The Hilton
Full Member
- Joined
- Mar 22, 2011
- Messages
- 4,644
High xG does not guarantee “great chances”. A bunch of shit chances (e.g. blocked shots from a long way out) can give you the exact same xG as two very good ones. That’s (one of) the reasons why people read far too much into xG.
That's true, but if you're giving away hundreds of low xG shooting opportunities, then xG adds up to show how much you risk the opposition scoring.
It's certainly not the be-all-and-end-all, but having a high xGC shows that we allowed either tons of half chances (against top professionals who are more than capable of taking them), or some gilt edged chances. Either way, it's legitimate evidence against the idea that we kept Chelsea out comfortably on Sunday.