The captains of FIFA's national teams, their managers and a media member from each country all had a vote. Not saying these guys are all football geniuses - that's why I said the "majority of voters" in my original post. However, most captains and managers of national teams in world football should at least have a good understanding of talent in the game.
As for the basketball MVP, it's done by the media, so they could easily be all idiots.
It's not about understanding of talent in game, but what the contest is. And these past few years, it's "Personality of the year", based on the achievements of Real/Barça, little more.
The captains and managers (who vote for POTY and voted for POTY/Ballon d'Or) aren't all clueless, but a huge majority of them go with the above media flow, quite clearly, and that's what decides the winner. A few vote for personal agendas (just look at Messi and Cristiano votes), and a few are either clueless or taking the piss, if you go and have a look at their choices... Aubameyang first? None of Ronaldo/Messi on top three... Seriously?
The thing is, we always know who will win, because we already understood what the criteria is. The vast majority in here thinks Messi is a better footballer, but we all knew who would take the prize, in this and previous years. And the criteria for who is the best footballer in the world isn't the criteria for who will receive the Ballon d'Or or be named Player of the Year. We're discussing different things.