I know you did, man - I know you did.
The way I see it the model isn't fixed here - in terms of your hypothetical scenario, I mean. The PL won't be a walk in the park this season. Possibly more competitive than...ever? At any rate - competitive. What Moyes has said is true, we all know it: Last season wasn't the toughest. Our closest rivals under-performed. These rivals have strengthened over the summer and both Spurs and Arsenal have done the same. It isn't obvious that our squad, now under the management of a man who has the hardest job in football at the moment, is simply good enough to stroll in to a top four finish under these circumstances. It really isn't. It could be a very close race.
Moyes could be doing a lot of things right as we go along - and we'll still fall short of that magical 4th spot. It should not be the be all, end all condition here. If we believe that he is the right man in the long run, we stick by him as long as he isn't showing obvious signs of not handling the job. That was the deal in many ways: We went with the long-term option. It would be ridiculous to sack him prematurely given this. What would be a sackable offense, you may ask? Well, that has to be assessed on its own terms entirely for me. If he can't handle the players at all, if we play extremely dire football with poor results over a sustained period while he shows signs of having no master plan at all - anything, really. But nothing as simple and fixed as not making the top four. Not for me.