theimperialinn
Full Member
Has anybody stopped to think that they bought the bonds before the protests rendering that article complete tripe.
In the words of John Mc Enroe "you cannot be serious". Hope you had a nice holiday by the way
Given that it apparently happened two years ago, I wonder why it has only just come to light though? What other tricks do they have up their sleeves which will render much of our speculation about the issue pointless?
Well either someone has been doing some digging or the Glazers leaked info themselves - we will never know for sure I suppose.
We still have no idea how much of the PIK was bought back - wouldnt be suprised to hear it was higher than 20% - clearly it made sense for them to buy as much as they could afford at the time.
I just don't see the need for it to be "dug out" or "leaked" though. Why not just announce it through David Gill at the time or something or is he really in the dark about it because, as he keeps saying, it is the Glazers' concern and not Manchester United's and so he really doesn't know the details because he doesn't need to know (and neither do we).
I still haven't had time to really sit down and absorb the ramifications of it all as far as we're concerned (I really can't quite get my head around the difference between "buying the 20%" and just paying that 20% off completely to be honest - or could this be what they have now done?)
What it does mean, however, is that a lot of the speculative calculations about what budget will be available to Fergie after Bond interest and Glazer dividends (in the region of just £5million/season in a good year according to some posters on here) have now been blown out of the water as far as I can see.
Some people ask me why I am so interested in all this financial stuff - I know it is a massive turn-off for a lot of fans but I find it absolutely fascinating to be honest and the twists and turns it takes are as compelling as any good book!
Gill has nothing to do with RFJV so I don't see why he would announce anything?
Re the budget for SAF I don't really see how the PIK purchase affects anything? Firstly they may not write-off the c20% they have apparently obtained and secondly the amount they can take out of the club is unchanged by this anyway.
I was having a little think about the 20% PIK purchase last night...
The Glazers as have been proven over the last few years don't really care what the fans think about anything and won't comment on anything, negative or positive. They have had the opportunity numerous times but have spurned it.
You don't really know what their need is though. The money taken from United does not have to be used just to service the PIKs. It appears to be the cash cow in their portfolio of investments at present so funds withdrawn could be used to support other areas, which is why Anders research and coverage of their other business interests is relevant to the discussion.
Who the hell mentioned Anders? Who said his research isn't relevant? What I will say is this: if they have a business that is losing money with no hope of recovery, they will ditch it and not keep it going with "United money" in order to keep it afloat. Why would they do this? As you have just said yourself, they don't care what people think of them so they won't keep a failing business going just to "save face" - they will let it sink and keep the money in their pockets instead.
It makes absolutely no sense whatsoever for them to take their £25million dividend and use it to prop up a doomed mall instead of paying down those PIKs, though.
As far as their "need" is concerned - they NEED to service those PIKs or they lose control of United (this is the general understanding). Why the hell would they risk losing an asset they value in excess of £1.5billion for the sake of a PIK debt in the region of £150million?
What has happened here is that their absolute need to take every last penny they can out of United (if this was ever the case) in order to service the PIKs is now significantly less than we previously believed.
Others have said that looking at the malls etc was irrelevant.
They have other businesses, and may have new ventures that they need start up capital for. It's a far more complicated scenario then you are trying to make out.
As has been discussed, the news does nothing to assuage any of the issues the fans have with the current ownership, however you try and spin it.
TheMancRedDevil; said:What money they will take will be used to pay down the PIKs until they are paid off and beyond that is difficult to see at the moment.
How can you possibly say that so decisively? No one knows what their plans are.
You have to look at it from a business pov.
What business could pay them more in profits than the PIKs are costing them in interest?
If they CAN start a business with their dividends from United and generate more profits than the PIK interest then that is good for us (because they can pay their debts from that profit) if they can't then, again, their NEED to use "United money" increases.
The fact is datura, whoever was in charge, no one would know THEIR plans either. Football is fraught with uncertainty by its very nature. I just believe that, all things considered, the owners we have are slightly predictable (and preferable for it) because we know their motives - making money.
Whatever makes them the most money is their plan. The way for them to make the most money from Manchester United is to make United the biggest and the best it can be.
Their motives are in alignment with our own.
You have to look at it from a business pov.
What business could pay them more in profits than the PIKs are costing them in interest?
If they CAN start a business with their dividends from United and generate more profits than the PIK interest then that is good for us (because they can pay their debts from that profit) if they can't then, again, their NEED to use "United money" increases.
The fact is datura, whoever was in charge, no one would know THEIR plans either. Football is fraught with uncertainty by its very nature. I just believe that, all things considered, the owners we have are slightly predictable (and preferable for it) because we know their motives - making money.
Whatever makes them the most money is their plan. The way for them to make the most money from Manchester United is to make United the biggest and the best it can be.
Their motives are in alignment with our own.
Don't you get it yet? United is paying the 16.5% interest on the 80% of the PIK's not the glazers- and on top of that you also have the pleasure of paying 16.5% interest directly into the glazers pockets on the other 20% of the PIK's that the fans kindly purchased on their behalf!!
I am looking at it from a business pov, just a slightly more sophisticated one than you it seems.
They have other businesses, and may have new ventures that they need start up capital for. It's a far more complicated scenario then you are trying to make out.
You keep on banging on about 'facts' and seeing the 'truth' yet you make definitive statements on the basis of what makes 'sense'.
The owners so far have been rather unpredictable and there may well be good business reasons for keeping the PIKs unpaid as yet relating to the tax structure of their group.
Their motives don't align with ours at all, what an absurd statement. Why do you think the majority of fans are against them??!
In what way? Start a business? What business? What business can they start with £25million divs from United (and pay off their debts at the same time) that will grow into something worth more than £1.5billion inside a few years? There's nothing sophisticated about what you're saying at all.
I ask you again. What could they start up in the next seven years that has the potential to make them more money than Manchester United?
By some people's reckoning, they put feck all into buying United yet are a whisker away from owning a £1.5billion asset at the moment.
But you speak of "other ventures" that they will start up in a very sophisticated manner.
If the above doesn't make any sense to you then I can't help you further.
I think the Glazers are quite predictable in a lot of ways. The problem I have is the same as many on my side of the fence - we have no proof until after the event. If I had said a few years ago that the Glazers could buy up some of the PIK notes at a discounted rate due to a global recession, not only would I be Nostradamus but I would also be laughed off the forum and commanded to produce proof of this.
The fact is, datura, these people are entrepreneurs. Where the rest see doom and gloom, they see opportunity (after the event, the likes of Anders call it "luck").
They were "lucky" that there was a global recession because this enabled them to buy up 20% of the PIKs at a heavily discounted rate.
If there wasn't a recession, they would have been able to refinance at a lower interest rate (and so that would have been "lucky" too, no doubt).
The overall effect would probably have been largely the same.
I think I have said a hundred times why the majority of fans are against them but I am always accused of being condescending and insulting so I won't repeat it again.
If Manchester United being the biggest and the best it can be is not in alignment with what we want then what else is?
I know there are a lot of fans who claim not to be glory hunters and would support United through thick and thin because they have done it before but the fact of the matter is that there are now an awful lot of fans who only know of a successful Manchester United.
Anyone under the age of around 30 will probably not remember a time when we weren't winning Premier Leagues and such.
United has almost become a victim of its own success. Second place is not an option for us any more and it is hard to envisage a scenario where we would accept it again in the future.
We want the club to continue to be contesting at the top end of the Premier League, winning the odd Carling Cup, FA Cup and Champions League and generally going into games as favourites.
United has become synonymous with success.
The Glazers will want to keep it that way because businesses also want to be associated with success which enables us to attract the bigger sponsorship/commercial deals which obviously means bigger profits.
As I say, their aims are in alignment with ours. It's not an absurd statement and you know it.
One question I have about the PIKS now (if anyone knows about this stuff) is this:
Reading the last several pages, it would seem that the Glazers can't pay the PIKs off in some kind of preferential order (i.e. pay off the 80% but leave their own 20% unpaid until after 2017) but, as the owners of those notes, could they not change their terms? i.e. make them repayable at a much later date and at a nominal interest rate (say 0.001% or something?).
This would make the recent interest hike actually less in real terms - we have been assuming that 100% of the PIK debt was now 16% but it is only 80% at 16% which, if they are able to rewrite the terms of the PIK, could mean that 100% of the PIKs is actually lower than the original 14% at this stage (if you see what I mean!).
Dunno if this is possible.
Holding the piks entitles them to a discrete dividend stream of 20% (reportedly) of an annual dividend amount that they can control (subject to a limit). With a dividend of 95m (the carveouts a.k.a. the 'Ronaldo money' plus a bit) the Glazers can reduce their pik indebtedness by 95m and collect 19m at the same time. They can no doubt find use for this money elsewhere and probably can offset the amount against losses elsewhere. They might even use the 19m to pay back the 10m loan from the club. Who knows? The point, of course, is that the 20% of the pik proceeds is theirs to spend without restriction unlike the annual dividends and carveouts.
That's a bit rich coming from the caf's own queen of hissy fits. In fact, it sounds like you're having one right now, brad.
Lucky you're not running this place though, aint it?
There are many business that they could acquire that would make them significant profits. In the current market anyone with cash is in a unique position, as proven with the PIKs losing their value so much. You have a very naive viewpoint that United is the be all and end all when it actually is a relatively small business in terms of value and profit.
You are just repeating what others have posted. In reality no one knows what they would have been able to refinance the bond at. The level of debt at United would be a concern and it would still be at a premium.
It is absurd. Their aims are not in line with ours. They want to make money out of the club, pure and simple, and at the expense of the fans.
Supporting United is not about success at all. Surely you don't believe that?
For you, yes. Although I know for a fact if one admin had their way, you would have been canned
Shame the big Irish guy hasn't come along and gone above everyones heads with it if you ask me
Wouldn't surprise me if you've got a little DD shrine in your bedroom covered in the white stuff
There is definitely a groundswell of fans who wouldn't mind seeing the club have a period of underachievement to root out some of the glory hunters and erase the sense of entitlement that many fans have developed.
I can't really understand your position, or any of your arguments and can't really be bothered reading a wall of text anytime I ask a simple question so will take leave of this one.
For you, yes. Although I know for a fact if one admin had their way, you would have been canned
Shame the big Irish guy hasn't come along and gone above everyones heads with it if you ask me
Wouldn't surprise me if you've got a little DD shrine in your bedroom covered in the white stuff
For you, yes. Although I know for a fact if one admin had their way, you would have been canned
Shame the big Irish guy hasn't come along and gone above everyones heads with it if you ask me
Wouldn't surprise me if you've got a little DD shrine in your bedroom covered in the white stuff
It is absurd. Their aims are not in line with ours. They want to make money out of the club, pure and simple, and at the expense of the fans.
You are right to point out that the Glazers primary motivation is making money – however that does not mean that their interests are not aligned with the interests of the fans.
The Glazers want success on the pitch to maximise their own returns
- a full stadium is also integral to their business plan
- and a strong squad with top class players are required to attract fans, sell merchandise and achieve success.
£45million a year out versus £300million a year in.
A bit dated though.
I'd have been booted off here if it was down to one mods' discretion too - he told me so!
I don't give a feck and I doubt ciderman does either. It's either a discussion board for free exchange of views and ideas or a moderated chat where everyone is in agreement all the time.
If it became the latter, the site would be dead within a few months.
You are right to point out that the Glazers primary motivation is making money – however that does not mean that their interests are not aligned with the interests of the fans.
The Glazers want success on the pitch to maximise their own returns - a full stadium is also integral to their business plan - and a strong squad with top class players are required to attract fans, sell merchandise and achieve success.
The main area where interests are not aligned is in ticketing policy.
I agree that the motivations of the owners is very different to that of the fans, but it is pretty clear to me that a lot of common ground in what both sides ultimately want.
You are right to point out that the Glazers primary motivation is making money – however that does not mean that their interests are not aligned with the interests of the fans.
The Glazers want success on the pitch to maximise their own returns - a full stadium is also integral to their business plan - and a strong squad with top class players are required to attract fans, sell merchandise and achieve success.
The main area where interests are not aligned is in ticketing policy.
I agree that the motivations of the owners is very different to that of the fans, but it is pretty clear to me that a lot of common ground in what both sides ultimately want.
Again, it's a cost/benefit decision. If by spending £80m on, say, Kaka will increase merchandise and TV rights by, say, 5% it's not worth it for them.
For you, yes. Although I know for a fact if one admin had their way, you would have been canned
Shame the big Irish guy hasn't come along and gone above everyones heads with it if you ask me
Wouldn't surprise me if you've got a little DD shrine in your bedroom covered in the white stuff
Why exactly? Because he's got a different opinion on certain things?