If you think you can improve on 2nd, without your star player, you're seriously deluded. However well last season opened up for you. I don't think it takes a genius to work out a season without any real cup distractions, and a season your main rivals have all changed manager (Chelsea, city, us and Everton) is a colossal advantage.
One you won't have this year
Show me one single post where I've said anything even remotely akin to your first sentence ? You're way off base and you are the one who is seriously deluded if you think I said that.
The 'managers' issue has been covered. It seems you consider it a weakness in your rivals but a strength for United. However, Mourinho weakened Chelsea ? Seriously ? Pochettino won the PL and Everton had their best season for years ! On the contrary to being a 'colossal advantage' you've destroyed your own argument.
As far as CL / FAC etc are concerned, the impact is over-stated and United fans are reeling this out like rote as one of the main reason for our potential uncompetitiveness in the PL this coming season, (and for United's increased strength), without having done any research. Whilst there are other factors that can and will affect the preparedness of the team (travel, 2 matches per week, preparation time etc.) the fitness of the players shouldn't be construed as being a key issue. You really need to look at squad depth and games played per player. As a club the PL teams in the CL played an average of ca. 10 games more than Liverpool last season. Allowing for a squad depth of around 25.
Now obviously some players in the squad will see more action than others (probably a core of the top 15-16 players) but having strong back-ups for all of the positions is key. Something similar to that which I've posted on here before (below) shows that for many less important games there is more than enough depth to cover and still rest senior players. Last season we obviously couldn't have coped but comparing the top 15-16 players across the Top 5 from 2013/14 shows that the key players actually only played ca. 5-6 games more than their Liverpool peers, the balance being taken up by squad players.
The squad as it stands (NB, for certain some players will be sold and others go out on loan, especially if other players come in, likely; Texeira, Suso, Ilori, Coates & Ibe) :
---------------------------------------- Ming
................................................(Jones)
Flanno ----------------------- Lovren ---------- Sakho ------------ Moreno (assumed)
(Johnson / Manquillo) (Skrtel/Toure) (Lovren/Agger) (Enrique / Flanno / Johnson)
Other CBs : Coates, Ilori and Kelly.
--------------------------------------- Gerrard
.......................................(Allen / Can / Lucas)
---------------- Henderson
............ (Can / Allen / Rossiter)
----------------------------------------------------- Coutinho
........................................(Lallana / Sterling / Markovic / Suso / Texeira)
---- Sterling ---------------------- Sturridge -------------------------- Lallana
(Markovic / Suso / Ibe) (Lambert / A.N.Other) (Sterling / Markovic / Coutinho / Ibe / Texeira)
Below were my calculations after 36 games of last season. The relevant point shown below is that if we are comparing Liverpool to United then our Top 15 players played only 6 games less than United's (who also played in the CL of course) mainly because of squad size (players who played 5 games or more, not actual squad size), we had only 21 players compared to United's 26.
On the issue of squad size and how that impacted on games played per player. If we look at the games of the players, with more than 5 games (starting or coming on as a sub), at the top teams in 2013/14 :
Liverpool : 21 players 25.6 ave. games per player. Top 15 players ave. 29.9 games per player. (thru 41 + 2 PL games to go) (actually this average shows how injuries/bans to our 1st team players have also hit LFC throughout the season because you can assume squad rotation for any team playing in European competition yet the difference between average games played per player (Top 15) and the clubs potential total is the same as most teams below)
Man City : 23 players 33.0 ave. games per player. Top 15 players ave. 41.5 games per player. (thru 55 + 2 PL games to go)
Chelsea : 23 players 33.3 ave. games per player. Top 15 players ave. 42.6 games per player. (thru 55 + 1 PL game to go)
Man. Utd : 26 players 28.7 ave. games per player. Top 15 players ave. 35.8 games per player. (thru 52 + 2 PL games to go)
Arsenal : 24 players 30.6 ave. games per player. Top 15 players ave. 38.7 games per player. (thru 55 + 1 PL game to go)
Spurs : 26 players 27.2 ave. games per player. Top 15 players ave. 33.7 games per player. (thru 53 + 1 PL game to go)
Everton : 22 players 29.0 ave. games per player. Top 15 players ave. 37.8 games per player. (thru 43 + 1 PL game to go)
If we make an assumption for Liverpool games in 2014/15 : 38 PL + LC to semis (5) + FAC to semis (5) + CL to 1/8 (10). That is an extra 15 games @ 14 players per game = an extra 210 appearances. So 6 new players @ ave. 30 games per player + 6 squad players @ 5 games per player = 210 appearances.
So Liverpool need ca. 5-6 1st team level players and to populate the squad with the returning loanees and promoted reserve team players to cover the extra matches. So far we have 1 Out and 7 (almost 8) In.
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