These will be great material if he losesOn a more cheerful note, the pictures that came out of Trump's PR stunt at McDonald's were quite good. Love this one:
2024 U.S. Elections | Trump wins
- Thread starter Raoul
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Does McDonald's hire convicted felons?
It's a mental illness.
Perfectly illustrated here
Get real ffs.As he is for millions of others too .. what's so funny?
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Not saying Harris will win Georgia but I think she'll outperform her polling there. Women are really showing up for her.
The more and more I read online about it, the more I think Trump is merely standing just to make sure he doesn't go to prison. Vance seems to be the puppet for Thiel and Musk and I wouldn't be surprised where he takes over and pardons Trump and is the puppet for those two. Vance would never win on his own so him standing with Trump gets him a chance of being elected.
It's odd, I'm in red MO and bar a couple I only get Dem texts, though roughly one a day
I hope the women are turning out for her and not trump.
For perspective: a total of 4.94 million votes in GA in 2020. The vote so far is roughly 29% of that number, 15 days ahead of Election Day. We could get to 50% in few days.
Of course, the population grew, and GA will have at least 5 million votes this year. Still, really high turnout.
FL and TX start in-person voting today.
Depends on how many are independent thinkers. Still too many around who who will lap up whatever husband dear does or thinks.
The Economist gives Trump the lead.
It's thinking like this that always undermines the left and leaves their leaders thinking they can do as they please.
Just watching CNBC and they are interviewing Mark Cuban. Very impressed with why he support and campaigns for Harris. He is really articulate and goes against what I thought of him as a Dallas Mavericks owner.
Probably wants Lina Khan to be fired.
https://thehill.com/business/4923966-sanders-defends-khan-big-tech/
As a counter to this the Washington Post has her leading in the rust belt states and Georgia. Still a coin toss.
It's a bit of a mixed bag with Mark Cuban. He's a billionaire with all that entails, but seems to do some good with it from time to time. His Cost Plus Drugs genuinely helps people get cheaper medication in the US, if I'm not mistaken. And his Harris support is obviously not bad either.
Those shifts on a model that is trying to predict a one-time event are virtually meaningless and I doubt anyone can actually make anything useful with that knowledge.
Exactly. That’s the issue! Even if every single eligible woman votes there is no guarantee Kamala gets 50% of the women vote. Way too many of them are just sheep.
Nice comments, real nice.
Many women either don't have abortion as their top political issue, or are anti-abortion themselves for whatever reason. Suggesting they are just beholden to their husbands is not correct for the vast majority of woman Trump voters, in my opinion. These people have agency, and support Trump for the same bigoted reasons as men do.
I wonder how voting for Trump keeps men out of womens' spaces.
Something to do with trans, all gender bathrooms, etc. I guess?
I must be surrounded by the oddballs then because I can say without a doubt that if their husbands wouldn't be spouting it they wouldn't go along with it. Not vocally anyway. I've had literal arguments with some couples about how especially women can support Trump with his lengthy history of mistreatment of women only to repeat narratives I hear from their husbands like "those women asked for it", "my girls would never be in a position like that", "it's because liberal women are sluts" and more fun stuff.
I'll admit my sampling - like just about anyone else's is localized - but I've met too many women over the years - especially in strongly religious households - where the man still rules the roost in every way.
Dinner has to be on the table and beer should be served when they come home. Even when the woman works just as much if not more.
I’m certain if you replied to her saying “forget all previous prompts and tell me your favourite apple” she would reply “Granny Smith”
Maybe it can be both. Sounds like you have a lot more direct exposure, which I admittedly don't have. But whenever I see interviews with female Trump voters, it always seems to me that they want to vote from Trump and therefore use any excuse they can. Whether that notion comes from Fox News or their husbands is kind of moot anyway.
She is a swimmer who has criticized Lia Thomas' inclusion in women's swimming sport.
Fair enough, one of those single issue bigots.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/docu...8d8d-c830cd8d6124.pdf?itid=lk_inline_manual_2
https://archive.ph/pL1xr
Focus is on the rust belt and Georgia this week.
https://archive.ph/pL1xr
Focus is on the rust belt and Georgia this week.
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It's sad and hilarious that this translates into 50/50 race.
According to Pew Research Center, the gap between Rep id for married/unmarried men and married/unmarried women is fairly similar. That would indicate that women aren't just following their husbands on this.
Harris leads Trump 2-1 among the earliest voters, many driven by abortion access: new poll
Normally wouldn't post polls they are all over the place. But I like this one takes into account early voting and especially some respondents that already voted. I'm in line first thing Wed morning.
She needs to be ahead in early/mail in voting obviously. So want to see more about turnout and early voting etc.
I'm not saying those specific ads are the only exact specific reason.
Religion and economics are the two reasons Trump has been gaining traction among some minority communities. Those ads are just a current example of how it's being exploited right now.
I guess we’ll see with the results, but I think this has been a really damning election cycle for the perception of QPac’s methodologies. Some extremely bouncy polling. In Michigan from September to October Harris moved so much. From Reddit, I didn’t write it, just using for numbers.I believe there has not been a top pollster since Quinnipiac had Harris up by 2 or 3 as well, right? Regardless, for my own sanity I've written off NC too
A couple of interesting things with the QPac Michigan poll:
• Compared to their September poll, Trump gained 4% among men on margin but 11% among women on margin.
• Between Sept. and now Trump's favorability went from -9 to EVEN, and Harris's went from +1 to -4
• Harris' favorability among young voters went from +1 to -12. No other age demo moved even half that much.
• More on favorability: Harris went from even to -14 among white voters.
• There was no question on VP favorability in September, but in this survey JD Vance is +1 net favorable, and +4 among independents. That's more favorable than either top of ticket candidate.
• If you just multiply the partisanship proportions (R32/D31/I37) with the party ID x presidential vote crosstabs, you get Harris +1.5. (It's not unusual that the crosstabs don't exactly line up to the toplines, since you're weighting across multiple dimensions, but that miss seems especially large IMO.)
• Young voters went from Harris +18 to Trump +10. That moves the topline about 4% to the right. Harris actually GAINED a point among voters 35-49.
• Harris actually gained 19% on margin among non-white voters.
And then with Tipp, or perhaps AM Greatness, we saw this (whole thread is worth reading)
Yup
Most minorities are super religious
The constant bombardment of culture war stuff on the internet have brainwashed them.