To those who cling to the “just 3 games” defense the problem is that we continue to see the same kinds of performances as last season.
Maybe we hit rock bottom against Liverpool and that the “game model” ETH has been trying to put into place finally sorings to life against Southampton, but if it doesn’t what new argument does the “just 3 games” crowd come up with then?
I'm an its just 3 games person and I'll explain why.
You say we continue to see the same kinds of performances as last season. What I've seen this season is:
- a very good performance vs City
- a much better performance vs Fulham when compared to last season and some very good signs during the game including the 30-40 mins where we had them penned in which I'm not sure if we even managed to do that vs a team last season. A few concerning counter attacks (not to the level of last season) and the team still having the ability to just lose focus/shape like they did in the second half but a small improvement and positive start.
- A good first half v Brighton again showing promising signs with a very good press (probably the best I've seen a Brighton team be pressed outside of City/Pool), some nice moves, what I think Ten Hag is looking for, and yet through out the match consistent errors and poor decisions from the players. The team also struggled to control the match but again its a very good Brighton team away, 2nd game of the season with some positive signs. Fair enough we lost.
- The pool match is the one concerning match for me where we struggled to create chances and gave up very silly goals. That was like a match from last season and the players just seemed devoid of confidence by the end. Ten Hag takes responsibility for that, but like the majority of our games in the champions league last season if I was in that changing room I'd be staring daggers at Casemiro as I would have done Onana...
So all in all I've seen glimpses of better performances, glimpses of what I think Ten Hag wants to see e.g. the pressing has been very good in general, penning a team in as we did vs Fulham and in general we are very good at playing out from the back. What remains to be seen is whether Ten Hag a) can knit those positives together b) whether he can do so before the players lose anymore confidence. If he can then I can see some of the issues like the counter attacks etc being reduced, although I don't think it will ever go completely as it comes with the territory e.g. I'm pretty sure both Arsenal and Pool had more counter attacks vs them in their first games yet we got criticism for the few against Fulham
For me I think Ten Hag has shown that in big games with his tactics he can just as much beat a big team e.g. City, Pool, Newcastle, as get smashed by them. which was something for example we couldn't say about Ole who consistenly faltered at semis. What I'm not sure about is whether with these tactics that are pretty ambitious/risky that he can win enough games during a season.
I also think we have done a very good job in recruitment and the squad is in better shape, despite that I still can see from the squad how far away we are from a City or Real Madrid. Over the next month/couple of months we will see whether Ten Hag can knit those positive elements together and get us going. If he doesn't he will be sacked. I don't think any fan is going "give Ten Hag 4 more years". A lot of us just aren't throwing our toys out the pram after 3 games and begging for him to be replaced by an interim. If anything the fans should be hoping he pulls it off in the next couple months. But if he doesn't cest la vie, he gets fired and we move on.