Ironic that the word "Welsh" derives from old English/Germanic for "Foreigner", given that they were here before the English/Germanic people migrated here.
General Election 2017 | Cabinet reshuffle: Hunt re-appointed Health Secretary for record third time
- Thread starter altodevil
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No, 15.
What would happen if the Tories got a majority but she lost her seat? Would she still be PM?
There would have to be a leadership change I think. Oh god, it could be Boris...
No, the deputy leader become interim PM until that party picks a new leader.
Anybody else notice how quiet Rowling has got since Labour's "surge" in the polls? For someone who apparently wants a Labour government so much, it is quite strange.
Or they appoint her to the Lords (not that that's likely).
This Walker bloke (Daily Mirror) is a strong remainer & must be basing his batshit idea on Maidenhead having voted remain & as he has previously tweeted, ''There is something about Theresa that even Sir Lynton can't fix. A great many traditional Tories simply don't like her and her hard Brexit.''
He's a mentalist.
edit - if he seriously reckons TM might lose her seat
He's a mentalist.
edit - if he seriously reckons TM might lose her seat
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Which bit of that is wrong? She's abysmal. It won't be enough for her to lose her seat because as I've said before Tories might be cnuts but they're loyal cnuts, but it doesn't make it untrue.
Too busy moaning about Trump.
OK, he's making mischief via a mentalist idea. I was just trying to fill in some background but didn't construct t'post very well.
What you said is also true & why it won't be happening, unfortunately.
Been away all day - have I missed much?
2 more, admittedly fairly minor, reasons to hate the fecking Tories
source: Twitter
''I have no party allegiance, I just call it as I see it.'' - Julia Hartley-Brewer (one of our LBC friends)
''After this is over, major national re-education programme needed for young voters on money, tax, defence, life.'' - Iain Martin (Times journo)
source: Twitter
''I have no party allegiance, I just call it as I see it.'' - Julia Hartley-Brewer (one of our LBC friends)
''After this is over, major national re-education programme needed for young voters on money, tax, defence, life.'' - Iain Martin (Times journo)
Q. Why are you pushing the most vulnerable into a meatgrinder?
A. No surrender to the IRA!
Keep pushing that compassionate conservatism.
A. No surrender to the IRA!
Keep pushing that compassionate conservatism.
Has to be intentional. T is so far from P.
Thankfully I think more people have shared this take on Martin's tweet than actually agreed with him
Don't think so.
Edit: But then again... Looking at his followers, you might well be right.
Tory lead cut to 6 points according to The Guardy.
Well, Either ComRes or Survation are going to be getting less business this time next week
These polls have gone all over the place last few days.
UK shouldn't be that difficult to poll if done with a robust methodology and sample but this Labour momentum is making it tough it seems.
UK shouldn't be that difficult to poll if done with a robust methodology and sample but this Labour momentum is making it tough it seems.
Okay, this would make me think the sample's very duff
EDIT - Okay by the looks of it this should actually be "heard about the QT", rather than watched. Still feels high but more believable.
EDIT - Okay by the looks of it this should actually be "heard about the QT", rather than watched. Still feels high but more believable.
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So, basically, every 'influencer' in the country needs to get their registered to vote fans to get to the polls next week.
DUP vs Sinn Fein as the king makers
DUP are barn burners not king makers. They are subservient right wingers and would gladly lick the boots of the Tories and get them back into government if they could.
I hope we can get the Tories out but hopefully without a coalition.
@Ubik Do you know if Survation have been one of the more kinder polls to Labour this election ?
I think it's Yougov that's consistently given Labour more of a chance.
Survation have been pretty favourable too I think - saw a graphic somewhere, nothing like Yougov though.
Even if polls were out - you would expect the same swing movement to some extent. These latest two are completely opposite....
Even if polls were out - you would expect the same swing movement to some extent. These latest two are completely opposite....
They've been...variable. This is the Mail on Sunday (online) one, had a +11 at the beginning of the campaign when the Tories were getting 20+ leads with everyone else, then when other pollsters had closed it to around 15 points, they had a +12, then this is the next in the series.
My feeling is that their panel is more politically aware than it should be and is accounting for the big swing, but a feeling is all it is.
Meanwhile, ORB has an increased Tory lead of 9 (from 6)
Dan Hodges is getting a fair amount of mockery for saying they'd all be herding.
Ah cheers.
Thanks. And yeah I've see this as well, poor fecker is never right.They've been...variable. This is the Mail on Sunday (online) one, had a +11 at the beginning of the campaign when the Tories were getting 20+ leads with everyone else, then when other pollsters had closed it to around 15 points, they had a +12, then this is the next in the series.
My feeling is that their panel is more politically aware than it should be and is accounting for the big swing, but a feeling is all it is.
Meanwhile, ORB has an increased Tory lead of 9 (from 6)
Dan Hodges is getting a fair amount of mockery for saying they'd all be herding.
Still a long way to go. And the polls traditionally underestimate the conservatives, sometimes substantially
But if I were a conservative I would be very worried for one reason - May leads on security and Brexit, Corbyn on basically everything else.
When people get to the ballot box and decide who is going to make their lives better the issues May leads on are the abstract 'perhaps she would be better for the country' not the personal 'this will make things better for me and my family'. If we are going to get a shock on Thursday this could be a key ingredient
But if I were a conservative I would be very worried for one reason - May leads on security and Brexit, Corbyn on basically everything else.
When people get to the ballot box and decide who is going to make their lives better the issues May leads on are the abstract 'perhaps she would be better for the country' not the personal 'this will make things better for me and my family'. If we are going to get a shock on Thursday this could be a key ingredient
This is why @Cheesy must vote for Labour. Need them to get as many seats as possible.
If not Labour, wish the Greens take some seats off the Tories in the South.
YouGov +4, ICM +11...
Same story we've seen of late - youth turnout like 2015 = Tory majority of 70+ is likely; if as high as they're reporting themselves = squeaker.
Same story we've seen of late - youth turnout like 2015 = Tory majority of 70+ is likely; if as high as they're reporting themselves = squeaker.
If you vote Labour in Scotland there is like a 90% chance you are helping the Tories.
Two camps emerging?
and the problem with judging youth turnout is it's different people
e.g. 18-24s now is a ~33% different group of people than it was in 2015.
Latest YouGov trackers:
NHS - Lab +16
Immigration - Con +11
Law and Order - Con +15
Education - Lab +12
Tax - Con +2
Unemployment - Con +2
Economy - Con +16
Housing - Lab +13
Brexit - Con +19
Defence and security - Con +20
PM - Con +13
But they've also historically overestimated how likely they are to vote, as well. It's the same in almost every election of late.
Maybe it'll be different this time. I hope so.