General Election 2017 | Cabinet reshuffle: Hunt re-appointed Health Secretary for record third time

How do you intend to vote in the 2017 General Election if eligible?

  • Conservatives

    Votes: 80 14.5%
  • Labour

    Votes: 322 58.4%
  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 57 10.3%
  • Green

    Votes: 20 3.6%
  • SNP

    Votes: 13 2.4%
  • UKIP

    Votes: 29 5.3%
  • Independent

    Votes: 3 0.5%
  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 2 0.4%
  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 11 2.0%
  • Other (UUP, DUP, BNP, and anyone else I have forgotten)

    Votes: 14 2.5%

  • Total voters
    551
  • Poll closed .
Unemployment has been good. 2010, a lot of my friends were really struggling for work. Things have definitely improved on that front.

But then, we are 9 years away from the crash now

True, although another debate would be in regards to the quality of work - whether people are earning enough to get by, the prevalence of zero-hour contracts, temporary contracts, part-time as opposed to full-time etc.
 

Seems to be taking the Trump approach on anti establishment.Accept he actually believes in it. Liked how he batted down the questions from the media and hope that the talk of him using social network to bypass the press is true.
 
The ONS.

153b was the general government deficit.
103b was the budget deficit.

One is the difference between what goes out and what comes in, one is how much needs to be borrowed to cover the expenditure. The difference should be obvious to all the economists on here.

So you're right. Now I'm confused, whys there's so many other sources saying otherwise? :lol:
 
I think he means debt when he says deficit.

Its a huge difference.

This is plain wrong. Not only was debt at one of the lowest points it had ever been during the New Labour period, but Blairs Labour was one of the few Governments in modern history to run several years at a surplus.

There is a time lag before a deficit change greatly affects the debt levels. Just like you can't immediately turn the tap off to erase a deficit you can't turn it on to erase a surplus. Blair was lucky to inherit a decent economy at the end of some difficult times and at the beginning of the internet boom. The trend started under Major.
 
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True, although another debate would be in regards to the quality of work - whether people are earning enough to get by, the prevalence of zero-hour contracts, temporary contracts, part-time as opposed to full-time etc.
Indeed. Thats a harder metric to quantify.
 
So you're right. Now I'm confused, whys there's so many other sources saying otherwise? :lol:

There are lots of different ways to measure deficit. The government might spend $10 more than they make in revenue, but they might only need to borrow $8 as they can sell off $2 of assets, for example.

Borrowing is what they need to raise and pay interest on (and therefore the most common indicator), revenue deficit is the actual money coming in and out. They all roughly show the same thing though.
 
There is a time lag before a deficit change greatly affects the debt levels. Just like you can't immediately turn the tap off to erase a deficit you can't turn it on to erase a surplus. Blair was lucky to inherit a decent economy at the end of some difficult times and at the beginning of the internet boom. The trend started under Major.

Certainly. Blair inherited a growth period and stuck to Tory spending plans too, not disputing that.
 
During the biggest financial boom in the history of the planet, otherwise known as the onset of the internet! So yes of course there was a surplus!

It's really really hard to follow your line of economic reasoning. @rcoobc posted the deficits for the last 23 years and pretty much all of your claims are false. Whenever it's mentioned that one specific one is, you come up with a new factor that is supposed to make it irrelevant.
 
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Now I'm a liberal but I'm calling dodgy data here. 'Excluding global financial crisis' - have the Tories got a pass for decifit from 2010-2017? I'd guess no, yet Labour have one during 'global financial crisis' that we're still all suffering from?

Also according to Prof Richard Murphy's chart Labour and Cons have been in power for 37 years out of the last 70. Umm okaaaaayyyyyyy who was in charge for the other 33 years? Is it Will Thorpe or Prof Richard Murphy who doesn't have a clue here? If someone can't even get the most obvious statistic right how can we trust him with anything else?
 
I think it should be since 1980 rather than last 70 yrs. (13 is also correct then since 1997-2010 is Labour, the rest is Cons). There are also comparisons with and without the financial crisis data (avg borrowing in the 1st few rows, wtht crisis is later).
 
What's happened to all the geezers that believed in the fixed-term parliament act?
Not heard from them for a bit.
Was quite funny having people coming up with complicated scenarios as to how it could be got around, turns out it's kind of worthless as no-one wants to be seen as afraid of an election :lol:

I'm guessing May, should she win, will probably repeal it just because you might as well.
 
One of Jeremy's pledges is along those lines.

Really? I presume hes talking about a sovereign wealth fund, in which case he's even more clueless than I thought. You need to run a budget surplus or stumble across a huge oil reserve to set one of those up :)
 
Was quite funny having people coming up with complicated scenarios as to how it could be got around, turns out it's kind of worthless as no-one wants to be seen as afraid of an election :lol:

I'm guessing May, should she win, will probably repeal it just because you might as well.

Wait, is she not repealing it before the election? And if not, how is it not a violation?
 
Wait, is she not repealing it before the election? And if not, how is it not a violation?
You only need a 2/3 vote in the Commons to bypass it, which they got easily yesterday, but the legislation itself stays in place.
 


Average yearly change in borrowing whilst in power (figures from the ONS):

Conservatives - 12.3b reduction
Labour - 9.9b increase

Discounting the 2 biggest impact years of the recession when Labour were in power:

Conservatives - 12.3b reduction
Labour - 1.0b increase

I'd say a Socialist Professor whose competence was questioned even by the Shadow Chancellor himself is not the most reliable source to base an opinion on.
 
Average yearly change in borrowing whilst in power (figures from the ONS):

Conservatives - 12.3b reduction
Labour - 9.9b increase

Discounting the 2 biggest impact years of the recession when Labour were in power:

Conservatives - 12.3b reduction
Labour - 1.0b increase

I'd say a Socialist Professor whose competence was questioned even by the Shadow Chancellor himself is not the most reliable source to base an opinion on.

The absolute figure of *borrowing needs the context of the current level of debt or the budget deficit, as well as the number as a proportion of GDP, doesn't it? A "reduction in borrowing" when the ampount of borrowing was already very high doesn't mean much, and vice versa. If the stats in the above tweet are correct, then this change doesn't mean much at all.

*change in
 
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The absolute figure of *borrowing needs the context of the current level of debt or the budget deficit, as well as the number as a proportion of GDP, doesn't it? A "reduction in borrowing" when the ampount of borrowing was already very high doesn't mean much, and vice versa. If the stats in the above tweet are correct, then this change doesn't mean much at all.

*change in

Not really. If the government is locked in to a deficit of 100b in the year on top of a 500b debt, it's not realistic to reduce the debt pile. A lot of that deficit/borrowing is locked in for years and will take time to reduce. Halving it would be an excellent result but would still result in an increase in the debt. A reduction in the deficit is the most significant indicator of whether the government's measures are working or not, at least in the mid term.
 
Really? I presume hes talking about a sovereign wealth fund, in which case he's even more clueless than I thought. You need to run a budget surplus or stumble across a huge oil reserve to set one of those up :)
We could probably sell the royal family to get one
 
So it's not a wealth fund. Glad that's cleared up

Yes, it is. Its an investment fund funded by the country's reserves to prop up the pension pot. Its not a sovereign wealth fund. Its not a private wealth fund.
 
Really? I presume hes talking about a sovereign wealth fund, in which case he's even more clueless than I thought. You need to run a budget surplus or stumble across a huge oil reserve to set one of those up :)
a publicly-owned National Investment Bank and regional banks will back up £500bn of investment across energy, transport and housing.