Dan
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- Joined
- Mar 2, 2009
- Messages
- 14,781
Is there any source for that?
Made up quote.
Is there any source for that?
Already did. Said nothing about Cristiano
Footballers are like cars. When thinking about usage and decline, age is important but so is mileage.
Ronaldo is an exceptional player who keeps in amazing condition so its plausible that his body will hold up better than most footballers. But people really underestimate his mileage. Because he started his career relatively early and has played for clubs that are in many competitions and has rarely been injured, he has played a completely ridiculous amount of football in his career, about 68500 total minutes of first team football (club and international).
Now compare that to the number of minutes played in their careers by some other forwards who had exceptionally long careers:
Henry: 65000
Totti: 63000
Ibrahimovic:63000
Giggs:71000
Del Piero: 58000
Shearer: 52000
Eto'o: 61000
Raul: 77000 (I've taken out his time playing in Qatar and other BS leagues at the end, but this number still includes about 7000 minutes after he left Real and went to Germany).
Cristiano already has played more minutes than everybody on that list except Giggs (who he'll pass soon) and Raul. Even Raul, who was exceptionally durable, was a shell of himself by the time he passed the 70K minute mark (about when he left for the Bundesliga). Ronaldo is an exceptional player and exceptional players sometimes do unprecedented things. But the idea that he is going to be playing at a world class level with 80-85K career minutes under his belt (what it would mean for him to remain world class for the next 2-3 seasons) seems unlikely when even other durable top level forwards have almost never performed at world class level after 65K career minutes. I wouldn't rule it out but betting on it seems pretty risky.
yeah that owl with a cigarette told usIs there any source for that?
There is no guarantee that anyone we sign, for whatever money, would score as many as Kane or Aguero....however, if you asked 100 football fans who they would put money on to score most in the next couple of Premier league seasons all of them would surely say Messi or Ronaldo (were they to be playing in England).
Great post. What's Rooney's mileage?
That may be true. I'm just not sure the collective wisdom is correct. If I had to pick one player most likely to score the most goals in the Premier League, I would probably bet on Ronaldo. But I wouldn't be surprised at all to lose that bet. My point isn't that he isn't great, just that the distance between him and other top forwards is likely a lot less than many assume, and will also likely grow smaller every year. He has video game numbers at Real but the team is almost entirely set up to feed him chances in the box and he has world class players all around him. Statistically, he has never been an elite finisher in terms of shot conversion rates. His scoring numbers are all about shot volume. He took 162 shots last year in La Liga to score 25 goals. Harry Kane took 119 shots to score 29 goals. Creating shot volume is partially a skill and Ronaldo has great movement and instincts to get into dangerous positions. But a lot of that shot volume creation is due to the players around him and a setup that is all basically geared toward him as the finisher. Put him in a different setup and it wouldn't be surprising to me that he became *only* one of the top 10 or so players in the world in terms of scoring output, not head and shoulders above everybody else except Messi.
I will add that, more qualitatively, he has been unbelievable in the biggest matches over the last couple years for Real and that is very important and shouldn't be lost in the more statistical conversation.
That may be true. I'm just not sure the collective wisdom is correct. If I had to pick one player most likely to score the most goals in the Premier League, I would probably bet on Ronaldo. But I wouldn't be surprised at all to lose that bet. My point isn't that he isn't great, just that the distance between him and other top forwards is likely a lot less than many assume, and will also likely grow smaller every year. He has video game numbers at Real but the team is almost entirely set up to feed him chances in the box and he has world class players all around him. Statistically, he has never been an elite finisher in terms of shot conversion rates. His scoring numbers are all about shot volume. He took 162 shots last year in La Liga to score 25 goals. Harry Kane took 119 shots to score 29 goals. Creating shot volume is partially a skill and Ronaldo has great movement and instincts to get into dangerous positions. But a lot of that shot volume creation is due to the players around him and a setup that is all basically geared toward him as the finisher. Put him in a different setup and it wouldn't be surprising to me that he became *only* one of the top 10 or so players in the world in terms of scoring output, not head and shoulders above everybody else except Messi.
I will add that, more qualitatively, he has been unbelievable in the biggest matches over the last couple years for Real and that is very important and shouldn't be lost in the more statistical conversation.
Quick someone text Ronaldo and tell him there is a heatwave in the uk at the minute!
I'd prefer to bring Ronaldo home for 3 years than get Mbappe who seems bound for Real. It sounds stupid and I don't care what the figure is to re sign him but wow. Have you thought about it? Do you think he would still score goals or would he be a flop? In my opinion he would elevate our side instantly and he will no doubt perform and score 30+ a season. We would have that deadly streak back which has been missing since he left. (I don't think Ibra has been deadly for us).
We have CL football next season and i know we can afford him.
LOL that would be a funny situation if that really happens.One thing I should mention, when you buy a player like Ronaldo, you suddenly have a surge in many young players declaring that they "dream to play with Ronaldo". If I were Woody, I'd get Ronaldo and then test waters with Mbappe again.
Hunter has spoken. He said that Ronaldo will be at United within a year few years ago.
Spoonful of salt with that piece.
You make good and important points - however none of us know exactly how it would pan out if Ronaldo came back.
Would you want him at Arsenal?
You'd prefer Kane than Ronaldo then?
Found the climate so difficult he....stayed for 6 years
Stopped reading when the guy put Arsenal's name in the mix!
In what planet would Arsenal have even a hope? Maybe one where the richest 5 clubs in each league in Europe all went bankrupt, leaving them as the big dogs?
Aye and Inter. They can't even sort their FFP to buy fecking Di Maria never mind having an outlay for Ronaldo.
People seem to forget right now he's the BEST player in the world. Nothing better than that, when you want the best, you pay a price because there is simply no one better. Caf often have silly people on though to be fair.
For what it's worth, i really think he's gonna leave this time
He wants the club to treat him the same way Barcelona treated messi, except he'll never get that. Barca could get away with it because they're catalans, majority of their fans heard the news of Messi being guilty of tax fraud and their reaction was "Feck Spain"
Real Madrid fans are spanish, they hear about his tax fraud and think "Pay your fecking taxes"
@Powderfinger I like the analogy but it's too generic. Ronaldo is a completely different specimen to the players you list, both in physical attributes and personal drive. I think he's the only 32 year old ever you'd sign for big big money because he's that unique.
I think the reason he is pissed is because this issue arose due to the whole image rights. He is blaming the club for it because he wouldnt be in this situation if it wasnt for them because the rights go through the club somehow. It may not be necessarily due to him just not paying his rightful share of taxes due to the money he earns. So he feels if the club had been more careful about the image rights contract then there would no need for this situation.For what it's worth, i really think he's gonna leave this time
He wants the club to treat him the same way Barcelona treated messi, except he'll never get that. Barca could get away with it because they're catalans, majority of their fans heard the news of Messi being guilty of tax fraud and their reaction was "Feck Spain"
Real Madrid fans are spanish, they hear about his tax fraud and think "Pay your fecking taxes"
He is doing it though. Hes about to win his third Balon Dor in 4 years as he celebrates his 33rd birthday.I think what you say is definitely plausible. He could just be a freak of nature. But I also think its worth explicitly noting that this is what a five year bet on Ronaldo means: A wager that he'll do things almost nobody has ever done in terms of a forward sustaining world class production at that level of mileage.
Now, of course, shirts aren't the only merchandise we sell. Or total revenue for merchandising, apparel, retail and licensing was £97m in 15-16,which includes £75m in sponsorship money from adidas (if I'm not mistaken). That leaves £22m from the rest of our operation (which includes or share of 10% on any shirt sold). In order to recoup a fee of 80m "within a year or two", Ronaldo would have to triple that income on his own, and that is if we assume he'll cost as little as £80m (which is highly unlikely). Even over a five year contract, he alone would have to add more than £15m per season to that, which is completely unrealistic. And that's not including his wages, which will amount to at least £40m per season, gross (his current wages (including bonuses) at Madrid are around €500k per week, net). So please, give the whole "he'll pay for himself in merchandise" narrative a rest.For all those against it, as many have said, merchandising alone would probably recoup any fee within a year or two
I think what you say is definitely plausible. He could just be a freak of nature. But I also think its worth explicitly noting that this is what a five year bet on Ronaldo means: A wager that he'll do things almost nobody has ever done in terms of a forward sustaining world class production at that level of mileage.
I think he could over that time, and yes it would be funny. Certainly a big feather in the cap for GOAT debates, top scorer for 2 of the biggest clubsI'm interested to know who reckons Ronaldo would have a genuine chance at breaking Rooney's scoring record if he joined on a 5 year contract say ?
He only needs something like 135 goals.
That would be utterly, seriously, hilarious.
I was more thinking about Rooney being upendedI think he could over that time, and yes it would be funny. Certainly a big feather in the cap for GOAT debates, top scorer for 2 of the biggest clubs
it would be a more popular choice I imagine aswellI was more thinking about Rooney being upended
76 pages
I'm interested to know who reckons Ronaldo would have a genuine chance at breaking Rooney's scoring record if he joined on a 5 year contract say ?
He only needs something like 135 goals.
That would be utterly, seriously, hilarious.
3 of those pages are people talking about how many pages there are.76 pages