I do wonder why those who are convinced it won't happen like to stay around and try to convince others that it won't happen as if they know for certain.
Just let those who believe it'll happen get on with it. If someone believes so strongly that he won't come, then fine, state that and move on.
Same with those who are convinced it'll happen, no point arguing with others who are negative and trying to change their minds, just enjoy the banter and hope for good news.
There's really no point complaining, if people don't like the thread, ignore it and move on