Great post and breakdown mate. Top work.
We don't know for sure, but i see no world where Jim is making this play in the hope Qatar come in at a later date and buy the club, including his stake. If he wants to make a quick buck, he would stick to the industry he knows.
He is also not going to invest £1.5 billion just to receive dividend over the next few years. He aint got time for that. And he wont take 25% of the club, without any control, in a business that The Glazers could start asset stripping - im thinking selling future rights in the same way Barca did.
At 70, he wants control of MUFC. I have to think that this is a play to increase his holdings over time and to avoid any of the legal challenges that may come from Class A shareholders.
It is he will want binding contracts but I don’t see too much benefit to the Glazers with this deal I’ll explain;
1. Ineos are giving them £1.5 billion for a minority share, that’s their money and they will not reinvest this money in the club unless there is a sub clause that makes them.
2. The Glazers also owe $400m plus for The Bucaneers
3. How does this reduce the club debt within the next three years because without European football next year and the revenues that brings, the debt gets bigger, FSP reduces to 80% and United are being closely watched by UEFA, only a cash injection by a new owner or existing owners can prevent FFP fines snd possible sanctions.
4. The Club was suppose to post ‘last year financial results’ today and did not, if they don’t do this in the next week something is happening behind the scenes.
5. If the club posts a huge loss with interest rates going up, servicing the debt becomes a bigger issue.
6. SJ/ Qatar state, because irrespective of what people say this is a state bid hidden as a private bid, they have been remarkably silent for a long time yet we hear they have also been communicating with the Raine Group recently.
7. What possible benefit do the INEOS group get from this attempt? The fans will hate them, the minority share holders object and 4 of the 6 Glazers might be thinking about the £5.4 billion that SJ offered and they would not have to worry about a sporting franchise 4000 miles across the Atlantic. They basically have about 20-25% stake for £1.4-1.5 billion with none of that invested money being used to improve the squad, stadium or training grounds, it just goes to lining the Glazers pockets and giving them some liquid cash now with the hope of more in the future. Jimmy the Rat will have no control on what happens at the club and the Glazers can continue to run a yo yo operation, qualify CL then fail, so 23-24 season no European football, FSP reduces to 80% of turnover which would be ok based on this years revenue providing the club sells players and the owners makes a £30m investment, that’s never going to happen!