #1 and #2 all time. Nash with more assists but less points per game average. Less success as well.No matter what accolades Steph gets between now and the end of his career, Magic will always be a better PG than he is.
On the other side of the coin, if you asked me who is the best player to have ever played point guard, I think Steph wins that one already.
Let's say my dislike for Lebron trumped everything elseIf you pulled for Cleveland in any of the finals vs Dubs I'd have to say yes. If not I'll give you a pass.
I'll stick you down as a Boston lover.
Another one for the dark side.
Thing is about Magic, he is by far and away the best passer to have ever played the game. Hence best PG ever. However, I think he went to the "James Harden school of defense" because a lot of the time he just didn't put in the effort. (I was going to say didn't give a shit, but let's be nice). On offense, he was pretty good when called upon but that just wasn't Magic's game. Hence I go with Steph as the better overall player.Yeah agreed. Dude won the Lakers a ring at center, forward and guard in his rookie season, and had 9 Finals appearances in 12 seasons in the league.
Not a hater then, and welcome to the club.Let's say my dislike for Lebron trumped everything else