kouroux
45k posts to finally achieve this tagline
Haven't followed much of the whole story. When can we expect official news ?
Notoriously, some of the messiest legal matters involve division of property of one sort of another angst siblings, whether selling to each other or cashing out...insiders have already alluded to parallels between the Glazers and the Roys in 'Succession', and not just in terms of managing 'family' built enterprises after their father's death...I am finding it all baffling to be fair.
Haven't followed much of the whole story. When can we expect official news ?
This saga has become incredibly annoying . Glazers have the unique touch of making everything around them become a massive drag.
Think someone said Malcolm went to war with his sisters over their mothers estate. Not a nice bunch.Notoriously, some of the messiest legal matters involve division of property of one sort of another angst siblings, whether selling to each other or cashing out...insiders have already alluded to parallels between the Glazers and the Roys in 'Succession', and not just in terms of managing 'family' built enterprises after their father's death...
That can be changed instantly if the Glazers want to (which would be needed if they sell for a majority stake). Kieran Maguire also mentioned that they can sell class B shares to an outsider. Either scenario requires a certain percentage of the Glazers to agree.
But Joel and Avram have more than 18%, which means that if the other 4 Glazers sold without consulting Joel and Avram, Ineos couldn't buy a majority of the club.
Any deal would include Ineos buying a few percent of Joel and Avram's shares, so they have to be on board.
Ineos can't offer J&A more for their shares than the other siblings now as part of the same sale. So that's why they would have a premium if they sell within X amount of years. It allows J&A to get the asking price that they want now for their shares (based on the 6bn valuation), despite no one being willing to offer that valuation for the full 69% of Glazer owned shares.
Just a reminder, when there is talk of a 5bn or 6bn valuation, that is total valuation of the club. That's what their bids are based on, which sets a price per share, that the Glazers would receive. So they get 69% of that valuation if all sell, and each individual Glazer gets the amount that the number of shares they own would be worthed based on the total valuation.
I don't follow. The Glazers do not own the shares collectively, nothing prevents the other 4 from selling and there is no reasonable reason for a prospective buyer to pull out because a minority of current owners don't want to sell. If something like that happened you need to understand that the bidders are the biggest morons on earth and United dodged a bullet.
What’s the point of this? I thought Glazers would stay on to see their 10b evaluation come to fruition but how much extra would they make in 3 years?
Defeat from the jaws of victory!How depressing would that be? Went through all this for months getting our hopes up finally thinking we’re getting rid of the parasites only for them to turn around and say they’re staying. It will be absolute carnage.
But the stipulation that the debt must be almost immediately repaid in full within a certain timeframe after a certain amount of family members sell their shares kills this theory as well though?Something does prevent the other 4 from selling. It's been suggested there's a condition for unanimous agreement (or perhaps a certain percentage) between the family to transfer Class B shares to a third party. The rest of the time they can sell on the stock market as they see fit, but then the shares become Class A, and obviously sell for less than a private investor would pay. This is most likely done to prevent siblings from betraying one another and suddenly bringing other parties into the boardroom. I don't know what's their situation in the family, but I'd call this a sound approach when billions are involved. So as it stands the other 4 can sell to Qatar or Ratcliffe, but they'd be getting Class A shares. Obviously not going to happen. If Joel and Avram don't budge, it's not entirely unreasonable to think Qatar or Ratcliffe might walk away eventually. They can't just deal with the other 4 alone if they want a majority stake.
I'd speculate 3 more years to get the superleague or get the new CL money priced in
Cant help but notice pendulum swinging to SJ the day after Qatar PM meeting. Cynic in me.
Something does prevent the other 4 from selling. It's been suggested there's a condition for unanimous agreement (or perhaps a certain percentage) between the family to transfer Class B shares to a third party. The rest of the time they can sell on the stock market as they see fit, but then the shares become Class A, and obviously sell for less than a private investor would pay. This is most likely done to prevent siblings from betraying one another and suddenly bringing other parties into the boardroom. I don't know what's their situation in the family, but I'd call this a sound approach when billions are involved. So as it stands the other 4 can sell to Qatar or Ratcliffe, but they'd be getting Class A shares. Obviously not going to happen. If Joel and Avram don't budge, it's not entirely unreasonable to think Qatar or Ratcliffe might walk away eventually.
Depends on what the bids actually are, but if Ineos are offering based on a 5bn, but would give Joel and Avram what they would earn if it was based on a 6bn valuation, that's a 20% premium, which would roughly come out to 50-70m additional for both Joel and Avram (depending on the exact number of shares each has). But it could be that Ineos are offering them an even higher premium than that.How much would they be getting, though. I doubt it'd be significantly more.
But the stipulation that the debt must be almost immediately repaid in full within a certain timeframe after a certain amount of family members sell their shares kills this theory as well though?
Should've known this drag on. Everything about United during their ownership has been defined by indecision and incompetence. It'll be a damn fine day when the rotten old scum bags leave
As soon as someone takes control of the Glazers' shares of the club -- it will trigger the so called Change of control-clauses of the plc's debt agreements. This means that within stipulated time frames, that debt becomes immediately repayable. So in terms of the actual debt agreements, the Glazers debt will not survive a takeover.Remind me what that stipulation was? I have forgotten.
But Ineos would clearly be far less inclined to agree to making an offer equating to 3x the current 'excess'. The deal for the other siblings seems to be similar in both cases, so it's not like they can leverage a much higher offer. Glazers would struggle to find investors offering such amenable terms for investment in the club compared to the money they're being offered to sell now.
The other Glazers seem to recognize, by all accounts, that this isn't their 'area' in terms of sports franchise development (compared to NFL) and the guarantee of huge amounts of -unearned - money for management of the club that's varied from 'hands-off' to actively detrimental, except in a very narrow sense around short-term marketing and pumping the price up at the cost of the long-term brand, money on the table, right here and now to invest in whatever else (including more 'reliable' hedges/indexes as well as the Buccs).
Why would they stick around with something they don't want to personally invest in, that demands huge amounts of cash in order to grow which will at best water down their own shares and come with its own uncertainty (to say nothing of increasingly mutinous fan base that, if a transfer of control doesn't go through, might start trying to get every game cancelled, going harder on sponsors and spooking their investors). The ESL is further away than ever, even with milquetoast nature of 'fan reforms' proposed. The club is in a transitional phase, with competitors strengthening, City dominant and top-4 (and CL revenues ) itself a toss-up next season without serious squad investment. Finance isn't my area but as numerous 'better informed' people have commented (analysed in great detail), any half-decent financial advisor is recommending that they sell...
Nothing prevents them from selling and the sell process included minority shareholders. The idea that the other siblings will be left upset makes no sense because minority shareholders have been part of the process from day one. Both type of sales have been part of the process from the beginning, SJR is trying to compete with the hedge funds and Jassim at the same time by making an offer that bridges both sides. Whatever happens the 4 sibblings that allegedly want to sell will be able to sell whether it is by selling to several funds, one fund or if it's a full sale.
The issue with SJR offer is that while it's a smart move, it's also a complicated one because the hedge funds from what I understand allow the ones that don't want to sell to keep control of the club while also providing resources, presumably for infrastructure investments. And the ones that want to sell get their money. SJR has to pay the ones that don't necessarily want to stay to take management power over them which is fair but generally costly.
Either way, the likes of Elliott are going nowhere until they are told that the club is sold to someone else and the likes of SJR and Jassim are going nowhere until they are told that the club has been sold to someone else. The three alleged remaining bidders offer three different options and all of them suit the 4 siblings.
Based on the shares that each own. Some have sold bits off over the years. This is current breakdown of the voting power:If the Glazers do sell to Jim for five billion I wonder how it gets divided up between them especially if Joel and Avram stay involved
I'm struggling to understand what your point is? I told you what prevents the other 4 from ignoring Joel and Avram and dealing directly with Qatar/Ratcliffe. It's not possible. The other 4 will want as much money as possible for their shares. But they also need Joel and Avram to agree to that deal. Just as Joel and Avram need the other 4 to agree to what both of them want. Elliot, Ratcliffe, Jassim - each bidder offers a different path, but they all have to agree to a deal. None can make a deal without the other, by design. And while they sit on their hands and bicker, it is not unreasonable to assume Qatar or Ratcliffe might decide to stop wasting their time, particularly Qatar.
As soon as someone takes control of the Glazers' shares of the club -- it will trigger the so called Change of control-clauses of the plc's debt agreements. This means that within stipulated time frames, that debt becomes immediately repayable. So in terms of the actual debt agreements, the Glazers debt will not survive a takeover.
My point has been stated several times and you quoted it. Nothing prevent the 4 siblings from selling their shares, something prevent certain buyers to get full control but nothing prevents the 4 siblings from selling and some bidders aren't looking for full control, the nature of the share isn't relevant to them.
Now, correct me if I'm wrong here. You are saying the other 4 will ignore Joel and Avram, walk up to Elliot, sell their shares for far less money, and Elliot will agree to a bunch of useless Class A shares with 0 representation on the board and 0 fine print with which to entrap Joel and Avram?