General Election 2017 | Cabinet reshuffle: Hunt re-appointed Health Secretary for record third time

How do you intend to vote in the 2017 General Election if eligible?

  • Conservatives

    Votes: 80 14.5%

  • Labour

    Votes: 322 58.4%

  • Lib Dems

    Votes: 57 10.3%

  • Green

    Votes: 20 3.6%

  • SNP

    Votes: 13 2.4%

  • UKIP

    Votes: 29 5.3%

  • Independent

    Votes: 3 0.5%

  • Plaid Cymru

    Votes: 2 0.4%

  • Sinn Fein

    Votes: 11 2.0%

  • Other (UUP, DUP, BNP, and anyone else I have forgotten)

    Votes: 14 2.5%
  • Total voters
    551
  • Poll closed .
Ubik said:


Pinch of salt because Lib Dems etc.
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LDs always have the more co-ordinated ground game. Doesn't always mean a lot mind.

I've never bought their low poll showing, I think they'll get a lot of 'Labour but reluctant to vote Corbyn' and 'Tory but reluctant to back hard Brexit' vote that might not show up in the polling.
 
17 Van der Gouw said:
Quiet Conservatives, and old people will keep your man out of Downing Street.

There are young Tories, but (as this place is a good example of) it's hard to speak up if you have even remotely right wing views on anything, lest you'll be lambasted.
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Yep, young Tories tend not to tell their butlers they're voting Tory out of fear they'll resign.
 
PoTMS said:
It seems the whole of social media is voting Labour. Just like they were all voting to remain.
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There was actually some pretty hardcore Leave support on twitter, I remember someone in the referendum thread (who shall remain nameless but as a hint is on the fence about gravity) posting many many twitter polls with Leave getting about 70%.
 
Final YouGov reverts to the mean...
 
So YouGov are covering both bases with their poll and forecast. What's the point in either then? :wenger:
 
Tom Van Persie said:
-3 drop for Labour in YouGov's final poll

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Even if that's the actual figure, could mean a Tory majority of only 18 (though I'm expecting 60+ in truth). If it's the lower end, though, May is done. Polls have always traditionally overestimated Labour's turnout, so I'm hoping they're underestimating them this time round to fix their calculus. Because if that's an overestimation, this will be a Tory landslide.
 
On the other hand, Survey Monkey, who got 2015 final margin almost bang on, have it down to +4.
 
Labour strategists expecting a bad day.
Going to be an early night tomorrow. Not staying up for this crap.
 
Ducklegs said:
Thats print only, its 2017 ;)

The suns actual readership, including online is just under 27 million.

The metro is 17 million.


Per month that is.
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Yes, I meant print. I'm not sure the online stuff is all that relevant to their persuasive power, given a huge chunk of them are just people clicking on links because they hate the Sun and are offended by some headline linked on Facebook.
 
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Sometimes visual polls are just as good, only one campaign here has the groundswell and energy. If you're voting labour tomorrow remain positive and try and bring someone along with you.
 
You know what, if the Tories get a small majority and May is ousted (not for one of their meatheads) then I'd come away feeling okay.

Not sure how likely that would be, but I'll find out Friday morning when I wake up for work. Not gonna bring myself misery in the early morning like at the last GE or Brexit ref.
 
saivet said:
You know what, if the Tories get a small majority and May is ousted (not for one of their meatheads) then I'd come away feeling okay.

Not sure how likely that would be, but I'll find out Friday morning when I wake up for work. Not gonna bring myself misery in the early morning like at the last GE or Brexit ref.
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im personally predicting a slightly larger tory majority then we have now, but not quite at the scale we where predicting when the election was called.... i suppose thats somthing!
 
Adzzz said:
Sometimes visual polls are just as good, only one campaign here has the groundswell and energy. If you're voting labour tomorrow remain positive and try and bring someone along with you.
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That's all well and good, but for every ardent campaigner there's plenty of people who are either voting Tory or haven't noticed it and don't care at all.
 
PoTMS said:
It seems the whole of social media is voting Labour. Just like they were all voting to remain.
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Indeed it does seem so, and most will be true to their word. Social Media will increasingly be a more accurate reflection of voting intentions. The problem is currently that loads of voters won't pin their colours to the mast, not just a generational thing, but also down to the extreme amount of abuse that many receive when not conforming with the 'norm. on social media. See brexit vote as an example.
 
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