Erik ten Hag | 2024/25 | Sacked

Erik ten Hag


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Scrambling around looking for a new manager again.
Expected a little more competence from this 'super team'.
 
Lets see how he does in the next few games, can the team click. We see the underlying stats improve of less shots against, much more touches inside the oppositions box, more possession but so far we're no better off points/position wise.

I don't see he'll be good enough or have enough time, we've already spent huge amounts and now into a third season looking like a midtable team way off top 4, each game looking difficult and a mountain to climb through lack of goals. If we carry on in this manner I'm sure he's gone soon.
 
How do you know we’re scrambling? Your tone suggests very little belief in the new structure, so I doubt your sincerity.

Some seem desperate to discredit INEOS already. I've noticed it a-lot on here recently.
 
I just can't understand the thinking with giving him a new contract. Why not hold off and see how he improves, or not? But now it will cost more when he is inevitably sacked.
 
I just can't understand the thinking with giving him a new contract. Why not hold off and see how he improves, or not? But now it will cost more when he is inevitably sacked.

We didn’t give him a new contract, just exercised the one year extension option on his current one.
 
I believe what I see with my eyes than some nonsense statistic open to interpretation. The way we play has urgency for maybe a quarter of the game and then reverts to slow passing no movement and poor decision making. Fix that and we may get somewhere.
 
Honestly, we start the games well, minor the Liverpool game.
But once that half time comes around, we come out as a completely different team and not a good one at that.
 
Way I see it, you're either a master motivator or a genius tactician to succeed at Man Utd. Some managers are both, Ten Hag is neither.
 
Sure, but if that's your argument then he should have gone in Summer, as he would have done had he actually delivered a 14th place finish.

The fact he's here is because him fluking an eight place finish and the Cup was respectable* despite the performances given the injury situation, but results is the metric that saved him and its only fair if, therefore, results are the metric he continues to be judged by. And, well, the results have continued to be crap.

*I do not actually think last season was ok, even with mitigation, and I'm amazed he survived it. The fact that he only achieved a season that crap and not significantly crapper with huge, huge gobs of luck is hardly worth thinking about.
I kind of assumed he would be fired but I don’t think it’s that crazy that Ineos kept him on as they weren’t even all in their jobs yet. It’s not like they arrive at the club and then suddenly everything is fixed either.

What I find most interesting is Sir Jim told us himself that he felt ETH was trying to do too many things and so the coaching was suffering, now we can assume he is solely focused on coaching and I think, at least early signs despite results, show there’s something there.

Additionally for my own intrigue, we’ve moaned about the Glazers so long it will be nice to see a manager under both regimes to compare them.
 
I understand that he probably knows he's very close to the sack and so he's clinging on to any positives he can, managers often sound desperate and deluded when they know the end is near, but talking about "the success in the last two seasons" is just ridiculous. We could lose 5-0 on Sunday and he'd still be talking about how only City have won more than him since he arrived.

His first season? Yeah all in all that was a fine first campaign, top 4 and a trophy for the first time since Fergie retired. Performances fell off a cliff after we won the League Cup in early March but we managed to scrape our way to enough wins to finish 3rd.

Last season was a fecking disgrace though. Winning the FA Cup was fantastic of course, but it didn't make up for finishing 8th. It didn't make up for us looking second best almost every single game all season, we were an embarrassment. The only way you should be keeping your job if you finish 8th at Man Utd is if you also win the Champions League, and even then it's touch and go.

After the debacle last season he had to hit the ground running this year and he clearly hasn't. Performances have slightly improved, but results are just as bad as ever. I think Sunday will be the last time he's Utd manager at OT.
 
Lets see how he does in the next few games, can the team click. We see the underlying stats improve of less shots against, much more touches inside the oppositions box, more possession but so far we're no better off points/position wise.

I don't see he'll be good enough or have enough time, we've already spent huge amounts and now into a third season looking like a midtable team way off top 4, each game looking difficult and a mountain to climb through lack of goals. If we carry on in this manner I'm sure he's gone soon.
What's there to see? I can now predict how each game will go. Most likely we'll have decent starts, concede a goal and then revert to passing the ball with no purpose wasting a couple of chances. I don't understand why I keep my hopes up that something will be different when it's literally the same thing week in week out.
 
What's there to see? I can now predict how each game will go. Most likely we'll have decent starts, concede a goal and then revert to passing the ball with no purpose wasting a couple of chances. I don't understand why I keep my hopes up that something will be different when it's literally the same thing week in week out.

Just the change from last season of getting overrun, conceding too many chances and barely getting into their box and can our young/new attack settle into scoring and linking up better. Bruno needs resting though.
 
Maybe not the Europa game but in the league we’d have 12 points if our forwards weren’t so inconsistent in finishing.

United have one of the highest XG (a stat I despise in how is used) in the league. That means chance creation is not a problem and once our forwards build some momentum we should start putting teams away.

At the end of the day, out of Uniteds forward line , Bruno is and has been our most productive and clinical forwards. Garnacho , Amad and even Hoijland are young relatively unproven at this level and can’t be expected to consistently prop up a team wanting to challange for top 4.

Rashford having an off season compounded that and while he’s shown glimpses of finding form, the team hasn’t been able to afford him or Bruno being off it.

Zirks has only joined so he’s only settling in now but he works well with the forward line. But that’s more relying on the other attackers getting goals , kind of like weghorst making space for Rashford to get lots of goals.

Many said “if we just conceded less chances , created more chances and had a recognisable style of play I’d be happy”. Well I’d say we can say all three have been accomplished , we just need the team to start taking their chances.
You can easily make the same argument for most teams most matches, Twente could have easily scored 3 and been through clear on goal another time had they executed it better, in fact the only team that didn't miss chances to score against us was Barnsley, everyone else has been equally guilty of poor finishing as we have been, I cannot remember a game where we were that much better than the opponent that a draw or loss has been an unfair result at full time
 
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I've been staunchly pro ETH but I heard a podcast recently where they questioned a fan who wanted ETH in and they said "How will he turn it around? What physical change will he make?" And I was stumped, last year we had the injuries so I could say "When they're back..." but now we are only really missing a LB and Dalot is a pretty capable replacement there, it's not like we are playing Casemiro at LB.

There does seem to be a style of play but it's not one that's executed to a high level, if he said it will take a few years but I want to get us playing like my Ajax side and I need patience but he claimed "We can't play like that", so was clearly adapting his tactic to his squad yet we constantly don't look consistent or like we have a clue in the final third.

His odd loyalty to certain players, lack of information on injuries in pressers, odd & late substitutions and refusal to really pack out the midfield - I just don't know what even could change at this point for him to turn it around but obviously those above him must still believe or see a reason for this underperformance, I would love to know what that was.
 
I've been staunchly pro ETH but I heard a podcast recently where they questioned a fan who wanted ETH in and they said "How will he turn it around? What physical change will he make?" And I was stumped, last year we had the injuries so I could say "When they're back..." but now we are only really missing a LB and Dalot is a pretty capable replacement there, it's not like we are playing Casemiro at LB.

There does seem to be a style of play but it's not one that's executed to a high level, if he said it will take a few years but I want to get us playing like my Ajax side and I need patience but he claimed "We can't play like that", so was clearly adapting his tactic to his squad yet we constantly don't look consistent or like we have a clue in the final third.

His odd loyalty to certain players, lack of information on injuries in pressers, odd & late substitutions and refusal to really pack out the midfield - I just don't know what even could change at this point for him to turn it around but obviously those above him must still believe or see a reason for this underperformance, I would love to know what that was.
I have one more to add. Planned substitutions instead of reacting to the match situation. 60 mins? take off zirkzee or a winger and replace with similar ones. 70mins? replace a central defender. 90mins? rotate your forward again. No change in plans, no change in shape or tactics. Just seems pre determined.
 
Thing is we need a few top games against high quality opponents to get our way and this might finally make it click for a longer run - but if this current form continues we might really need to make a quick managerial change.

The analysis that's been made about our game tactics and game management vs City vs Arsenal vs Liverpool etc. A lot is mentioned that their players individually had the experience to come out of tough situations if things on pitch look bleak. While ours have continued to make individual errors & put us behind - thing is if look at our gameplay and statistics compared to last season, it's been a huge development for the positive side. Yet it's down to manager to manage the players and game to try to cover up & prevent the same and same individual errors to happen.
If we need to have players who can recycle the possession more, then the manager needs to find that squad today that's capable for it.
 
Our xG game by game:

United 2.43 v 0.44 Fulham - we won that game anyway
Brighton 2.09 v 1.43 United - they actually had a higher xG and won. Best case that game should have been a draw, but looking from purely statistical POV we'd draw this game 2-2 only 4 times out of 10.
United 1.52 v 1.50 Liverpool - this is extremely misleading because 1.4 of our xG game when the game was 0-3 and done. We lose that game 10 times out of 10.
Southampton 1.12 v 2.67 United - we won that game anyway. If anything it was more comfortable than that.
Palace 1.01 v 1.70 United - again, we drew that game, statistically we win it 7 times out of 10 due but it's not that obvious

You may argue we should maybe have extra 2 points here on the balance of how this season has progressed so far, Palace being the only game where our lack of finishing actually cost us points.

That Liverpool game is a joke. They had the biggest chance of the game with Szoboszlai having practically an open goal and, in the end, not even taking a shot. They should have had 4 or 5 if they didn't start dicking about. Palace seems off too. The cutback to Eze where he could have took a touch and picked his spot probably not even counted...perhaps that's how it works but those stats look way out of whack for what I watched.
 
There is noise building, no doubt about it. I never thought he would last past the start of November and I'm still surprised he was retained after last season. In honesty there could have been no complaints had he been sacked immediately after the 7-0, and that was a long time ago. That was a generational defeat.

He's put together a massively average squad at huge expense, that simply don't score goals, he has no obvious playing style after three years and while I don't think he's lost the dressing room I think he has fallen out with the likes of Garnacho. He also has a bad habit of deluding himself in public after poor performances, which is most weeks.

I'll be interested to see if Ineos act more decisively than the previous lot who would write off entire seasons before sacking dead ducks
 
Our xG game by game:

United 2.43 v 0.44 Fulham - we won that game anyway
Brighton 2.09 v 1.43 United - they actually had a higher xG and won. Best case that game should have been a draw, but looking from purely statistical POV we'd draw this game 2-2 only 4 times out of 10.
United 1.52 v 1.50 Liverpool - this is extremely misleading because 1.4 of our xG game when the game was 0-3 and done. We lose that game 10 times out of 10.
Southampton 1.12 v 2.67 United - we won that game anyway. If anything it was more comfortable than that.
Palace 1.01 v 1.70 United - again, we drew that game, statistically we win it 7 times out of 10 due but it's not that obvious

You may argue we should maybe have extra 2 points here on the balance of how this season has progressed so far, Palace being the only game where our lack of finishing actually cost us points.
Vs Brighton, Garnachos disallowed goal wipes out the XG from that chance is that correct? If so it goes to show how shit XG is in analysing games.
 
I don’t like it, it’s used wrong all the time , it really is the emperors new clothes of shallow football analysis.
It’s fundamentally flawed, there are loads of well known examples of opportunities it doesn’t include. It’s similar to VAR, technology companies trying to profit from imposing technology where it doesn’t work. Drawing a flat line across a curved pitch surface and pretending they are making inch-perfect decisions, while at the other end of the freeze frame they’ve no idea whether the passer’s foot is in contact with the ball or possibly six inches away. It’s never even discussed.
 
Honestly, we start the games well, minor the Liverpool game.
But once that half time comes around, we come out as a completely different team and not a good one at that.

Agree. We are starting to look a better team, I like the players and we have spells of each game where we play some sexy stuff. I do believe we are on the cusp of being a good side. But Ten Hag has proved that he isn't going to be able to take us to the next level of performance, or to get us performing at our current best more consistently.

I was mind blown they kept him in the summer as I expected a far more ruthless approach.
 
Honestly, we start the games well, minor the Liverpool game.
But once that half time comes around, we come out as a completely different team and not a good one at that.

You could also say that in most of those games our opposition have also played better themselves in certain periods. Palace second half, Southampton first 30 minutes were much better, Brighton were better for periods of the game, Fulham wasn't a good performance either in my opinion. In all honesty, apart from Liverpool I think every team we've faced have been worse than they were last season. Fulham have found a bit of form now, for example, and we probably would struggle even more if we faced them now. I think they're even above us in the table. It was a good time to face all of these teams as they had a shaky start this season and we had struggled against them all last season, but even then we haven't capitalised at all. I can only see our performances and results going downhill as we face better teams and teams that have built up a bit of form.
 
There is noise building, no doubt about it. I never thought he would last past the start of November and I'm still surprised he was retained after last season. In honesty there could have been no complaints had he been sacked immediately after the 7-0, and that was a long time ago. That was a generational defeat.

He's put together a massively average squad at huge expense, that simply don't score goals, he has no obvious playing style after three years and while I don't think he's lost the dressing room I think he has fallen out with the likes of Garnacho. He also has a bad habit of deluding himself in public after poor performances, which is most weeks.

I'll be interested to see if Ineos act more decisively than the previous lot who would write off entire seasons before sacking dead ducks
This isn't a blind defence of his, but the squad is better than average and a good manager should be getting top 4 and a good cup run or two, with some comfort. So the benchmark is high for Ten Hag and he has to perform.

I disagree that we don't know our style. I think our pressing is more consistent and our buildup is more patient, and with Dalot tucking into midfield and a good understanding between our center backs, I think we have established better chemistry. We are clearly creating chances too which doesn't happen when a team has no identity or doesn't really know what they're doing.

But the noise was there for ten hag before a ball was kicked. Which means most supporters won't have patience from good football and bad results.

This is ironic because when faced with the Arteta third season example, many of the same supporters argued "but his football was getting better and you can see where results are going." All of a sudden they won't have the same level of patience for ten hag, despite 3rd and 8th instead of 8th, 8th and 5th.
 
You could also say that in most of those games our opposition have also played better themselves in certain periods. Palace second half, Southampton first 30 minutes were much better, Brighton were better for periods of the game, Fulham wasn't a good performance either in my opinion. In all honesty, apart from Liverpool I think every team we've faced have been worse than they were last season. Fulham have found a bit of form now, for example, and we probably would struggle even more if we faced them now. I think they're even above us in the table. It was a good time to face all of these teams as they had a shaky start this season and we had struggled against them all last season, but even then we haven't capitalised at all. I can only see our performances and results going downhill as we face better teams and teams that have built up a bit of form.
Im unsure how many games you've seen from other teams but can you name many club that hasn't been outplayed for periods in the game?
 
I totally understand those who continue backing him inspite of everything, having been there myself with Ole, but I understood his time was up when he was finally sacked. I think the only defence left for EtH is the perceived improvement over the first few games of the season and the hope that it will translate into a good season at the end.
However, the improvement this season, absolutely ineluctable as it was (considering the very low bar of last season and additional players bought to improve the squad), is very negligible so far. This club expects so much more that he surely can't keep this much longer unless there is some miraculous overnight change, which everyone knows won't happen, I'm sure even his most ardent supporters must know this (maybe some would like him to maintain some credibility for other top jobs after he inevitably leaves which will be more difficult if he is sacked by October/November following a disastrous season).

And for those who think, probably rightly, that no available manager can be expected to put in drastically improved performances and results immediately, let me put it this way: if this was his first season (probably even second season) he could be awarded more patience as we wait to see how he picks up the team from this shaky start. Unfortunately same can't be said of a manager in his third season at a club of our status, unless he has a lot of credit in the bank over the previous seaons, of which EtH has absolutely none! Patience has unfortunately worn very thin with him meanwhile the clock will be reset for the new manager.
 
I totally understand those who continue backing him inspite of everything, having been there myself with Ole, but I understood his time was up when he was finally sacked. I think the only defence left for EtH is the perceived improvement over the first few games of the season and the hope that it will translate into a good season at the end.
However, the improvement this season, absolutely ineluctable as it was (considering the very low bar of last season and additional players bought to improve the squad), is very negligible so far. This club expects so much more that he surely can't keep this much longer unless there is some miraculous overnight change, which everyone knows won't happen, I'm sure even his most ardent supporters must know this (maybe some would like him to maintain some credibility for other top jobs after he inevitably leaves which will be more difficult if he is sacked by October/November following a disastrous season).

And for those who think, probably rightly, that no available manager can be expected to put in drastically improved performances and results immediately, let me put it this way: if this was his first season (probably even second season) he could be awarded more patience as we wait to see how he picks up the team from this shaky start. Unfortunately same can't be said of a manager in his third season at a club of our status, unless he has a lot of credit in the bank over the previous seaons, of which EtH has absolutely none! Patience has unfortunately worn very thin with him meanwhile the clock will be reset for the new manager.
Realistically the perceived improvement is that we are not conceding 20+ shots a game, when you start low improvements are easy to come by
 
There is noise building, no doubt about it. I never thought he would last past the start of November and I'm still surprised he was retained after last season. In honesty there could have been no complaints had he been sacked immediately after the 7-0, and that was a long time ago. That was a generational defeat.

He's put together a massively average squad at huge expense, that simply don't score goals, he has no obvious playing style after three years and while I don't think he's lost the dressing room I think he has fallen out with the likes of Garnacho. He also has a bad habit of deluding himself in public after poor performances, which is most weeks.

I'll be interested to see if Ineos act more decisively than the previous lot who would write off entire seasons before sacking dead ducks
This. The squad is not very strong, our strikers and wingers are midtable level. Hard to see ETH and this team finish top 4, or even top 6.
 
It doesn't help that he advocated to spend 80 million for anthony. That alone is sackable
Tbf he didn't set the stupidly high price.

But when he found out that Antony was going to eat up a big fraction of his transfer funds, he didn't veto it either. That part's on him.
 
Spurs at home then Porto and villa away. Will he pull his Houdini act again or will this finally be it for ten hag?
It'll be a mix as usual. We beat Spurs, draw to Porto and lose to Villa. The sort of run that makes you wonder whether to sack him or back him. Rinse and repeat.
 
No deflection - thought it was quite an obvious train of thought. Last season was terrible in the CL but your point is if we were so bad it’s a trend, I think we will buck the trend (get out the group). So bet?

I think the new manager bounce we’ll be getting soon will help us scrape our way out, especially with the change in format.
 
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