So, this has actually happened. I don´t really have words for that.
I have no idea how big the effects of the Brexit will be.
Some things I´m pretty certain of, though:
- The rift between Scotland and the rest of the UK is now immense and I don´t see them staying much longer.
- The UK is now the country to look at for countries thinking about having a similar vote, meaining that depending on how the UK fares now has the potential to become a threat to the Union itself.
- The UK is also now the poster child for every EU sceptic party in Europe, including the French nationalists and the German "AfD". They will celebrate every success the UK will have now and push further against the established parties. This makes the UK now a direct political threat to the current German and French governments. They will try everything to sell the coming negotiations of the trade deal between the UK and the EU as success.
- All economies in the EU will take a blow, the UK by far the hardest.
This will be some fun negotiations. The EU led by Germany and France won´t give the UK an inch in these talks. From where I stand the UK will be lucky to have the same deal Norway has, which includes free movement and single market, so the vast majority of the rules of the EU. UK will follow the same rules they do right now without any influence to make and change them. Well done UK, well done. History being made indeed.