- Joined
- Jun 15, 2019
- Messages
- 19
Finances are so dire, really troubling times ahead given the current wage bill and lack of talent.
May well have been made up rubbish.I think we are probably referring to the same source. It was a great read surely. I will leave it at that.
That's about it. Except net spend will remain high while the transfer debt of £300+m unwinds over the next few years.The debt is manageable if player recruitment and everything with it (contracts etc) wasn't such an abomination. Having a £100m+ net spend every season is unsustainable.
The situation is recoverable but is going to take long time until the big contracts are weeded out. It's a ridiculous situation that most of our biggest earners offer next to nothing on the pitch.
I don't see us being a top 6 club for a couple of years. I think net spend will be minimal this summer, they'll need to break the chain somewhere.
Yup this was always the case, some of us pointed out during the sale process that it really wasn't Ratcliffe vs. Jassim, but Joel & Avram vs. the other 4, and that's what was holding things up for so long.May well have been made up rubbish.
I will say though that it’s those 2 brothers that are the ones to convince, which is gonna be hard. Which other business would be giving them dividends in the millions
Why do you they will still have a high net spend? I think they are more likely to reign it in.That's about it. Except net spend will remain high while the transfer debt of £300+m unwinds over the next few years.
The transfer debt is net spend yet to be paid- the difference between future installment we have to pay on players we bought and future payments other clubs have to pay us for players we sold. That amount jumped in Q1 2025 after the 200+ INEOS spend. So it's not all on Arnold. Its just a reflection of our poor player trading (spending big on new players while generating feck all in sales).Why do you they will still have a high net spend? I think they are more likely to reign it in.
I get that but thats historic net spend. I mean I don't think we'll spend much more than we recieve (ignoring payment terms) on new signings this summer.The transfer debt is net spend yet to be paid- the difference between future installment we have to pay on players we bought and future payments other clubs have to pay us for players we sold. That amount jumped in Q1 2025 after the 200+ INEOS spend. So it's not all on Arnold. Its just a reflection of our poor player trading (spending big on new players while generating feck all in sales).
Poor article IMO. You can't just look at EBITDA on its own and hand-wave away the impact of high transfer fees (amortization) and the existing debt (interest).https://www.theguardian.com/footbal...-big-profits-and-huge-losses-at-the-same-time
Good read, by a quality analyst on football economics. Short version; when INEOS is talking about laying people off to avoid bankruptcy, they are full of s**t.
I get that but thats historic net spend. I mean I don't think we'll spend much more than we recieve (ignoring payment terms) on new signings this summer.
I know all that, but I'm talking simplistic summer 2025 net spend (not cash flow) which I thought you meant with your original comment.Right, so for future players bought and sold, the cash flow account would show 0 for new net spend going forward for as long as you persisted with that policy.
But you still have to make further cash payments for players bought before the policy change and other clubs have to make cash payments for players sold before the policy change, so cash flow would show
a net spend of say 80m for each of the next 4 years (in reality the run off is different) regardless of the new policy
So total net spend is (80+0) for years 1 to 4. The only way to bring total net spend down to zero is to only sell players for 80m going forward.
Ok Sorry. The more I think about it the more I think they have to back the guy. And hopefully they are planning to do so. As much as we might not like it, cuts and ST price hikes would provide the cash flow for that size of spending even without euro ball for a year. The right departures would also help, not so much in a net spend since, but in terms of the salary space their exits leaves behind.I know all that, but I'm talking simplistic summer 2025 net spend (not cash flow) which I thought you meant with your original comment.
Do you think we'll have a typical £100-150m net summer player trading? I can't see it.
The people who were saying Antony and Rashford weren't playing so them leaving without a replacement was no big deal.Quality decision not to bring someone in this window. Who would have thought one of our 4 forwards can get injured?
No, there was an 18 month window where only Ratcliffe could buy shares from the Glazers. After that, it becomes open to anyone again. At that point Ratcliffe has the right to match any other bid and his will be the one accepted, but if he decides not to match it then he has no choice but to sell his shares for the same amount the Glazers are getting.That’s not correct, the Glazers have 18 months where they could force SJR to sell if they find a better buyer which surprise surprise isn’t going to happen.
We’re still in the same standoff with no real knowledge of what either sides plan is.
The debt is manageable if player recruitment and everything with it (contracts etc) wasn't such an abomination. Having a £100m+ net spend every season is unsustainable.
The situation is recoverable but is going to take long time until the big contracts are weeded out. It's a ridiculous situation that most of our biggest earners offer next to nothing on the pitch.
I don't see us being a top 6 club for a couple of years. I think net spend will be minimal this summer, they'll need to break the chain somewhere.
It has become clear that the Qatari bid, if it was legitimate, was the last chance this club had of becoming competitive again in the near future. Now I don't see how we get out of this mess.
Finances are so dire, really troubling times ahead given the current wage bill and lack of talent.
We are the 3rd lowest amount of wages per pound revenge.
And nor is he doing that, AFAICS?Poor article IMO. You can't just look at EBITDA on its own and hand-wave away the impact of high transfer fees (amortization) and the existing debt (interest).
Youd have to say this is the worst run of events the club has seen in the last 40 years.
So many questionable decisions. The way we cast aside Rashford and Anthony made me think people were being brought in to replace them. Thats negligence.
Ashworth was negligence.
Amorim was negligence.
So many bad decisions.
Yep, probably time to just face up to the fact that they’re potentially worse than the Glazers.What’s that saying
“It's easier to fool people than to convince them that they have been fooled”
Ratcliffe / Ineos are basically the Glazers Darth Vador, but yeah people think they’re United’s savour.
That's a bit dramatic, given they were highly paid, hugely underperforming players, with Rashford having attitude and disciplinary issues on top.Youd have to say this is the worst run of events the club has seen in the last 40 years.
So many questionable decisions. The way we cast aside Rashford and Anthony made me think people were being brought in to replace them. Thats negligence.
Ashworth was negligence.
Amorim was negligence.
So many bad decisions.
We've lost £313m over the last 3 years with net player costs around £100-150m per year. We're also staring at a long spell of no Champions league (maybe Europe at all), and lower league finish income.£100m net spend every season is easily achievable with our revenue. Even with poor performance on the pitch only Real Madrid, City and PSG bring in more cash than us.
Poor decisions do not automatically equate to negligence. It just appears, unfortunately that hopes Ineos would run the club more competently appear misguided.
It has become clear that the Qatari bid, if it was legitimate, was the last chance this club had of becoming competitive again in the near future. Now I don't see how we get out of this mess.
Revenue****There is a lot of myths floating around about finances. I wouldn't listen to anything journalists write about money. They studied English not Accountancy.
As someone that works in Finance and understands it. We are still the 4th richest club in the world, and could easily go to 2nd with some on field success, ie going deep in the CL.
The trouble is the silly contracts some of the players are on making them unsellable. The finances will ease as more and more of them leave and their contracts expire.
There is plenty of wiggle room to bring in players. They just wont be all on 200-300k a week and cost £80m. Which is ok, because it isn't necessary. The club needs lots of solid players in the £20-40m bracket on say £75k to £100k a week. A couple of superstars will not fix this mess, it needs a complete overhaul.
The amount owed to other clubs for transfer fees is not all due in 1 year. Spending £150m net next summer could be a single hit as little as £30m if the payments are made over 5 years.
Its not great to have to service debt. But at the same time, it isn't crippling the club. Instead its the decades long bad recruitment and wage control.
£100m net spend every season is easily achievable with our revenue. Even with poor performance on the pitch only Real Madrid, City and PSG bring in more cash than us.
We get out of it by doing what INEOS are doing. Trim the fat out of operations, ie make the workforce leaner, and get rid of high earning, underperforming players. Unfortunately that is going to take 2 years to take effect. The underlying football club is very strong and easily the 2nd strongest financially in the premier league.
They arnt dire. It just needs some housekeeping to move out the deadwood.
Exactly.
It has become clear that the Qatari bid, if it was legitimate, was the last chance this club had of becoming competitive again in the near future. Now I don't see how we get out of this mess.
Make your mind up.Youd have to say this is the worst run of events the club has seen in the last 40 years.
So many questionable decisions. The way we cast aside Rashford and Anthony made me think people were being brought in to replace them. Thats negligence.
Ashworth was negligence.
Amorim was negligence.
So many bad decisions.
As annoying and frustrating as it is. INEOS did right keeping our warchest safe until the summer.
Nobody decent moved this January. Signing Tel wouldnt have drastically changed our course.
Lets see how much of an impact Dorgu and Amad can make as WB's.
There will be plenty of players available in the summer, and we already have a striker lined up in Gyokeres and probably did the groundwork on Cunha.
The team running away with the league and their closest challengers aren't owned by states.It has become clear that the Qatari bid, if it was legitimate, was the last chance this club had of becoming competitive again in the near future. Now I don't see how we get out of this mess.
I thought you were talking about Ineos- the Glazers' greed and ineptitude goes without saying.I disagree.
Ineos have essentially done what's expected.
Hired a fresh new coach, got in the best in class, sensible transfers, made the hard calls where finances are concerned, dropping the wasters, identified issues with stadia, refused to be ripped-off in negotiations.
Yet, it's still not good enough. The reason is quite simple: The Glazers.
You cannot get around how bad they've been for well over a decade within one season. Ineos have been mediocre but all I expected them to be.
There's a long road back and we better used to walking it.
Quality decision not to bring someone in this window. Who would have thought one of our 4 forwards can get injured?
Agree with everything except the summer window. Think the 4 signings were all very good, even Zirkzee might just be right player wrong club.Yep, probably time to just face up to the fact that they’re potentially worse than the Glazers.
Results on the pitch are certainly worse than it ever was under the Glazers.
They fecked up the transfer window in the summer with average to mediocre signings. Granted they got the deals done with little drama and that’s about the extent of the positives.
Not sacking ETH was criminal.
The cuts at the club with very little remorse shown.
Allowing Antony and Rashford to leave WITHOUT replacing them. Even if it was just a loan signing.
We were always one/two injuries away from being in deep shit in terms of our attacking players. Now that’s happened.
INEOS have been a complete and utter disaster. And the very scary thing is this will get worse.
We’ll probably win at best 2-3 games for the rest of the season and finish 16th.
That poor momentum carrying over and then if they don’t sign the 3-4 very good players needed in the summer, relegation is a genuine possibility next season, something Paul Scholes pointed out this week.
We’re lucky the promoted three are so bad, they’re unlikely to be next year.
Agree with everything except the summer window. Think the 4 signings were all very good, even Zirkzee might just be right player wrong club.
Agree with everything except the summer window. Think the 4 signings were all very good, even Zirkzee might just be right player wrong club.
Didnt I say keeping the warchest is ok, but why let players go if they are not replaced? Whats controversial?Make your mind up.
I don’t think he’s a bad player, he’s the right age, he’s the right price. At another time he’d fit into our system.How can someone possibly be a good signing even using that logic?if he doesn't fit in our club.....he's not a good signing. "quality player for someone else, which means some other team can't have him! 1-0."